PRICE OPTIMISATION: HOW DO WE RESEARCH VALUE AND TEST DIFFERENT OFFERS TO DRIVE GROWTH
Established 130 years ago The biggest daily newspaper in Finland Published in Finnish , spoken by 6M people globally 370 000 paying subscribers , paying an average of 330€/year 2017 renewed online business model + content strategy : nr of subscriptions started growing y.o.y after 25 y of decline 70% of subscribers pay for digital content , more than 100 000 are digital only Growth comes from digital subscriptions and from subscribers that are under 40 y.o.
2019: how did HS maximize both revenues and subscriptions? • Subscription revenue Ambitious and conflicting beat all time records targets: Accurate pricing and • Number of digitally productization decisions Revenue maximization active subscriptions higher across product portfolio than ever + are key • Total number of Subscription growth subscription grew 2%
HS has a framework for maximizing both revenue and subscription growth Price analytics • Consumer preferences • Price optimization • Price elasticity • Pricing research • Portfolio • Cross price through conjoint optimization elasticity studies • Value analysis Consumer research Decisions CASE STUDY: ACQUISITION SALES OFFERS
CASE STUDY: ACQUISITION SALES OFFERS Step 1: collect insights through consumer research and develop hypothesis 1. Respondents’ demand curve relatively flat. Can offer price increases % of customers chosing product at price X be profitable? 25% 20% 2. How the offer price of one product affects 15% Mini demand of other Digi Weekend hybrid products? 10% Everyday hybrid 5% 3. Can we personalize 0% offers? Current offer Current offer +5% Current offer +10% Full price
CASE STUDY: ACQUISITION SALES OFFERS Step 2: validate elasticities using a/b tests Price of Weekend Hybrid increased CONTROL VARIANT Sales of Sales of DIGI weekend increased hybrid dropped Everyday hybrid sales did not change Drop in sales of Weekend high price elasticity Substitution between Weekend and Digi cross price elasticity shows the two products are close substitutes Subscription revenue grew by 4% Total expected value of sales grew by 3%
CASE STUDY: ACQUISITION SALES OFFERS Step 3: combine a/b tests with machine learning to personalize offers A/B Test results : Ratio of sold continuous subscriptions to samples in Machine learning to identify cookies premium article paywall with high purchase propensity 33% 35% 30% A/B test in premium article paywall: 25% fixed term trial vs subscription 19% 20% 15% Targeting high propensity cookies 10% brought a 6% increase in total subscription value and a 10% 5% increase in sales volumes 0% Top propensity to subscribe decile Random sample
CASE STUDY: ACQUISITION SALES OFFERS Data and analytics drive decisions Teamwork ! Decision making is easier if there is evidence from data and research. Impact of decisions easier to measure Never stop learning, reiterate and get new ideas
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