Sectoral Presentation December, 2016
Disclaimer THIS PRESENTATION (“PRESENTATION”) IS NOT AN OFFER TO SELL ANY SECURITIES OR A SOLICITATION TO BUY ANY SECURITIES OF NATIONAL ALUMINIUM COMPANY LIMITED (THE “COMPANY”). The material that follows is a Presentation of general background information about the Company’s activities as at the date o f the Presentation. It is information given in summary form and does not purport to be complete and it cannot be guaranteed that such information is true and accurate. This Presentation does not constitute a prospectus, offering circular or offering memorandum or an offer, or a solicitation of any offer, to purchase or sell, any shares and should not be considered as a recommendation that any investor should subscribe for or purchase any of the Company’s equity shares. Securities of the Company may not be offered or sold in the United States absent registration under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or an exemption from the registration requirements of that Act. Any public offering or sale of securities of the Company to be made in the United States will be made by means of a prospectus that may be obtained from the Company or the selling security holder and that will contain detailed information about the Company and its management, as well as financial statements. This Presentation includes statements that are, or may be deemed to be, “forward - looking statements”. These forward -looking statements can be identified by the use of forward- looking terminology, including the terms “believes”, “estimates”, “anticipates”, “projects”, “expects”, “intends”, “may”, “will”, “seeks” or “should” or, in each case, their negative or other variations or comparable terminology, or by discussions of strategy, plans, aims, objectives, goals, future events or intentions. These forward-looking statements include all matters that are not historical facts. They appear in a number of places throughout this Presentation and include statements regarding the Co mpany’s intentions, beliefs or current expectations concerning, amongst other things, its results or operations, financial condition, liquidity, prospects, growth, strategies and the industry in which the Company operates. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance including those relating to general business plans and strategy of the Company, its future outlook and growth prospects, and future developments in its businesses and its competitive and regulatory environment. No representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is made or assurance given that such statements, views, projections or forecasts, if any, are correct or that the objectives of the Company will be achieved. Th e Company’s actual results of operations, financial condition and liquidity, and the development of the business sector in which the Company operates, may differ materially from those suggested by the forward-looking statements contained in this Presentation. In addition, even if the Company’s results of operations, financial condition and liquidity, and the development of the industry in which the Company operates, are consistent with the forward-looking statements contained in this Presentation, those results or developments may not be indicative of results or developments in subsequent periods. The Company, as such, makes no representation or warranty, express or implied, as to, and does not accept any responsibility or liability with respect to, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of any information or opinions contained herein. The information contained in this Presentation, unless otherwise specified is only current as of the date of this Presentation. The Company assumes no responsibility to publicly amend, modify or revise any forward looking statements, on the basis of any subsequent development, information or events, or otherwise. This presentation has been prepared based on the information available in the public domain and internal management information and estimates. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This document has not been and will not be reviewed or approved by a regulatory authority in India or by any stock exchange in India. 2
Aluminium Sector
Bauxite Reserves & Alumina-Aluminium Production (2015) (in Million Tonnes) ALUMINA PRODUCTION BAUXITE RESERVES & ALUMINIUM PRODUCTION RESOURCES 112.24 57.17 109091 5.24 3480 2.34 INDIA WORLD INDIA WORLD INDIA WORLD Source: CRU, IBM, USGS Mineral Commodities Summary 2015 India: Bauxite reserves : 3.19% of world reserve & Resources Alumina Production : 4.7% of world production Aluminium Production : 4.1% of world production 4
Global and Indian Aluminium Industry China vs. Rest of the World World Aluminium Production (mnte) The global economy grew by 3.1% in 2015 50.7% 52.5% 54.7% 53.5% Expected to grow by 3.1% in 2016 and 3.4% in 2017 57.9 53.9 52.3 Global aluminium production increased by 7.3% in 2015. 26.2 25.6 25.8 28.2 13.1 Growth in production: 31.7 28.3 26.5 15.1 China: 11.8% CY 13 CY 14 CY 15 6m CY 16 Rest of world: 2.4% Total World World ex China China as a % of World China continues to be the world’s largest producer and consumer of Source: International Aluminium Institute aluminium The Indian Primary Aluminium Industry Consists LME Aluminium Price ($/te) of Three Major Players Prices have recovered in current year after hitting rock bottom in FY16 Aluminium Production (mnte) 2100 2.39 2.05 2000 1.73 0.92 1900 0.88 0.80 1800 1.10 0.84 0.62 1700 0.37 0.32 0.33 1600 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 1500 1400 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar FY 15 FY 16 FY 17 Source: Bloomberg Source: Ministry of Mines, Annual Report 2015-16 5
Primary Aluminium : Production & Consumption (Last three years) Global- (million tonnes) India- (lakh tonnes) 32.43 60.00 35.00 28.52 30.00 25.88 55.00 25.00 50.00 20.00 45.00 57.75 57.02 55.07 54.60 15.00 24.38 51.38 51.11 20.47 19.94 40.00 10.00 17.30 15.88 15.99 35.00 5.00 0.00 30.00 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY14 FY15 FY16 Production Consumption Total consumption (including scrap) Production Consumption Mar’16 : 15.37 mt Mar’15 : 14.67 mt Global Metal stock Source: CRU 6
Power, construction and automobile sectors to drive long-term demand India’s Per Capita Aluminium Consumption Currently Low Growth Drivers (kg/person) Power Sector 1 8.0 GoI is planning significant investments to expand India’s 2.2 transmission and distribution network over the next five World India years Improved electricity demand and inititives such as UDAY Demand for aluminium is expected to grow largely in line with the annual will further support sectoral growth GDP growth rate Construction Sector 2 Source: Ministry of Mines, Annual Report 2015-16 Aluminium is widely used to make window frames, doors and industry roofings Power, Construction & Automobile Sectors Account for ~80% of Aluminium Consumption Rising urbanization will contribute to housing demand Primary Aluminium Consumption (FY 16) 100 Smart Cities and 500 AMRUT Cities likely to invite Consumer Others investments of Rs. 2 tn in the next five years Durables 8% 6% Packaging 6% Automotive Sector 3 Automotive Improving consumer sentiments and urbanization will 9% Electricity 56% increase sale of cars and two wheelers Building & Revival in industrial and commercial activity will improve Construction 15% commercial vehicle sales Source: Aluminium Association of India 7
Recent Developments in Aluminium Sector - Global Global demand expected to grow by about 5% in 2016. Stronger USA economy expected to improve demand in USA. Chinese demand expected to grow by 7%. Subdued Europe growth Both alumina and energy prices started hardening. Logistic and transport constraints , environmental issues and caustic soda shortages supporting Alumina prices. Alumina prices aided by the metal production growth. Higher metal prices leading to Chinese restarts 8
Recent Developments in Aluminium Sector - India Pick up in industrial activity and good monsoon expected to help robust domestic demand Domestic demand, Improved LME (US$/MT) price along with Rupee depreciation augurs well for domestic pricing in India. Coal visibility improved with availability of e-auction coal. Cheap imports impacts domestic players. GST implementation will improve investors sentiment and domestic consumption 9
Corporate Presentation (in INR) December, 2016
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