Presentation on the Impact of Raising MEAP and MME Cut Scores to be Consistent with College and Career Readiness 1 P R E S E N T E D F O R D I S C U S S I O N B Y T H E M I C H I G A N S T A T E B O A R D O F E D U C A T I O N January 11, 2011
Background 2 November, 2006 Michigan State Board of Education Meeting Board item presented four options for Michigan Merit Examination (MME) cut scores: 1. Cut scores recommended by the standard setting panel (less rigorous than MEAP HST) 2. Cut scores equivalent in difficulty to the MEAP HST 3. Cut scores equivalent in difficulty to ACT College Readiness Benchmarks (more rigorous than MEAP HST) 4. Cut scores halfway between options 2 and 3 (as a compromise) College Ready Cut Scores for MEAP and MME • January 11, 2011 • Michigan State Board of Education
Background 3 November, 2006 Michigan State Board of Education Meeting The Michigan State Board of Education adopted option 2 Cut scores equivalent in difficulty to the MEAP HST cut scores Board members requested revisiting cut scores to raise them to college readiness in future years College Ready Cut Scores for MEAP and MME • January 11, 2011 • Michigan State Board of Education
Background 4 Current Status Four cohorts of high school students have now taken the MME The first cohort of students required to complete all Michigan Merit Curriculum (MMC) requirements took the MME in Spring 2010 The High School Content Expectations have been in place for four years The Grade Level Content Expectations have been in place for six years The Common Core State Standards have been adopted by the State Board Based on college and career readiness and being on track to becoming college and career ready College Ready Cut Scores for MEAP and MME • January 11, 2011 • Michigan State Board of Education
Background 5 Current Status Current cut scores are based on skills sufficient to succeed in an old manufacturing economy New economy means that cut scores should reflect… Preparedness for college and career (in high school) Being on track (in elementary and middle school) College Ready Cut Scores for MEAP and MME • January 11, 2011 • Michigan State Board of Education
Why College Ready? Source: Current Population Survey, 2008 6 Median Annual Earnings by Educational Attainment Professional Degree $87,775 Educational Attainment Doctoral Degree $80,776 $58,522 Master's Degree $48,097 Bachelor's Degree $36,399 Associate's Degree $31,947 Some College $27,963 HS Graduate (or GED) 9th-12th Grade Non-Grad $20,246 $0 $25,000 $50,000 $75,000 $100,000 Median Annual Earnings College Ready Cut Scores for MEAP and MME • January 11, 2011 • Michigan State Board of Education
Source: American Community Survey, 2004 Why College Ready? Percent of Adults with BS/BA or Higher 20 30 40 60 50 10 0 West Virginia 16 18 19 19 19 Arkansas College Ready Cut Scores for MEAP and MME • January 11, 2011 • Michigan State Board of Education Mississippi Percent of Adults with Bachelor's Degrees or Higher by State Kentucky Nevada Louisiana 22 22 22 22 22 23 23 24 24 24 24 24 24 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 26 26 26 27 27 27 28 28 28 28 28 28 29 29 29 30 31 31 32 32 33 33 34 35 35 Indiana Alabama Tennessee Oklahoma South Dakota Ohio New Mexico Idaho Iowa North Dakota Wisconsin Missouri Michigan South Carolina North Carolina Pennsylvania Arizona Wyoming 7 Florida Georgia Texas Maine Nebraska U.S. Average Alaska Montana Oregon Utah Delaware Rhode Island Kansas Hawaii Illinois California Minnesota New York Washington Vermont New Hampshire Virginia New Jersey Colorado Connecticut Maryland 37 Massachusetts District of Columbia 48
Why College Ready? Source: American Community Survey, 2004 8 Percent of Adults with Bachelor's Degrees or Higher by State 60 Percent of Adults with BS/BA or Higher In 2004, Michigan was ranked #33 among the 50 states plus D.C. 50 (below the national average) 48 40 37 22 22 22 22 22 23 23 24 24 24 24 24 24 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 26 26 26 27 27 27 28 28 28 28 28 28 29 29 29 30 31 31 32 32 33 33 34 35 35 30 20 18 19 19 19 16 10 0 West Virginia Arkansas Mississippi Kentucky Nevada Louisiana Indiana Alabama Tennessee Oklahoma South Dakota Ohio New Mexico Idaho Iowa North Dakota Wisconsin Missouri Michigan South Carolina North Carolina Pennsylvania Arizona Wyoming Florida Georgia Texas Maine Nebraska U.S. Average Alaska Montana Oregon Utah Delaware Rhode Island Kansas Hawaii Illinois California Minnesota New York Washington Vermont New Hampshire Virginia New Jersey Colorado Connecticut Maryland Massachusetts District of Columbia College Ready Cut Scores for MEAP and MME • January 11, 2011 • Michigan State Board of Education
Background 9 Michigan’s Trajectory in Moving Toward College and Career Readiness Performance Expectations 1. Increased Rigor of Content Expectations Grade Level Content Expectations (2004-2005) High School Content Expectations (2006-2007) 2. Increased Rigor of Student Course Taking Expectations Michigan Merit Curriculum (2007) 3. College and Career as Focus of Content Expectations K-12 College and Career Readiness Standards (2010) 4. Focus of Test Content on College and Career High School (Michigan Merit Examination, 2007) All Grades (SMARTER/Balanced Assessment Consortium) 5. Cut Scores Reflective of College and Career Readiness College and Career Ready Cut Scores (High School) On-Track Cut Scores (Elementary and Middle School) College Ready Cut Scores for MEAP and MME • January 11, 2011 • Michigan State Board of Education
Preliminary Cut Score Study 10 Defining College and Career Readiness College Readiness Ready to succeed in first-semester credit-bearing college courses without remediation Career Readiness Ready to succeed in introductory technical career training courses without remediation Why “without remediation?” 25% of first-time freshmen in Michigan community colleges take remedial courses College students who take remedial courses rather than credit bearing courses are more likely to drop out College Ready Cut Scores for MEAP and MME • January 11, 2011 • Michigan State Board of Education
Preliminary Cut Score Study 11 Identifying College and Career Ready Cut Scores Reading and Mathematics only AYP subjects Based on ACT College Readiness Benchmarks 21 in Reading 22 in Mathematics Percent of Michigan 11 th grade public school students who met ACT College Readiness Benchmarks in Spring 2010 38 percent in Reading (65 percent “proficient” on MME) 30 percent in Mathematics (50 percent “proficient” on MME) College Ready Cut Scores for MEAP and MME • January 11, 2011 • Michigan State Board of Education
Preliminary Cut Score Study 12 Identifying College and Career Ready Cut Scores What about Career Readiness? National Assessment Governing Board (NAGB) study Intend to use NAGB methodology for Smarter/Balanced Assessment Consortium definitions Limiting the Current Discussion to College Readiness College Ready Cut Scores for MEAP and MME • January 11, 2011 • Michigan State Board of Education
Preliminary Cut Score Study Methods 13 Basic strategy Start with ACT college readiness benchmarks Good starting point Will need to refine the study What we have for now Work backward toward grade three, matching students from current grades to previous grades Identify cut scores with approximately equal rigor across all grade levels College Ready Cut Scores for MEAP and MME • January 11, 2011 • Michigan State Board of Education
Preliminary Cut Score Study Results 14 Cut Scores Current Projected Increase (in SD's) Grade Math Reading Math Reading Math Reading 3 300 300 336 337 1.64 1.52 4 400 400 435 435 1.51 1.06 5 500 500 530 534 0.92 1.16 6 600 600 629 633 1.01 1.49 7 700 700 729 733 1.02 1.17 8 800 800 822 831 0.79 1.29 11 1100 1100 1113 1120 0.35 0.63 College Ready Cut Scores for MEAP and MME • January 11, 2011 • Michigan State Board of Education
Preliminary Cut Score Study Results 15 Actual and Projected Percent Proficient in Mathematics 100 Actual Percentages in 90 95 92 Base Year (2005-06 87 for MEAP, 2006-07 80 Percent Proficient 82 82 81 80 for MME) 70 73 70 65 60 Actual Percentages in 63 60 2009 (with current 50 cut scores) 50 46 40 40 39 39 38 38 30 34 Projected Percentages 29 20 in 2009 (with projected college 10 ready cut scores) 0 3 4 5 6 7 8 11 Grade College Ready Cut Scores for MEAP and MME • January 11, 2011 • Michigan State Board of Education
Preliminary Cut Score Study Results 16 Actual and Projected Percent Proficient in Reading 100 Actual Percentages in 90 Base Year (2005-06 90 88 87 85 for MEAP, 2006-07 80 84 83 83 Percent Proficient 82 80 80 for MME) 76 70 73 65 60 Actual Percentages in 60 2009 (with current 50 cut scores) 48 40 44 39 38 38 36 35 30 Projected Percentages 20 in 2009 (with projected college 10 ready cut scores) 0 3 4 5 6 7 8 11 Grade College Ready Cut Scores for MEAP and MME • January 11, 2011 • Michigan State Board of Education
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