POL POL201Y1: Po Politics of Development Karol Czuba, University of Toronto Lecture 7: Institutions Institutionalism
Anno Announc uncements • Library session: Today, 2-3.30 pm, in Robarts 4033 Attendance is mandatory • Kevin’s office hours: Tuesday, 13 th June, 1.30-2.30 pm, in either SS 3058 or PoliSci Lounge • Volunteer notetakers needed by Accessibility Services Karol Czuba, University of Toronto
Re Recap • Modernization • Neoliberalism • Geography • History, including colonialism / imperialism à • Exploitation / dependency Karol Czuba, University of Toronto
Re Recap • Geography: why does it matter? Easterly and Levine: “tropics, germs, and crops affect development through institutions ” Easterly, William, and Ross Levine. 2003. “Tropics, germs, and crops: how endowments influence economic development.” Journal of Monetary Economics 50 (1): 3-39. • History: why does it matter? Exploitation à dependency / underdevelopment theories Karol Czuba, University of Toronto Institutions
In Institu titutio tions • ”Stable, valued, recurring patterns of behavior” Huntington, Samuel. 1968. Political Order in Changing Societies . New Haven: Yale University Press. • ”Humanly devised constraints that structure political, economic, and social interaction” North, Douglass. 1990. Institutions, Institutional Change and Economic Performance . Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. • " First , an institution is a set of rules that structure social interactions in particular ways. Second , for a set of rules to be an institution, knowledge of Karol Czuba, University of Toronto these rules must be shared by the members of the relevant community or society.” Knight, Jack. 1992. Institutions and Social Conflict . Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. • “Rules of the game” North, Douglass. “Institutions and Credible Commitment.” Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics (JITE) / Zeitschrift Für Die Gesamte Staatswissenschaft 149, no. 1 (1993): 11-23.
Ty Types of institutions • Formal: E.g. rule of law, laws, courts, recognized rights (such as property rights), systems of contract enforcement • Informal: E.g. customs, norms, ideological consensus Karol Czuba, University of Toronto
Ev Evidence that institutions ma matter: r: Ac Acemogl glu et et al. (2001) • Disease environment determined colonial policies, which in turn resulted in the establishment of different political regimes and divergent development trajectories. Acemoglu, Daron, Simon Johnson, and James A. Robinson. 2001. “The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development: An Empirical Investigation.” American Economic Review 91 (5). Karol Czuba, University of Toronto
Ev Evidence that institutions matter: Sokoloff an and Eng Engerman • Latin America: Large and concentrated factor endowments: Brazil and the Caribbean: production of sugar and other highly valued crops (that required extensive use of slaves) Mexico and Peru: rich mineral resources -> Highly unequal distribution of wealth, elite persistence and stability -> In the long term, low economic development • Canada and the United States: Karol Czuba, University of Toronto More limited factor endowments: production of grains and hays, based on labourers of European descent who had relatively high and similar levels of human capital -> Relatively equal distribution of wealth -> Large middle class, small elites -> High economic development Sokoloff, Kenneth, and Stanley Engerman. 2000. "History lessons: Institutions, factor endowments, and paths of development in the New World." Journal of Economic Perspectives 14 (3): 217-32.
Ev Evidence that institutions matter: : Ro Rodrik et et al. • Deep determinants of economic development: Geography Market integration Institutions • The quality of institutions contributes to income level much more than geography and trade Karol Czuba, University of Toronto Rodrik, Dani, Arvind Subramanian and Francesco Trebbi. 2004. “Institutions Rule: The Primacy of Institutions Over Geography and Integration in Economic Development.” Journal of Economic Growth 9: 131-165.
Ev Evidence that institutions matter: Dell • Mita : forced labour system instituted by the Spanish government in Peru and Bolivia in 1573 and abolished in 1812 • 200 indigenous communities required to send one-seventh of their adult male population Karol Czuba, University of Toronto to work in the Potosí silver mines and Huancavelica mercury mines • Elevation, ethnic distribution, etc. identical across the study (grey) boundary (natural experiment)
Ev Evidence that institutions matter: Dell • Long-run mita effect: 25% lower household consumption 6% higher childhood stunting Decreased integration into into road networks Increased prevalence of subsistence agriculture Historically weaker property rights Karol Czuba, University of Toronto Historically lower education attainment Dell, Melissa. 2010. “The Persistent Effects of Peru’s Mining Mita .” Econometrica 78 (6): 1863–1903.
Ev Evidence that institutions matter: Ac Acemogl glu et et al. (2002) • “Reversal of fortune”: In 1500, civilizations in Meso-America, the Andes, India, and Southeast Asia were richer than those located in North America, Australia, New Zealand, or the southern cone of Latin America 500 years later, the reverse is true Karol Czuba, University of Toronto
Ev Evidence that institutions matter: Ac Acemogl glu et et al. (2002) • Differential profitability of alternative colonization strategies in different environments: Extractive institutions that concentrate power in the hands of a small elite in prosperous and densely settled areas (forced labour in mines and plantations, excessive taxation) Institutions of private property (i.e. inclusive institutions) in previously sparsely settled areas that saw European settlement (encouragement of commerce, and industry through secure property rights) Karol Czuba, University of Toronto • Institutional reversal à reversal in relative incomes Acemoglu, Daron, James Robinson, and Simon Johnson. 2002. “Reversal of Fortune: Geography and Institutions in the Making of the Modern World Income Distribution.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 117(4): 1231-1294.
Bu But why y do institutions s ma matter? r? Karol Czuba, University of Toronto
Func Functio tions ns of ins institutio titutions ns • Reduction of costs of political and economic bargaining: Bargaining / contestation as an integral component of both political action and economic exchange à Contracts Procedures that enforce compliance, detect deviations / violations, and reduce uncertainty • Constraints on power: Karol Czuba, University of Toronto ”Humanly devised constraints that structure political, economic, and social interaction.” North, Douglass. 1990. Institutions, Institutional Change and Economic Performance . Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
In Institu titutio tionaliz alizatio tion • Institutionalization: “the process by which organizations and procedures acquire value and stability” Huntington, Samuel. 1968. Political Order in Changing Societies . New Haven: Yale University Press. • Institutionalization != political development • Political development: “change over time in political institutions.” Fukuyama, Francis. 2014. Political Order and Political Decay . New York: Farrar, Straus, and Giroux. Karol Czuba, University of Toronto
In Institu titutio tional al em emer ergen ence • Path dependence and increasing returns / self-reinforcement • Critical junctures • Design vs. accident Karol Czuba, University of Toronto
In Institu titutio tional al em emer ergen ence: e: des esig ign • Interclan conflict in Genoa in the 12 th century • A series of civil wars • Critical juncture: participation in imperial campaign to conquer Sicily offered considerable rewards if the Genoese could unite à • 1194: decision to alter the existing political system (i.e. alter the rules of the Genoese political game) and appoint a podesta , a non-Genoese hired by the Karol Czuba, University of Toronto city to be its military leader, judge, and administrator for a short period of time (usually a year) Greif, Avner. 1998. “Self-enforcing political systems and economic growth: Late Medieval Genoa.” In Bates, Robert H., Avner Greif, Margaret Levi, Jean-Laurent Rosenthal, Barry R. Weingast (eds.). Analytic narratives . Princeton: Princeton University Press. 25-64.
In Institu titutio tional al em emer ergen ence: : accident • Long-term path dependent evolution à • Increasing returns / self-reinforcement à • Lock-in Karol Czuba, University of Toronto
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