ATLANTAREGIONAL FREIGHT MOBILITY PLAN UPDATE FATF: Discussion of Trade Trends, Freight Clusters and Regional Performance, and Project Prioritization October 14, 2015
Agenda • Introductions • Trade Trends • Freight Activity Clusters • Regional Freight Performance • Freight Project Prioritization • Freight Programs • Next Steps
Atlanta-Savannah Truck and Train Flows B ETWEEN A TLANTA B ETWEEN A TLANTA T OTAL B ETWEEN AND P ORT OF AND R EST OF A TLANTA AND M ODE S AVANNAH C HATHAM C OUNTY C HATHAM C OUNTY Loaded Trucks Annual 71,532 31,967 103,499 Loaded Trucks per Day 286 128 414 Total Trucks Annual 162,500 72,750 235,250 Total Trucks Per Day* 650 291 941 Number of IMX Trains 3 0 3 Per Day Note: Data represent both directions of traffic. Daily figures based on 250 workday year Source: 2013 ARC Transearch Data, *2015 Draft GDOT Truck Survey, GDOT OTD, consultant analysis
Import Gateways for Metro Atlanta (Tons transported inland by dry-van or reefer truck) Other National Source: IHS Transearch
Import Gateways for Metro Atlanta (Automobile units transported inland by truck) Other National Source: IHS Transearch
ARC Counties Receiving Imports by Truck from Savannah Imports from Savannah (in Tons) High : 75,000 Low : 50 Regional Truck Routes Expressways Source: IHS Transearch Counties
Panama Canal Expansion East Coast Port Shares of Container Import Tonnage from Northeast Asia Source: US Census Bureau Foreign Trade Data and Parsons Brinckerhoff analysis • Expansion completion: 2016 • Capacity of largest vessels will increase from 5,000 TEUs to >13,000 TEUs • Reduced per-unit shipping costs • Large coastal shifts have already occurred, favoring Savannah
Panama Canal Expansion East Coast Share: Container Imports from Northeast Asia by Product Value Segment ($/kg) Source: US Census Bureau Foreign Trade Data (2013 value) and Parsons Brinckerhoff analysis • Impacts: Atlanta Region not likely to see overall increase in total volumes/consumption • Likely result: modal shift to goods arriving via rail or truck through Savannah, from arrival today by rail from west coast ports – Subsequent impacts on warehousing/DC locations – Trends indicate greater impact on lower-value goods
Freight Activity Clusters
Daily Truck Counts on ASTRoMaP System Truck Counts Less than 1k 1k to 5k 5k to 10k More than 10k Regional Truck Routes Expressways Source: GDOT/ARC Counties
Manufacturing Clusters Manufacturing Density Scale Low Medium High Regional Truck Routes Expressways Source: GA Power Counties
Manufacturing Clusters • Clusters data used to identify key freight corridors L EASED A REA P ERCENT OF T OTAL N O . OF C LUSTER ( SQ . FT .) L EASED A REA F IRMS I-20 East 8,866,434 12% 50 Fulton Industrial 5,727,596 8% 70 Boulevard I-85/PIB/Jimmy 3,736,728 5% 60 Carter Blvd Remainder of Region 56,331,071 75% 793 Total 74,661,829 100% 973 Source: GA Power
Warehouse Clusters Warehouse - Distribution Scale Low Medium High Regional Truck Routes Expressways Source: GA Power Counties
Warehouse and Distribution Center Cluster P ERCENT L EASED A REA OF T OTAL N O . OF A VERAGE C LUSTER ( SQ . FT .) L EASED A REA F IRMS F ACILITY S IZE Fulton Industrial Boulevard 21,860,200 17% 83 263,376 McDonough/Henry 17,364,802 13% 32 542,650 I-85/PIB/Jimmy Carter 7,699,134 6% 38 202,609 Boulevard Airport/Clayton 6,607,929 5% 22 300,360 Fairburn/Camp Creek 6,136,180 5% 14 438,299 Gwinnett/Satellite Blvd/SR 3,895,954 3% 15 259,730 316 Remainder of Region 66,312,866 51% 217 305,589 Total 129,877,065 100% 421 308,497 Source: GA Power
Consumption Clusters: Regional Centers Source: ARC
Atlanta’s Primary Freight Clusters • 11 Freight intensive clusters identified using freight facility and regional center data
Key Findings and Discussion • A large portion of freight activity occurs within a handful of clusters • Fulton Industrial Boulevard is a critical freight corridor for the region – Home to the largest number of DCs, manufacturing activity, and vacant industrial buildings – Consistently mentioned by industrial real estate brokers as likely location of future industrial buildings • ASTRoMaP reaches the region: clusters and large portions of activity not in a cluster • Should region pursue a policy of encouraging continued clustering of freight activity?
Regional Freight Performance
Accessibility Performance Measure 7 Origin Clusters to 7 Destination Clusters • Cross-coverage of region ORIGINS: DESTINATIONS: Region Centers & Distribution Manufacturing & Region Buckhead Kennesaw/ Alpharetta Airport/ McDonough/ Gwinnett/ Distribution Core Barrett Pkwy Clayton Co Henry Co Satellite Blvd./SR 316 Fulton Industrial Blvd. I-85/PIB/JC Blvd. I-20 East/Conyers/ Covington Fairburn/Camp Creek Airport/Clayton McDonough/Henry Gwinnett/Satellite Blvd./SR 316
Fulton Industrial Boulevard Speed Performance • FIB trucks experience significant congestion travelling to key destinations PM Peak: 5-6PM Source: ARC INRIX
Fulton Industrial Boulevard Reliability Performance • Travel between FIB and key destinations is highly unpredictable PM Peak: 5-6PM Source: ARC INRIX
FIB - 1-Hour Reliability Travel Shed at PM Peak • During peak hours, FIB trucks cannot reliably reach key destinations within 1 hour PM M Peak: 5-6PM Source: ARC INRIX
McDonough/Henry County Speed Performance • McDonough trucks experience significant congestion travelling to key destinations PM Peak: 5-6PM Source: ARC INRIX
McDonough/Henry County Reliability Performance • Travel between McDonough and key destinations is highly unpredictable PM Peak: 5-6PM Source: ARC INRIX
McDonough - 1-Hour Reliability Travel Shed at PM Peak • During peak hours, McDonough trucks cannot reliably reach key destinations within 1 hour PM M Peak: 5-6PM Source: ARC INRIX
Many Key Freight Corridors Have High Truck Crash Levels E ST . A NNUAL C OUNTY R OADWAY N UMBER OF C RASHES C LUSTER Fulton Fulton Industrial Boulevard 163 Fulton Industrial Blvd Fulton Camp Creek Parkway 100 Fulton Industrial Blvd Henry Highway 155 80 McDonough DeKalb Briarcliff Road 77 None Clayton Old Dixie Road/SR 155 74 Airport/Clayton Clayton Riverdale Road 63 Airport/Clayton DeKalb Bouldercrest Road 57 None Clayton Forest Parkway 51 Airport/Clayton DeKalb Clairmont Road 43 None Henry State Route 20 40 McDonough Gwinnett Buford Highway 37 I-85/PIB/JCB Gwinnett Jimmy Carter Boulevard 37 I-85/PIB/JCB Fulton Donald Lee Hollowell Parkway 34 Fulton Industrial Blvd Gwinnett Satellite Boulevard 29 Gwinnett/SatBlv/316
Key Findings from Corridor Performance Analysis • Many key corridors accessing freight clusters have three critical issues – High levels of congestion – Unpredictable traffic conditions – High levels of crash incidence
Freight Project Prioritization
Projects Identified as Freight Or on ASTRoMaP • Approximately 560 projects identified from existing plans Legend Identified Freight Projects or Projects on ASTRoMaP Network Low Travel Time Reliability (Buffer time index > 0.6) Regional Truck Routes Expressways Counties
Projects Identified as Freight And on ASTRoMaP • Approximately 160 freight projects identified from existing plans on ASTRoMaP Network Legend Identified Freight Projects on ASTRoMaP Network Low Travel Time Reliability (Buffer time index > 0.6) Regional Truck Routes Expressways Counties
160 Projects Sectional Views: Inside the Perimeter Legend Identified Freight Projects on ASTRoMaP Network Low Travel Time Reliability (Buffer time index > 0.6) Regional Truck Routes Expressways Counties
160 Projects Sectional Views: Northeast Legend Identified Freight Projects on ASTRoMaP Network Low Travel Time Reliability (Buffer time index > 0.6) Regional Truck Routes Expressways Counties
160 Projects Sectional Views: Northwest Legend Identified Freight Projects on ASTRoMaP Network Low Travel Time Reliability (Buffer time index > 0.6) Regional Truck Routes Expressways Counties
160 Projects Sectional Views: Southeast Legend Identified Freight Projects on ASTRoMaP Network Low Travel Time Reliability (Buffer time index > 0.6) Regional Truck Routes Expressways Counties
160 Projects Sectional Views: Southwest Legend Identified Freight Projects on ASTRoMaP Network Low Travel Time Reliability (Buffer time index > 0.6) Regional Truck Routes Expressways Counties
Freight Project Prioritization Process • Screening process conducted by ARC/FATF • Three Stage Screening: – Feasibility – Goal Advancement – Project Portfolio
1 st Stage - Feasibility • Each project scored as a “yes/no” – Any “No” – eliminates project – All “Yes” – advances project to 2 nd Stage D IMENSION C RITERION Identified as freight project, or located on Relevance ASTRoMaP (~ Critical Urban Freight Corridors) Community No major community opposition known, or has Support strong community support No major funding obstacle known (e.g. does not Financial overwhelm budget) Benefit If known: benefits exceed (or expected to exceed) Cost Ratio costs
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