Rapid Global Mobility Through Space Pathways to Point-to-Point Space Lift Lt Col Nate Kitzke, USAF AMC Future Concepts and Transformation
Introduction Great Power Competition • Thriving New Commercial Space Industry • Future of Multi-Domain Networks • USAF & DoD Transportation Gaps • Ultra-Low Cost Access to Space • Opportunities are on the horizon • CRADA and Next Steps • Civil Reserve Space Fleet (CRSF) Concept •
Gr Great P Power er Com ompetition • Forward force maneuver and posture resilience. “Investments will prioritize ground, air, sea, and space forces that can deploy, survive, operate, maneuver, and regenerate in all domains while under attack.” - National Defense Strategy 2018 • “China is strengthening its military space capabilities despite its stance against the militarization of space.” - SpaceNews Aug 2018 • In 2015, the Chinese military set up a “Strategic Support Force” to centralize the management of Space, Cyber, and Electronic Warfare missions. – RAND Sept 2017
Future Chinese Strategic Pl Plans for r Space • In December of 2018, China will launch a lander to the South Pole of the Moon and will deliver a small rover for the first time two weeks later. - The Business Insider – Aug 2018 • “China will probably launch, assemble in-orbit, and operate a crewed Chinese space station before 2025.” - Space.com – Aug 2018 • Chinese Academic Institutions have written reports that suggest China should begin developing an experimental space-based solar power station by 2030 - Forbes – Sep 2015
Kessl sler Syn yndrome • A scenario in which the density of objects in low earth orbit (LEO) is high enough that collisions between objects could cause a cascade where each collision generates space debris. • In 2008, a Chinese ASAT test created 2,000 more pieces of space debris and the number has exponentially increased since.
Reports rts of Thriving New Space Industr try
Future Markets
Future of Multi-Dom omain Ne Networ orks
USAF AF and DoD T Transport rtation Gaps • Beyond Line of Sight Communications and Data • Battle Space Awareness • Autonomous Operations • New Ways of doing business with Cloud Computing, Networking as a Service, the Internet of Things, Block Chain and Bitcoin
Ultra Low Cos Cost Acces ess t s to o Sp Space • Air University “FAST SPACE Study” (2017) • Atlas V - $5,000/lb to LEO • Falcon 9 - $1,250/lb to LEO • Falcon Heavy - > $1,000/lb to LEO • BFR - $33/lb to LEO
Over $ r $16 Billion has been invested in Space Startups s since C Calendar r Year r 2000 • Air University “FAST SPACE Study” (2017)
Initi tial C Commercial P Partn tnerships
New Opport rtunities are on the Hori rizon
Po Point-to-Poi oint S Space L e Lift
New P ew Paradigm – Pivot t to t o the P e Pacif ific ic
Point for r Compari rison • $3-5 / lb From US to Middle East • $33 / lb From US to Middle East • Max payload – 180K lbs • Max payload – 300K lbs • Time it takes – (48 – 72 hrs) • Time it takes – less than 1 hour
Points for C r Compari rison
Collaborative R Research a and Developm pment Agreem emen ent ( (CRA RADA) • Collaborative Research Tool allowing shared information flow between DoD Organizations and Industry Partners • Currently Collaborating with AMC, USTRANSCOM, Space and Missile Center (SMC), and Air Education Training Command (AETC) • Request for Information (RFI) has been posted on FedBiz Ops • We already have two companies with interest
Next S Steps • AFRL / SPDE – Global Lightning (Spring 2019)
Next S Steps • Technical Requirements Document and Interface Control Documents to move DoD Cargo via Commercial Space Lift • Potential sources for support • AFRL / SDPE • USTRANSCOM RDT&E
Civi vil Reserve S Space F Fleet
Qu Ques estion ons
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