The 5th AIM International Workshop Outline of Impact Model in Korea Seongwoo Jeon 1 Huicheul Jung 1 Sungmoon Chung 1 Dongkun Lee 2 Taeyong Jung 3 Yongjun Kim 4 1. Korea Environment Institute, Korea 2. Sangmyung University, Korea 3. Institute for Global Environment Strategies, Japan 4. Meteorological Research Institute, Korea Meteorological Administration, Korea
I. Contents I. Contents � General Reviews � General Reviews � Module Module- -by by- -Module Examinations Module Examinations � � Data Collection, Analysis, and Establishment Data Collection, Analysis, and Establishment � � Evaluation of Water Balance Model Outputs Evaluation of Water Balance Model Outputs � � Future Plans Future Plans � AIM /Korea Team AIM /Korea Team 2 2
II. Objectives II. Objectives � To Develop an AIM/Korea Impact Model on To Develop an AIM/Korea Impact Model on � the Conceptual Framework Developed by the Conceptual Framework Developed by the the Japanese AIM Team Japanese AIM Team � To Tune Up and Modify the AIM/Impact To Tune Up and Modify the AIM/Impact � Model to Enhance the Data Compatibility Model to Enhance the Data Compatibility and and Prediction Performance Prediction Performance AIM /Korea Team AIM /Korea Team 3 3
III. AIM Impact Model III. AIM Impact Model Global average Cilmate data GCM Outputs Temp. increase C ilmate Module Future Climate Change Water c yc le Module Natural ecosystem Water transport Module Crop production Module Module AIM /Korea Team AIM /Korea Team 4 4
IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model 1. Data Set for Model 1. Data Set for Model � National Land Cover National Land Cover Classification Map Classification Map � � National Digital Elevation Model National Digital Elevation Model � � National Current Vegetation Map National Current Vegetation Map � � National Soil Map National Soil Map � Regional General Circulation Model � Regional General Circulation Model � AIM /Korea Team AIM /Korea Team 5 5
IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model � National National Landcover Landcover Classification Map Classification Map � - Raw Data : - Raw Data : Landsat Landsat TM TM - Methods - Methods - - Classify the land cover into 7 categories Classify the land cover into 7 categories by a combination of unsupervised and by a combination of unsupervised and supervised classification methods supervised classification methods using Landsat using Landsat TM TM satellite data satellite data - The 7 classification categories are: The 7 classification categories are: - Built- -up area, forest, agricultural area, up area, forest, agricultural area, Built grassland, barren land, wetland, and water grassland, barren land, wetland, and water - The classification accuracy is - The classification accuracy is estimated to be 75% to 85% maintaining estimated to be 75% to 85% maintaining 30- -meter ground resolution meter ground resolution 30 AIM /Korea Team AIM /Korea Team 6 6
IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model � National Digital Elevation Model National Digital Elevation Model � - Raw Data : 1:50,000 Scale Contour - Raw Data : 1:50,000 Scale Contour - Methods - Methods - Derived from the contour layer Derived from the contour layer - of 1:50,000 standard topographic of 1:50,000 standard topographic digital map digital map - Grid size is 30m Grid size is 30m - AIM /Korea Team AIM /Korea Team 7 7
IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model � National Current Vegetation Map National Current Vegetation Map � - Raw Data : Korean Actual Vegetation Map - Raw Data : Korean Actual Vegetation Map produced by the Ministry of Environment, produced by the Ministry of Environment, Korea Korea - Methods - Methods - Digitalized - Digitalized the 1:50,000 scale National Actual the 1:50,000 scale National Actual Vegetation Map produced by the Korean Vegetation Map produced by the Korean Ministry of Environment to Ministry of Environment to GIS GIS format format - Vegetation community level classification - Vegetation community level classification by ground truth survey by ground truth survey - 1:50,000 scale National - 1:50,000 scale National GIS GIS Database Project and Database Project and currently updating the records currently updating the records - Representing 229 vegetation communities - Representing 229 vegetation communities AIM /Korea Team AIM /Korea Team 8 8
IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model � National Soil Map National Soil Map � - Raw Data : National Soil Map produced by - Raw Data : National Soil Map produced by National National Institute of Agricultural Science and Technology (NIAST) Institute of Agricultural Science and Technology (NIAST) - Methods - Methods - Classification based on the soil's physical - Classification based on the soil's physical characteristics characteristics <Soil Map> - Field capacity is calculated with soil texture, Field capacity is calculated with soil texture, - soil depth, and water content percentage soil depth, and water content percentage - Expected to be completed by the end of 2000 Expected to be completed by the end of 2000 - <FC Map> AIM /Korea Team AIM /Korea Team 9 9
IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model � Regional General Circulation Model Regional General Circulation Model � - Raw Data : - Raw Data : GCM GCM Data produced by Data produced by Meteorological research Institute(METRI) Meteorological research Institute( METRI) - Methods - Methods - Physical model using general circulation Physical model using general circulation - model(GCM) based on the boundary model(GCM) based on the boundary condition condition - Used as the atmospheric inputs to run Used as the atmospheric inputs to run - METRI- -meso meso Realtime Realtime Forecast Model Forecast Model METRI - Grid size is 60Km Grid size is 60Km - AIM /Korea Team AIM /Korea Team 10 10
IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model 2. Comparison of Results; ; 2. Comparison of Results Assessment of Impact on Korea's Water Assessment of Impact on Korea's Water Resources Resources � AIM/Korean IMPACT model has been AIM/Korean IMPACT model has been reprogramed reprogramed � by FORTRAN to enhance the data compatibility by FORTRAN to enhance the data compatibility � Climate Data and Information Basis Climate Data and Information Basis � - Input data is interpolated into 0.1 degree grid with 50 pixels Input data is interpolated into 0.1 degree grid with 50 pixels - in column and 60 pixels in row. in column and 60 pixels in row. - 1 1- -degree field capacity data is degree field capacity data is resampled resampled to 0.1 to 0.1- -degree grid data degree grid data - - The surface runoff under current climate is validated with a The surface runoff under current climate is validated with a - model model developed by Korea Research Institute for Human Settlements developed by Korea Research Institute for Human Settlements AIM /Korea Team AIM /Korea Team 11 11
IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model 39.0 39.0 38.0 38.0 575.00 170.00 525.00 160.00 475.00 37.0 37.0 150.00 425.00 140.00 375.00 130.00 Latitude Latitude 325.00 36.0 36.0 120.00 275.00 110.00 225.00 100.00 175.00 35.0 35.0 125.00 90.00 75.00 80.00 25.00 70.00 34.0 34.0 -25.00 60.00 33.0 33.0 125.0 126.0 127.0 128.0 129.0 130.0 125.0 126.0 127.0 128.0 129.0 130.0 Longitude Longitude Change in Yearly Precipitation Field Capacity (mm) Expected by Climate Change (mm/year) AIM /Korea Team AIM /Korea Team 12 12
IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model 39.0 39.0 38.0 38.0 140.00 850.00 137.00 134.00 750.00 37.0 37.0 131.00 650.00 128.00 Latitude Latitude 125.00 550.00 36.0 36.0 122.00 450.00 119.00 116.00 350.00 35.0 113.00 35.0 250.00 110.00 107.00 150.00 104.00 34.0 34.0 50.00 101.00 33.0 33.0 125.0 126.0 127.0 128.0 129.0 130.0 125.0 126.0 127.0 128.0 129.0 130.0 Longitude Longitude Change in Yearly Potential Yearly Surface Runoff Evapotranspiration (mm/year) (Current Climate) (mm/year) AIM /Korea Team AIM /Korea Team 13 13
IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model Yearly Surface Runoff 39.0 39.0 38.0 38.0 850.00 850.00 750.00 37.0 750.00 37.0 650.00 650.00 Latitude 550.00 Latitude 550.00 36.0 36.0 450.00 450.00 350.00 350.00 35.0 35.0 250.00 250.00 150.00 150.00 34.0 34.0 50.00 50.00 33.0 33.0 125.0 126.0 127.0 128.0 129.0 130.0 125.0 126.0 127.0 128.0 129.0 130.0 Longitude Longitude Current Climate Changed Climate (mm/year) AIM /Korea Team AIM /Korea Team 14 14
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