Outline of Impact Model in Korea Seongwoo Jeon 1 Huicheul Jung 1 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Outline of Impact Model in Korea Seongwoo Jeon 1 Huicheul Jung 1 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Oct 22, 2023 35 likes •217 views

The 5th AIM International Workshop Outline of Impact Model in Korea Seongwoo Jeon 1 Huicheul Jung 1 Sungmoon Chung 1 Dongkun Lee 2 Taeyong Jung 3 Yongjun Kim 4 1. Korea Environment Institute, Korea 2. Sangmyung University, Korea 3. Institute

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SLIDE 1

The 5th AIM International Workshop

Outline of Impact Model in Korea

Seongwoo Jeon1 Huicheul Jung1 Sungmoon Chung1 Dongkun Lee2 Taeyong Jung3 Yongjun Kim4

  • 1. Korea Environment Institute, Korea
  • 2. Sangmyung University, Korea
  • 3. Institute for Global Environment Strategies, Japan
  • 4. Meteorological Research Institute, Korea Meteorological Administration, Korea
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SLIDE 2

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AIM /Korea Team AIM /Korea Team

  • I. Contents
  • I. Contents
  • General Reviews

General Reviews

  • Module

Module-

  • by

by-

  • Module Examinations

Module Examinations

  • Data Collection, Analysis, and Establishment

Data Collection, Analysis, and Establishment

  • Evaluation of Water Balance Model Outputs

Evaluation of Water Balance Model Outputs

  • Future Plans

Future Plans

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SLIDE 3

3 3

AIM /Korea Team AIM /Korea Team

  • II. Objectives
  • II. Objectives
  • To Develop an AIM/Korea Impact Model on

To Develop an AIM/Korea Impact Model on the Conceptual Framework Developed by the Conceptual Framework Developed by the the Japanese AIM Team Japanese AIM Team

  • To Tune Up and Modify the AIM/Impact

To Tune Up and Modify the AIM/Impact Model to Enhance the Data Compatibility Model to Enhance the Data Compatibility and and Prediction Performance Prediction Performance

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SLIDE 4

4 4

AIM /Korea Team AIM /Korea Team

  • III. AIM Impact Model
  • III. AIM Impact Model

Cilmate data GCM Outputs Global average

  • Temp. increase

C ilmate Module Water c yc le Module Water transport Module Crop production Module Natural ecosystem Module

Future Climate Change

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SLIDE 5

5 5

AIM /Korea Team AIM /Korea Team

  • IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model
  • IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model
  • 1. Data Set for Model
  • 1. Data Set for Model
  • National Land Cover

National Land Cover Classification Map Classification Map

  • National Digital Elevation Model

National Digital Elevation Model

  • National Current Vegetation Map

National Current Vegetation Map

  • National Soil Map

National Soil Map

  • Regional General Circulation Model

Regional General Circulation Model

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SLIDE 6

6 6

AIM /Korea Team AIM /Korea Team

  • IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model
  • IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model
  • National

National Landcover Landcover Classification Map Classification Map

  • Raw Data :

Raw Data : Landsat Landsat TM TM

  • Methods

Methods

  • Classify the land cover into 7 categories

Classify the land cover into 7 categories by a combination of unsupervised and by a combination of unsupervised and supervised classification methods supervised classification methods using using Landsat Landsat TM TM satellite data satellite data

  • The 7 classification categories are:

The 7 classification categories are: Built Built-

  • up area, forest, agricultural area,

up area, forest, agricultural area, grassland, barren land, wetland, and water grassland, barren land, wetland, and water

  • The classification accuracy is

The classification accuracy is estimated to be 75% to 85% maintaining estimated to be 75% to 85% maintaining 30 30-

  • meter ground resolution

meter ground resolution

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SLIDE 7

7 7

AIM /Korea Team AIM /Korea Team

  • IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model
  • IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model
  • National Digital Elevation Model

National Digital Elevation Model

  • Raw Data : 1:50,000 Scale Contour

Raw Data : 1:50,000 Scale Contour

  • Methods

Methods

  • Derived from the contour layer

Derived from the contour layer

  • f 1:50,000 standard topographic
  • f 1:50,000 standard topographic

digital map digital map

  • Grid size is 30m

Grid size is 30m

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SLIDE 8

8 8

AIM /Korea Team AIM /Korea Team

  • IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model
  • IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model
  • National Current Vegetation Map

National Current Vegetation Map

  • Raw Data : Korean Actual Vegetation Map

Raw Data : Korean Actual Vegetation Map produced by the Ministry of Environment, produced by the Ministry of Environment, Korea Korea

  • Methods

Methods

  • Digitalized

Digitalized the 1:50,000 scale National Actual the 1:50,000 scale National Actual Vegetation Map produced by the Korean Vegetation Map produced by the Korean Ministry of Environment to Ministry of Environment to GIS GIS format format

  • Vegetation community level classification

Vegetation community level classification by ground truth survey by ground truth survey

  • 1:50,000 scale National

1:50,000 scale National GIS GIS Database Project and Database Project and currently updating the records currently updating the records

  • Representing 229 vegetation communities

Representing 229 vegetation communities

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SLIDE 9

9 9

AIM /Korea Team AIM /Korea Team

  • IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model
  • IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model
  • National Soil Map

National Soil Map

  • Raw Data : National Soil Map produced by

Raw Data : National Soil Map produced by National National Institute of Agricultural Science and Technology (NIAST) Institute of Agricultural Science and Technology (NIAST)

  • Methods

Methods

  • Classification based on the soil's physical

Classification based on the soil's physical characteristics characteristics

  • Field capacity is calculated with soil texture,

Field capacity is calculated with soil texture, soil depth, and water content percentage soil depth, and water content percentage

  • Expected to be completed by the end of 2000

Expected to be completed by the end of 2000

<Soil Map> <FC Map>

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SLIDE 10

10 10

AIM /Korea Team AIM /Korea Team

  • IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model
  • IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model
  • Regional General Circulation Model

Regional General Circulation Model

  • Raw Data :

Raw Data : GCM GCM Data produced by Data produced by Meteorological research Institute( Meteorological research Institute(METRI) METRI)

  • Methods

Methods

  • Physical model using general circulation

Physical model using general circulation model(GCM) based on the boundary model(GCM) based on the boundary condition condition

  • Used as the atmospheric inputs to run

Used as the atmospheric inputs to run METRI METRI-

  • meso

meso Realtime Realtime Forecast Model Forecast Model

  • Grid size is 60Km

Grid size is 60Km

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11 11

AIM /Korea Team AIM /Korea Team

  • IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model
  • IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model
  • 2. Comparison of Results
  • 2. Comparison of Results;

;

Assessment of Impact on Korea's Water Assessment of Impact on Korea's Water Resources Resources

  • AIM/Korean IMPACT model has been

AIM/Korean IMPACT model has been reprogramed reprogramed by FORTRAN to enhance the data compatibility by FORTRAN to enhance the data compatibility

  • Climate Data and Information Basis

Climate Data and Information Basis

  • Input data is interpolated into 0.1 degree grid with 50 pixels

Input data is interpolated into 0.1 degree grid with 50 pixels in column and 60 pixels in row. in column and 60 pixels in row.

  • 1

1-

  • degree field capacity data is

degree field capacity data is resampled resampled to 0.1 to 0.1-

  • degree grid data

degree grid data

  • The surface runoff under current climate is validated with a

The surface runoff under current climate is validated with a model model developed by Korea Research Institute for Human Settlements developed by Korea Research Institute for Human Settlements

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SLIDE 12

12 12

AIM /Korea Team AIM /Korea Team

  • IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model
  • IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model

125.0 126.0 127.0 128.0 129.0 130.0 Longitude 33.0 34.0 35.0 36.0 37.0 38.0 39.0

Latitude

  • 25.00

25.00 75.00 125.00 175.00 225.00 275.00 325.00 375.00 425.00 475.00 525.00 575.00 125.0 126.0 127.0 128.0 129.0 130.0 Longitude

33.0 34.0 35.0 36.0 37.0 38.0 39.0

Latitude

60.00 70.00 80.00 90.00 100.00 110.00 120.00 130.00 140.00 150.00 160.00 170.00

Field Capacity (mm) Change in Yearly Precipitation Expected by Climate Change (mm/year)

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SLIDE 13

13 13

AIM /Korea Team AIM /Korea Team

  • IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model
  • IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model

125.0 126.0 127.0 128.0 129.0 130.0 Longitude 33.0 34.0 35.0 36.0 37.0 38.0 39.0

Latitude 101.00 104.00 107.00 110.00 113.00 116.00 119.00 122.00 125.00 128.00 131.00 134.00 137.00 140.00

125.0 126.0 127.0 128.0 129.0 130.0 Longitude 33.0 34.0 35.0 36.0 37.0 38.0 39.0

Latitude 50.00 150.00 250.00 350.00 450.00 550.00 650.00 750.00 850.00

Change in Yearly Potential Evapotranspiration (mm/year) Yearly Surface Runoff (Current Climate) (mm/year)

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SLIDE 14

14 14

AIM /Korea Team AIM /Korea Team

  • IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model
  • IV. AIM/Korea Impact Model

125.0 126.0 127.0 128.0 129.0 130.0 Longitude 33.0 34.0 35.0 36.0 37.0 38.0 39.0

Latitude

50.00 150.00 250.00 350.00 450.00 550.00 650.00 750.00 850.00 125.0 126.0 127.0 128.0 129.0 130.0 Longitude 33.0 34.0 35.0 36.0 37.0 38.0 39.0

Latitude

50.00 150.00 250.00 350.00 450.00 550.00 650.00 750.00 850.00

Current Climate Changed Climate (mm/year) Yearly Surface Runoff

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SLIDE 15

15 15

AIM /Korea Team AIM /Korea Team

  • IV. AIM/Impact Model
  • IV. AIM/Impact Model

125.0 126.0 127.0 128.0 129.0 130.0 Longitude 33.0 34.0 35.0 36.0 37.0 38.0 39.0

Latitude

  • 100.00
  • 90.00
  • 80.00
  • 70.00
  • 60.00
  • 50.00
  • 40.00
  • 30.00
  • 20.00
  • 10.00

0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 125.0 126.0 127.0 128.0 129.0 130.0 Longitude 33.0 34.0 35.0 36.0 37.0 38.0 39.0

Latitude

  • 100.00
  • 90.00
  • 80.00
  • 70.00
  • 60.00
  • 50.00
  • 40.00
  • 30.00
  • 20.00
  • 10.00

0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00

Difference in Yearly Surface Runoff between the KRIHS Model and Produced Model (Under Current Climate, mm/year) Difference in Yearly Surface Runoff between Runoffs under Current Climate and Changed Climate ( mm/year)

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SLIDE 16

16 16

AIM /Korea Team AIM /Korea Team

  • IV. AIM Impact Model in Korea
  • IV. AIM Impact Model in Korea
  • 3. Watershed Delineation
  • 3. Watershed Delineation;

;

  • Arc/View

Arc/View GIS GIS Used Used

  • Watershed is

Watershed is delineated delineated based on based on the location of the location of monitoring monitoring stations stations

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SLIDE 17

17 17

AIM /Korea Team AIM /Korea Team

  • V. Future Study
  • V. Future Study
  • 1999

1999

  • Literature Reviews

Literature Reviews

  • Create Basic Database such as

Create Basic Database such as Landcover Landcover Classification, Classification, Digitial Digitial Elevation Model, Current Vegetation Map Elevation Model, Current Vegetation Map and and Soil Map Soil Map

  • 2000

2000-

  • 2001

2001

  • To Compare Climate Change Scenario

To Compare Climate Change Scenario

  • To Development Impact Assessment Methodology

To Development Impact Assessment Methodology

  • To Initiate Pilot Studies on Various Sectors

To Initiate Pilot Studies on Various Sectors

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18 18

AIM /Korea Team AIM /Korea Team

  • V. Future Study
  • V. Future Study
  • 2002

2002-

  • 2003

2003

  • To Apply AIM/Korea Impact Model to Various

To Apply AIM/Korea Impact Model to Various Sectors Sectors

  • To Suggest Integrated Impact Assessment using

To Suggest Integrated Impact Assessment using AIM AIM Impact Model Impact Model

  • To Integrate

To Integrate Sectoral Sectoral Models Models

  • To Conduct Economic Impact Analysis

To Conduct Economic Impact Analysis