5th MEDENER INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON ENERGY TRANSITION THE COMPLEMENTARITY OF ENERGY EFFICIENCY and RENEWABLE ENERGY IN THE ENERGY TRANSITION CHALLENGE Dominique CAMPANA Director of International Affairs ADEME 30 November 2017 Lisbon 30 November 2017
MEDITERRANEAN ENERGY TRANSITION SCENARIO • OME – MEDENER – ADEME Partnerships • Horizon : 2030 – 2040 • Mediterranean Countries modelisation based on NDC and INDC’s • Not forecast , but trends OUTPUTS • REDUCTION of ENERGY DEMAND : - 30% on Primary Energy - 23 % on Final Energy Consumption • RENEWABLE ENERGY: 27 % of Energy Mix RE = 1st Source for Electricity Production • CO2 EMISSIONS: Reduced by 38 % • POWER CAPACITY: ~ 200 GW of Avoided fossil Fuel Capacity for Electric Production Lisbon 30 November 2017
MEDITERRANEAN ENERGY DEMAND Primary energy demand Energy Demand by Region 1600 Mtep 1400 - 30% 1200 1000 800 600 Energy Transition Scenario 400 Conservative scenario 200 0 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 TS By 2040, Different shores, different energy paths 30% energy savings with primary energy demand to increase by 46% in the Med, but by 85% in the South. The NDCs would allow for a total energy demand increase of only 4% to 2030, far from the expected with current trends. Lisbon 30 November 2017
RENEWABLE ENERGY Final Energy Consumption by Sources Energy Mix Renewable Energy - 1 st source for Production of Electricity 80 % of electricity Capacity production by 2040 2/3 of Electric Production coming from RES by 2040 Lisbon 30 November 2017
BUILDING: A KEY SECTOR in MEDITERRANEAN ENERGY TRANSITION Final Energy Consumption by Sectors Final Energy Consumption by Region KEY FACTS - Plus 105 Millions inhabitants (90% south), ~50 Mi Housing 22 % : BUILDING - Energy consumption from south higher than North ENERGY SAVINGS - Building share is 35 % of final Consumption Priority : New Efficient building POTENTIAL in TS Lisbon 30 November 2017
THE WAY TO ENERGY TRANSITION IN THE MEDITERRANEAN Key Issues • Involvment of all Actors : Consumers, Private, Public, Local to National Administrations….. • Buildings (conception and equipment) , Transport Key sectors to focus EE measures: Efficient and Smart Energy Networks (technical and modal shift) and • More ambitious Renewable Energy deployment in the South KEY CHALLENGES: Climate Resilient Cities and Sustainable Urban Environment Lisbon 30 November 2017
URBAN DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES Fast Urbanisation in Africa and Asia « 50 % of the CO2 • Credit by 2050 1,3 Billions Urbans in Africa by issued from 2050 (X3 between 2015 et 2050), Urbanisation » • Megacities often on the Sea side, vulnerable to CC Jean Jouzel IPCC Climate Huge Housings Needs Scientist The City of Tomorow ! • New or Refurbished blocks of buildings toward Zero Energy Buildings • Smart grid at the City Scale for Massive Integration of RES into the grid and demand response • Sustainable mobility through mobility services, interoperability of transport modes, electro-mobility , …. Lisbon 30 November 2017
ENERGY TRANSITION IN BUILDINGS Improve Thermal quality of roofs (Thermal Insulation / color) Solar PV / wind Domestic Electricity Improve Thermal quality of external walls Solar Domestic Hot Inertia Water Heating Thermal Insulation color Insure solar Improve energy protection of performance of Heating glazed openings Equipments Improve Thermal quality of framings Improve energy & glazing performance of Improve energy Reduce Non- AC Equipments performance of Improve Optical controlled Outside Household quality of glazing Air intakes Equipments
A KEY ISSUE: AIR CONDITIONNING AC Electric Consumption per households Households AC rate 2010 Source MEDENER 2000 Modern Buildings in Mediterranean are large consumers of Energy and Ressources (Water, Materials and Land …) • + 35% Air Conditionning Resorting to Cooling Systems, very Energy consuming Electricity / year • Modern Architecture too often Non Adpated to climate (40% of the peak period • Use of Low Energy Efficient Equipements ( AC, lighting, …. Tunisia, Algeria ) Tunis, le 12 /09 /2013
A KEY ISSUE: AIR CONDITIONNING (2) 600 Space cooling World Level 500 Appliances Index 1990 = 100 and other equipment 400 Lighting 300 Water heating Cooking 200 Source: Worl Bank 2015 Space heating 100 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 Source: Global ABC Status report 2017 Air-conditioner is and will remain the energy use equipment with the highest rate of growth by 2050
RENEWABLE ENERGY DEPLOYEMENT in SOUTH Additional Power capacity to 2030 in the South Avoided Capacity NDCs scenario 40 GW Transition scenario Non Hydro Renewables grow by almost 50% over 58GW 2014-2020 driven by : • Fast growing Demand ( 4 to 6 % /year) More than ¾ of • Excellent Ressources additional Capacity • Diversification of Needs would be renewable • Increasingly Attractive Economics based. Lisbon 30 November 2017
INTEGRATING RENEWABLE ENERGY & ENERGY EFFICIENCY ? CHALLENGES for EFFICIENT NETWORKS 2. Developping Demand Side Management 1. Facilitating RES integration • Consumer acceptability • • Forecast Technology developpment to lower material costs, software developpment • Storage • Acquire knowledge about DSM efficiency • Ancillary services Constraints and Challenges in South 3. Integrating new uses for electricity and • Intermittent production from RES (Wind + PV) deploying new business models • At present , A limited rate of integration of RES • • Smart charge for Electrical Grid Management at low charge periods • Production agregator • Overcosts of RES development (grid enforcement, • Load shifting agregator storage, additional reserve …) • Erasing rather than Producing Limited interconexions at regional level 12
MOBILISING ALL ACTORS MOBILISING ALL THE ACTORS • Institutionnal and Administrations • Local Authorities • Private and public Sectors, financing Institutions And Among all • The Civil Society (, General public, citizens, households, NGO’s …) – LOCAL INFORMATION CENTRE for public information and advice • PIME (Point Information Maîtrise de l’énergie) Network and ACTE ( Alliance Collectivité Transition Energétique) in Tunisia • 1st Centre Info-Energie (CIE) , Chefchaouen within Jiha Tinou programme, Morocco • EIE Programme ( Espace Info Energie) and PTRE ( Plateforme pour la Rénovation Energétique), DEVELOPPING CAPACTY-BUILDING ( MOOC, Training, Exchanges ….) Lisbon 30 November 2017
CONCLUSION Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy , The Two Pillars for the Energy Transition in Mediterranean • Mobilising All Actors • Technology, Organisational, Social Innovation • Associating the populations • International Cooperation • Exchanges of Good practices Lisbon 30 November 2017
Thank you www.ademe.fr/ www.medener.org/
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