MTN Group Limited Results presentation for the six month period ended 30 June 2016
AGENDA 1 Strategic and operational update 2 Financial review 3 2016 Guidance 4 Key matters and immediate priorities
Strategic and operational update
STRATEGIC AND OPERATIONAL UPDATE Group financial results for the six months ended 30 June 16 Performance reflects a confluence of material issues which created a ‘perfect storm’ On 10 June MTN settled Nigerian regulatory fine with Federal Government of Nigeria MTN to pay 330 billion naira (USD 1.67 billion) over three years in full and final settlement, in addition to complying with certain other regulatory conditions Nigeria fine 50 billion naira (USD 250 million) paid on 24 February 2016 forms part of the monetary component of the settlement settlement; June 2016, first schedule of 30 billion naira paid (USD 124 million) significant negative Accrued present value of remaining, 280 billion naira (USD 1.42 billion) impact on Impact results - EBITDA: negative re-measurement impact of R10 499 million (provision R9 287m made in H2 15) - Headline earnings: R8 632 million - HEPS: 474 cents - Cash flow: R 5 870 million 4
STRATEGIC AND OPERATIONAL UPDATE A challenging operating environment Slowing reliant economies, regulatory pressure and tough competition Depreciation in local currencies resulted in higher US dollar expenses Forex losses of R3 606 million Key Liquidity constraints impacting repatriation of funds from Nigeria challenges Weak macro economic conditions in most markets resulted in lower consumer spending impacted Negative GDP growth in South Africa and Nigeria expected in 2016, our two largest markets growth Regulatory pressure, notably withdrawal of regulatory services in Nigeria until May 2016 7.5 million disconnected of subscribers – registration requirements in Nigeria, Uganda and Cameroon (approximately 18 million since October 15) The economic landscape in key MTN markets (%) 20 15.7 16 10.4 12 8.9 6.5 8.6 8.5 6.7 8 5.9 5.3 5.0 4.9 4.5 4.0 3.5 2.1 4 2.2 1.3 2.7 0.1 0.0 0 -4 -1.8 South Africa Nigeria Iran Ghana Cameroon Ivory Coast Uganda 2015 GDP 2016 GDP f/c Inflation 2016 f/c Source of GDP growth: IMF 5
STRATEGIC AND OPERATIONAL UPDATE Group financial results for the six months ended 30 June 16 Despite challenges MTN declared an interim dividend of 250 cents for the period 7.5 million subscriber disconnections in Nigeria, Uganda and Cameroon to ensure 232.6 million regulatory compliance, approximately 18 million since October 2015 Group subscribers flat Competition and economic pressure in South Africa, negatively impacted growth 32.2 % increase in data revenue despite 46.9% decline in effective data tariff 14.0% Effective voice tariff declined 12.2% (USD), negatively impacted by free minutes offered in subscriber registration campaigns, approximately 1bn free minutes offered in Nigeria to R78.9 billion Nigeria: outgoing voice and data revenue impacted by withdrawal of regulatory services Revenue in Nigeria until May 2016 (Organic growth of 1.5%) South Africa: revenue supported by strong device sales and increase in data revenue Note: Results are presented based on operational performance (excluding hyperinflation, Nigerian regulatory fine and tower profits) 6
STRATEGIC AND OPERATIONAL UPDATE Group financial results for the six months ended 30 June 16 Excluding once-off costs organic EBITDA declined 12.8% 10 499 29 737 108 6 839 3.3% 26 390 1 324 2 632 to R29.3 billion 22 434 EBITDA 18 882 (Organic decline of 25.9%) Reported NIG fine Operational Fx H1-16 South Professional Adjusted Hyp and CR Sudan imp fees TowerCo Excluding once-off costs headline earnings declined 11.7% 594 73 135 271 cents 136 27 20 Headline loss per share 474 (Adjusted HEPS declined 11.7%) (271) Reported NIG fine Hyperinflation Digital TowerCo Fx Professional Adjusted H1-16 Group losses losses fees H1-16 losses 7
STRATEGIC AND OPERATIONAL UPDATE Strategic update To lead the delivery of a bold, new Digital World to our customers Improving customer analytics is a key priority – forms part of strategic review Introduced Global Value Propositions to drive transition to data and enable global roaming Group Consumer Improved commission structure and retail experience Net promoter score improved from 24% to 27% Leveraging a strong brand, distribution, access to customer wallets and scale - Largest distributor of digital music in Africa and recently launched ‘Games Club’ Good progress made by e-commerce ventures AIH and MEIH - AIH recorded 3 million customers and 2.5 million transactions – impacted by macro-economic slow Group Digital down in Nigeria Services - MEIH recorded 600 000 customers and 3.3 million transactions - IIG gained strong momentum benefiting from youthful population and high internet penetration MoMo customers increased 5.0% to 36.5 million, supported by Uganda, Ghana, Rwanda and Benin MoMo revenue up 40,8% to R1 289 million Aligned operations to become ‘ICT Partner of Choice’ to corporates, public sector and SMEs The Group will embark on a process aimed to accelerate growth as part of the strategic group review Enterprise Continued focus on MTN Business Cloud now providing independent software vendor solutions Business Unit Expansion of MTN Global, multi protocol label switching (MPLS) bringing the footprint to 27 POPs Launched dedicated internet services to clients in 11 markets and Internet of Things platform to Ghana and Cameroon 8
STRATEGIC AND OPERATIONAL UPDATE Operational performance Performance compromised by the disconnection of subscribers and the suspension of regulatory services until May 2016 Increased market share to 46.2% despite 3.7% decline in subscriber base Revenue impacted by lower data revenue given regulatory restrictions on ‘out -of- bundle’ data tariffs; multi- SIM’s and delays in competitive offerings and free minutes offered Nigeria EBITDA impacted by - Transfer of 2 nd tranche passive infrastructure into TowerCo and USD expenses - Increased marketing costs related to subscriber registration - Nigeria fine professional fees Capex increased by 78.9%* to R 2 534 million; rollout remains a priority Disappointing performance impacted by network outages, competition and lower consumer spending Subscriber base down 2.6%, negatively impacted by competition in highly penetrated market Increased revenue by 5% supported by handset sales and data usage Embarked on a deliberate project to drive 3G and LTE quality and high-speed data in key locations South Africa EBITDA margin impacted by higher volumes of devices and network related costs Capex of R 4 773 million; added 369 3G and 284 LTE sites; 175 sites connected to fibre LTE spectrum critical for high-speed data connectivity – submitted application to ICASA Entered into sales agreement to dispose of 50.02% stake in Afrihost (Proprietary) Ltd 9
STRATEGIC AND OPERATIONAL UPDATE Operational performance Sound performance in Iran and Ghana; Cameroon well managed subscriber registration campaigns and Ivory Coast impacted by competition Sound performance despite highly competitive environment and regulatory pressure on data tariffs Subscribers up 2.0% due to attractive offerings Iran Revenue up 8.7%* supported by 65.3%* growth in data revenue contributing 40.6% to total revenue Smartphones increased 25,8% to 25,8 million with digital revenue contributing 32,6% to data revenue Strong subscriber growth of 8.1% due to uptake in value propositions Revenue increased by 18.9%* supported by strong growth in voice and data revenue Ghana Digital revenue underpinned by lifestyle and momentum gained in Mobile Financial Services Launch of LTE services Subscribers increased 5.0% supported by aggressive subscriber registration campaigns Cameroon Revenue declined 8.7%* while data revenue increased 49.5%* Strong focus on 3G and LTE network quality and coverage and smartphone penetration Subscribers down 1.3% impacted by subscriber registration requirements and competition Ivory Coast Revenue down 3.9%* impacted by lower outgoing voice revenue while data revenue up 13.4%* Digital revenue contributed 50.2% to data revenue, driven by increased digital services Constant currency ('organic') information 10
Financial review
FINANCIAL REVIEW Group highlights Revenue EBITDA EBITDA margin HEPS 14% 38% 20.4pp 141pp Reported to R79 115m to R18 882m to 23.9% to (271) cents R237m R90m 0.1pp 20 cents Hyperinflation Tower profit R18m impact Nigeria R10 499m 13.3pp 474 cents regulatory fine 14% 3% 6.6pp 63pp Operational to R78 878m to R29 273m to 37.1% to 223 cents Positive impact on reported results Negative impact on reported results Note: Results from slide 13 to 19 are presented based on operational performance (excluding hyperinflation, tower profits and Nigeria regulatory fine) 12
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