Metropolitan and nonmetropolitan counties, 2013 Nonmetro (rural) - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

T HE S TATE OF R URAL A MERICA USDA Economic Research Service Robert Gibbs Tom Hertz John Cromartie David McGranahan Office of Rural Housing and Economic Development Rural Gateway Peer-to-Peer Conference Call September 30, 2015

Metropolitan and nonmetropolitan counties, 2013 Nonmetro (rural) Metro (urban) Urbanized area Source: USDA, Economic Research Service, based on U.S. Office of Management and Budget 2013 delineation of metropolitan areas 2

Rural population trends John Cromartie

Nonmetro areas experience first period of overall population loss during 2010-14 4

Nonmetro natural increase not sufficient to offset current net out-migration 5

Suburban expansion and amenity migration drove nonmetro population growth prior to the recession (2003-2007) 6

Geographic shifts in population growth occurred after the recession (2010- 2014) 7

Rural employment trends Tom Hertz

Metro and Nonmetro Quarterly Employment Indices, 2007-2015 (1 st Quarter) (Seasonally Adjusted) Source: USDA-ERS analysis of Bureau of Labor Statistics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics Data. Note: Shaded area indicates recession period. 9

Metro and Nonmetro Quarterly Employment/Population Ratios, 2007-2015 (1 st Quarter) (Seasonally Adjusted) Source: USDA-ERS analysis of Bureau of Labor Statistics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics Data. Note: Shaded area indicates recession period. 10

Nonmetro Counties With Employment Growth or Losses Between First Half of 2014 and First Half of 2015 11

Metro and Nonmetro Quarterly Unemployment Rates, 2007-2015 (1st Quarter) (Seasonally Adjusted) Source: USDA-ERS analysis of Bureau of Labor Statistics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics Data. Note: Shaded area indicates recession period. 12