How Water will Continue to Shape the Future of California – A San Francisco Bay Perspective International Water Week Conference Amsterdam November 2, 2011 John A. Coleman Executive Director 1
Mission Statement A coalition to promote economic vitality with responsible environmental policies to enhance the quality of life in the San Francisco Bay Region.
World Famous Entrance to San Francisco Bay 3
Regional GDP Ranks 24th Nominal GDP, 2010 (Billions) $0 $1,000 $2,000 $3,000 $4,000 $5,000 $6,000 $7,000 $8,000 United States ($14.5T) China Japan Germany France United Kingdom Brazil Italy India Canada Russia Spain Australia Mexico Korea, South Netherlands Turkey Indonesia Switzerland Poland Belgium Sweden Saudi Arabia Bay Area Taiwan Norway Venezuela Iran Austria Argentina Nominal GDP, 2010 (Billions) 4
Regional GDP per capita Thousands $0 $50 $100 $150 $200 Zurich Boston Bay Area New York Seattle Los Angeles San Diego Dallas Singapore 5
Today’s Flood is Tomorrow’s High Tide Area subject to high tide with 16 inches of sea level rise Current 100-year flood plain Source: San Francisco Bay Conservation and Development Commission
1849 2100 7 Source: San Francisco Bay Conservation and Development Commission
16-Inch and 55-Inch Sea Level Rise By End Of Century-- San Francisco Bay Area Source: Knowles, N. 2008. Siegel, S.W. and P. A. M. Bachand, 2002. 8
Replacement value of buildings and contents vulnerable to a 100-year coastal flood with a 1.4 meter sea-level rise $0.48 billion $0.41 billion $1.9 billion $8.7 billion $0.98 billion Sources: California Climate Change Center: The Impacts of Sea- $4.9 billion Level Rise on the California Coast, Heberger, Cooley, et $15 billion al. (March 2009). U.S. Department of $24 billion Transportation, Metropolitan Transportation Commission SF Bay Area Total $7.8 billion $64.17 billion 9
Wastewater Treatment Plants • Most wastewater treatment plants are within potentially impacted flood zone areas • Potential public safety issue 10
Highway Infrastructure • Most major highways, bridges, and rail line connections are within potentially impacted flood zone area Source: Metropolitan Transportation Commission 2001 11 Metropolitan Transportation System Map
Potentially Impacted Buildings By Flooding Source: California Climate Change Center: The Impacts of Sea-Level Rise on the California Coast, 12 Heberger, Cooley, et al. (March 2009).
Drivers of SF Bay Area Economy Oakland International Airport (2010) 9.5 million passengers Moved 510,963 metric tons San Francisco International Airport (2010) 39,391,234 million passengers Moved 426,724 metric tons (43.4% of Bay Area Market Share) San Jose International Airport (2010) Total passengers: 8,246,064 Domestic cargo: 89,684,540 pounds 13
Drivers of SF Bay Area Economy Oil Refineries SF Bay Area home to 42% of the refining capacity in California Chevron - 240,000 barrels per day Tesoro - 166,000 barrels per day Shell - 155,000 barrels per day Valero - 144,000 barrels per day ConocoPhillips - 120,000 barrels per day Economic Impacts in Contra Costa and Solano Counties: Jobs – 76,238 Labor income (earnings) - $7.7 billion State and federal tax revenues - $1.1 billion 14
Drivers of SF Bay Area Economy Port of Redwood City (2011 to date) • Exports 440,000 metric tons; valued at $90 million • Imports 432,000 metric tons; valued at $15 million • FY 2012 forecast is 1.2 metric tons; valued at $120 million • Port of Stockton (1/2011-10/2011) • Exports 1,167,589 metric tons • Imports 1,031,841 metric tons 15
Drivers of SF Bay Area Economy Port of Oakland Inbound: 802,913 TEU (Twenty-foot equivalent Unit) (2010) Outbound: 954,814 TEU (2010) Imports valued at $24.3 billion (2010) Exports valued at $15.4 billion (2010) $6.8 billion direct business revenue impact with the $2.4 billion induced/local consumption expenditures, for a total impact of $9.2 billion annually (2010) $96.5 billion of economic value was created by the marine cargo 16
Drivers of SF Bay Area Economy Port of San Francisco Exports 27,464 metric tons (2010) Imports 735,971 metric tons (2010) Port of Richmond Exports 122,650 metric tons (2010) Imports 83,644 metric tons (2010) Port of Benicia (2011 YTD) Exports 76,017 metric tons; valued at $6 million Imports 88,763 metric tons; valued at $1.58 billion Port of West Sacramento (July 1, 2010-June 30, 2011) Exports 257,200 metric tons; valued at $115,740,200 Imports 334,100 metric tons; valued at $47,741,960 17
SF Bay Area Counties - Population 1860 2010 2035 Alameda 8,927 1,510,271 1,966,300 Contra Costa 5.328 1,049,025 1,322,900 Marin 3,334 252,409 274,300 Napa 5,521 136,484 148,800 San Francisco 56,802 805,235 969,000 San Mateo 3,214 718,451 893,000 Santa Clara 11,912 1,781,642 2,431,400 Solano 7,169 413,344 506,500 Sonoma 11,867 483,878 561,500 Total 114,074 7,150,739 9,073,700 18 Source:
What are the Next Steps? Develop Funding Mechanism to Secure Flood Zone Area Public Outreach and Education Build Coalition Develop a Political Campaign to Secure Necessary Funding 19
SF Bay Area Cities (with Shoreline Jurisdiction/Authority) City of Alameda City of Hercules City of San Francisco City of Albany City of Larkspur City of San Jose City of American Canyon City of Martinez City of San Leandro City of Antioch City of Mill Valley City of San Mateo City of Belmont City of Millbrae City of San Pablo City of Belvedere City of Milpitas City of San Rafael City of Benicia City of Mountain View City of Sausalito City of Berkeley City of Newark City of South San Francisco City of Brisbane City of Novato City of Sunnyvale City of Burlingame City of Oakland Town of Tiburon City of Concord City of Pinole City of Union City City of Corte Madera City of Pittsburg City of Vallejo City of East Palo Alto City of Redwood City City of El Cerrito City of Richmond City of Emeryville City of Rio Vista City of Foster City City of San Bruno City of Hayward City of San Carlos 20
Other Government Entities Federal Agencies (approximately 10) State Agencies (approximately 35) Regional Agencies (approximately 6) Extensive number of Special Districts 21
Thank you! 22
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