Aurora Central High School Innovation Plan Update Presented By: Dr. DJ Loerzel, Director of Accountability and Research September 3, 2019 Every Student Shapes a Successful Future
Aurora Central High School Why is this topic on the board agenda? To provide the Board an overview of the current data around Aurora Central High School and the implementation of its Innovation Plan. What are we asking the board to do with this information? This presentation is for information. How is this linked to the Strategic Plan, Vision, Mission, goals & core beliefs? The data and information included is in support of achieving APS’ vision that Every Student Shapes a Successful Future. 2 Every Student Shapes a Successful Future
Data Discussion - Overview • Innovation/Implementation/Outcome Flow Chart ▪ Lagging (Outcome) Indicators ▪ School Performance Framework (SPF) ▪ Achievement ▪ Growth ▪ Grad/Dropout ▪ Overall Satisfaction ▪ Leading (Culture and Expectations) Indicators ▪ Academic ▪ Culture of Performance ▪ Human Capital Every Student Shapes a Successful Future 3
Data Discussion - Overview • Innovation/Implementation/Outcome Flow Chart ▪ Lagging (Outcome) Indicators ▪ School Performance Framework (SPF) ▪ Achievement ▪ Growth ▪ Grad/Dropout ▪ Overall Satisfaction ▪ Leading (Culture and Expectations) Indicators ▪ Academic ▪ Culture of Performance ▪ Human Capital Every Student Shapes a Successful Future 4
Data Discussion - Overview ▪ Innovation/Implementation/Outcome Flow Chart Lagging Indicators: SPF Leading Indicators around: Innovation Plan: Waivers + Achievement Culture of Performance Implementation Plan (Culture Root Causes Growth of Performance; Educational Educational Program Graduation Program; Human Capital) Human Capital Drop Out Overall Satisfaction Every Student Shapes a Successful Future 5
Data Discussion - Overview • Innovation/Implementation/Outcome Flow Chart ▪ Lagging (Outcome) Indicators ▪ School Performance Framework (SPF) ▪ Achievement ▪ Growth ▪ Grad/Dropout ▪ Overall Satisfaction ▪ Leading (Culture and Expectations) Indicators ▪ Academic ▪ Culture of Performance ▪ Human Capital Every Student Shapes a Successful Future 6
Lagging Indicators - SPF ▪ SPF Performance was on an upward trend, increasing 5.6 points before declining 2.2 points on the 2019 SPF ▪ ACHS is currently 35.2 points (4.8 points from Improvement) ▪ SPF ratings are produced by the previous year assessment data 60 50 40 30 20 1905-7 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 SPF Points Column1 Every Student Shapes a Successful Future 7
Lagging Indicators - Achievement ▪ Overall achievement has been flat, though longitudinal comparisons are few given changes in assessments ▪ Displayed as relative ACT score ACT/SAT Achievement 20 SAT 18 ACT 16 14 12 10 ACT (SAT - Concordance calculation since 2016-17) Every Student Shapes a Successful Future 8
Achievement and Growth ▪ Due to multiple changes in assessments between 2014-15 and 2018- 19, the best comparison is performance indicators on the SPF ▪ The percent of points Overall Achievement and Growth SPF Indicators earned on the SPFs 70% for achievement and 60% growth are displayed. 50% • While growth has 40% shown modest gains 30% since 16-17, 20% achievement has 10% remained flat. Note: 2015-16 is displayed for continuity. SPFs were not written for this 0% 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 Achievement Percent Growth Percent * 2019-20 reflects the points received on the 2019 SPF. Every Student Shapes a Successful Future 9
Achievement and Growth ▪ Reviewing disaggregated group (FRL, Minority, IEP, ELL) performance on the SPF, only the IEP group deviated notably from the overall trend. Disaggregated Growth SPF Indicators ▪ Reviewing Growth 70% (displayed to the right) 60% spike was noted in 2017-18, but seems 50% to have regressed in 40% the current year 30% 20% • Note that the charts 10% reflect the percent of Note: 2015-16 is displayed for continuity. SPFs were not written points for each 0% 2014-15 2015-16 (Off 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 Year) group, combining ELA FRL Minority IEP ELL and Math * 2019-20 reflects the points received on the 2019 SPF. Every Student Shapes a Successful Future 10
Lagging Indicators – PWR Metrics ▪ Graduation rates have seen notable increases, currently sitting at 70%, (up 25.7% points from 14-15) ▪ Drop outs rates improved as well from 10% to 5.7% this past year (though up .9% from 16-17) ▪ Percentage of “On Track” students has also increased to 77.8% Graduation Rates 60% 40% 20% 0% 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-20142014-20152015-2016 2016-20172017-20182018-2019 Graduation Dropout On Track Every Student Shapes a Successful Future 11
Graduation and Dropout ▪ Reviewing more deeply into the graduation and dropout rates by race/ethnicity and gender. 4-Year Graduation and Dropout Rates by Selected ▪ Race/Ethnicity and Gender (2014-15 – 2017-18) Notable changes are 100% shown in the chart Graduation Rate 81% below. Dropout Rate 80% 72% 66% 66% 60% 53% ▪ 50% Each of these 43% 37% disaggregated groups 40% 34% 28% 26% 25% also shows substantial, 18% 20% 8% 8% positive change for 2% 0% both graduation rates and dropout rates. * Disaggregated data does not account for the additional ASCENT students included in the 2017-18 Graduation Rates. Every Student Shapes a Successful Future 12
Overall Agreement ▪ Reviewing overall agreement across survey items, some improvements are present across stakeholder groups ▪ Most notably, teacher agreement has increased 12% over five years Every Student Shapes a Successful Future 13
Data Discussion - Overview • Innovation/Implementation/Outcome Flow Chart ▪ Lagging (Outcome) Indicators ▪ School Performance Framework (SPF) ▪ Achievement ▪ Growth ▪ Grad/Dropout ▪ Overall Satisfaction ▪ Leading (Culture and Expectation) Indicators ▪ Academic ▪ Culture of Performance ▪ Human Capital Every Student Shapes a Successful Future 14
Student Attendance (Overall) ▪ Overall, Average Daily Average (ADA) and Chronic Absence (missing 10% or more) rates have improved, though the positive improvements have fallen off in the past year ▪ ADA is up from 79.9% in 2014-15 to 83.1% 90.0% 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 ADA Chronic % Every Student Shapes a Successful Future 15
Attendance Analyzing beyond ADA and Chronic Absences, the percentage of students with satisfactory attendance (< 5% absences) is displayed ▪ The APS HS avg. By Race/Ethnicity (2014-15 – 2018-19) 80% for Satisfactory 70% Attendance was 60% 32.8% in 18-19 District Average 50% (one-third of 37% 40% 28% 35% 33% 32% students miss 30% 27% 24% 27% 23% less than 5%) 20% 19% 19% 20% 10% 5% ▪ 0% Satisfactory Attendance 0% is up across all demographic subgroups, except students on IEPs Every Student Shapes a Successful Future 16
Attendance (Pre-Innovation Plan) ▪ In 2014-15, only two groups of students (9th grade Asian and 12 th grade White students) had at least 33% of students with satisfactory attendance By Race/Ethnicity and Grade Level (2014-15) 80% ▪ Many groups did not 70% have positive change 60% in their rate of 50% satisfactory 40% attendance until 30% 12 th grade, but it 20% was still low for 10% most groups 0% 9th Grade 10th Grade 11th Grade 12th Grade Hispanic/Latino Black White Asian Other District Average Every Student Shapes a Successful Future 17
Attendance (Currently) In 2018-19, all 12 th grade students, as well as two groups of 11 th ▪ grade students had over 33% of students with satisfactory attendance Although 9 th grade ▪ By Race/Ethnicity and Grade Level (2018-19) students show 80% similar rates 70% 60% compared to 2014- 50% 15, each grade level 40% shows gains for 30% most students for 20% 2018-19 indicating 10% overall cohort 0% 9th Grade 10th Grade 11th Grade 12th Grade improvement Hispanic/Latino Black White Asian Other 33% Satisfactory Every Student Shapes a Successful Future 18
Student Behavior (Overall) ▪ Overall, Suspension and Expulsions rates have improved through the implementation of the Innovation plan. However, Suspensions have been flat the past two years 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 Suspensions 303 328 175 342 280 196 197 Expulsions 43 27 10 7 8 6 5 Suspensions Expulsions Every Student Shapes a Successful Future 19
Student Behavior (Referrals) ▪ Reviewing over- and under-representation for referrals, most groups have showed positive change since 2014-15 (e.g., decreasing rates of over-representation) By Race/Ethnicity (2014-15 – 2018-19) 19% 20% 16% 15% 13% Under Over 9% 10% 4% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Every Student Shapes a Successful Future 20
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