PWCS T4 project proposal: Impacts on the Green & Golden Bell Frog Prof Graham H. Pyke (UTS) Representing the NSW Frog & Tadpole Study Group
Main points • GGBF critically endangered, within NSW, within the Hunter region and at Kooragang • Single highly-significant population of GGBFs on Kooragang/ Ash islands; it needs to be managed as such • Assessing impacts of human activities on GGBF populations rests on breeding habitat • T4 project will probably lead to population extinction; ‘ death by several cuts’ • Contribution of proposed offset area to GGBF conservation is close to zero
GGBF- Heading for extinction • Up to 1995 - over 80% loss
Green & Golden Bell Frog in NSW – 1995 to 2007 • Populations 23% lost • Only about 40 populations remaining in 2007, out of thousands • More disappeared since 2007
GGBFs in Upper Hunter • 8 recorded sites • Possibly all gone • One site uncertain
GGBFs in Middle Hunter • 8 recorded sites • Probably all gone
GGBFs in Lower Hunter • Probably only Kooragang/ Ash Island still extant • Sig population
GGBFs on Kooragang/ Ash Island • Scattered records of GGBFs • Single, large population • Development areas treated as separate
GGBF population size on Kooragang/ Ash Island 1,000 800 # GGBF adults • The trend is in the 600 wrong direction! 400 200 0 1,995 2,000 2,005 2,010 2,015 YEAR
GGBF breeding and assessing human impacts NO: • Calling (by males) • Eggs • Immatures • Adults YES: • Tadpoles • Metamorphs
Impacts on GGBFs on Kooragang island • GGBF breeding habitat lost BHPB 1.4ha => 0.7ha NCIG 0.8ha
Impacts on GGBFs on Kooragang island • GGBF breeding habitat lost BHPB & NCIG 1.5ha PWCS 5.1ha Death by three cuts
GGBFs in Ramsar wetland • Kooragang population declines => Fewer GGBFs in Ramsar wetland
No worries? – New • Success unlikely breeding habitat on & will take time Recipe not the way worked out Previous such attempts have mostly failed Max success rate only ~10% Outcome requires at least 3 years
Proposed Brundee offset area: Contribution to GGBF conservation? • Negligible GGBF records few & restricted in location No breeding habitat Potential to develop breeding habitat
Impact of proposed T4 project on GGBF • Likely extinction of Kooragang/ Ash Island population • Negligible contribution to GGBF conservation from proposed offset area T4 bad news for GGBF
Recommend
More recommend