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Growth and Dividends Investor Presentation January 2017 Disclaimer - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Growth and Dividends Investor Presentation January 2017 Disclaimer This presentation includes forward-looking statements that involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond the Companys control and all of which are


  1. Growth and Dividends Investor Presentation January 2017

  2. Disclaimer This presentation includes forward-looking statements that involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond the Company’s control and all of which are based on the directors’ beliefs and expectations about future events. These forward-looking statements include statements concerning plans, objectives, goals, strategies, future events or performance, and underlying assumptions, predictions and other statements, which are other than statements of historical facts. The words “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “intends,” “estimate,” “forecast,” “project,” “will,” “may,” “should”, “shall”, “could”, “risk”, “aims”, “plans”, “predicts”, “continues”, “assumes”, “positioned” and similar expressions or the negative thereof identify certain of the forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements include statements regarding: strategies, outlook and growth prospects; future plans and potential for future growth; liquidity, capital resources and capital expenditures; growth in demand for products; economic outlook and industry trends; developments of markets; the impact of regulatory initiatives; and the strength of competitors. The forward-looking statements in this presentation are based upon various assumptions and predictions, many of which are based, in turn, upon further assumptions and predictions, including, without limitation, management’s examination of historical operating trends, data contained in the Company’s records and other data available from third parties. Although the Company believes that these assumptions were reasonable when made, these assumptions are inherently subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies which are difficult or impossible to predict and are beyond its control, and the Company may not achieve or accomplish these expectations, beliefs or projections. Many factors could cause the actual results to differ materially from those contained in predictions or forward-looking statements of the Company, including, among others, general economic conditions, the competitive environment, risks associated with operating in Russia and Kazakhstan, rapid technological and market change in the industries in which the Company operates, as well as other risks specifically related to the Company and its operations. Past performance should not be taken as an indication or guarantee of future results, and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made regarding future performance. Neither the Company, nor any of its agents, employees or advisors intend or have any duty or obligation to supplement, amend, update or revise any of the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation. to reflect any change in their expectations or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which such statements are based Nothing in this presentation constitutes an offer, invitation, recommendation to purchase, sell or subscribe for any securities in any jurisdiction or solicitation of any offer to purchase, sell or subscribe for any securities in any jurisdiction and neither the issue of the information nor anything contained herein shall form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with, or act as any inducement to enter into, any investment activity. To the extent available, the industry, market and competitive position data contained in this presentation come from official or third party sources. Third party industry publications, studies and surveys generally state that the data contained therein have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but that there is no guarantee of the accuracy or completeness of such data. While the Company believes that each of these publications, studies and surveys has been prepared by a reputable source, the Company has not independently verified the data contained therein. In addition, certain of the industry, market and competitive position data contained in this presentation come from the Company's own internal research and estimates based on the knowledge and experience of the Company's management in the market in which the Company operates. While the Company believes that such research and estimates are reasonable and reliable, they, and their underlying methodology and assumptions, have not been verified by any independent source for accuracy or completeness and are subject to change without notice. Accordingly, undue reliance should not be placed on any of the industry, market or competitive position data contained in this presentation. The information contained in this presentation has not been independently verified. Neither the Company, any of its affiliates, subsidiaries or subsidiary undertakings nor any of their respective advisors or representatives makes any representation or warranty, express or implied, and no reliance should be placed on the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or opinions contained in this presentation. Percentages and certain amounts included in this presentation have been rounded for ease of presentation. Accordingly figures shown as totals in certain tables may not be the precise sum of the figures that precede them. Neither the Company, or any of its affiliates, advisors or representatives accepts any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any information contained in the presentation.

  3. Polymetal today > 8 mines with 2016 production of 1.26 Moz of GE > 21.7 Moz of GE in reserves and 16.5 Moz of GE in resources > US$ 5.2 billion Market Cap*, member of the FTSE 250 *Market cap as of January 24, 2017 2

  4. We have simple strategic objectives and clear execution priorities > Control costs and add high- > We want to pay a quality reserve ounces at operating mines significant and sustainable dividend through the cycle > Deliver medium-term growth through building and ramping up Kyzyl > We want to grow our business without diluting its quality > Opportunistically pursue M&A targets and greenfield exploration with high- optionality 3

  5. We deliver on production Annual production based on 80:1 Ag/Au ratio (Koz of GE)* +10% +4% +1% +7% Guidance +6% Actual 1,312 1,267 1,269 1,260 1,220 1,190 1,168 1,090 952 900 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 * Company historical gold equivalent guidance recalculated using 80:1 Ag oz/Au oz conversion ratio. 4

  6. We have robust growth profile Gold production, Koz of GE 1 1,800 1,700 Kyzyl 1,550 330 280 80 1,400 Existing operations 1,470 1,470 1,420 1,400 1,267 1,269 2015A 2016A 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E Share of gold in production 1 87% 87% 82% 77% 68% 69% 2015A 2016A 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E Source: Company information (1) GE at 80:1 Ag oz/Au oz and 1:5 Cu mt/Au oz conversion ratios. 5

  7. Our business model is capital-light Capital expenditures, US$M 370 310 290 145 120 80 230 230 224 Kyzyl and POX expansion Exploration 32 50 50 50 Stay-in-business CapEx 50 47 50 180 180 175 160 145 140 2015A 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E 6

  8. We have high-grade reserves Average reserve grade (2P reserves), g/t GE 4.8 4.0 3.6 2.9 2.4 2.3 1.9 1.8 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 Acacia Polymetal Randgold Gold Fields Agnico Eagle Centerra Goldcorp Barrick Eldorado Anglogold Fresnillo Iamgold Newcrest Newmont Centamin New Gold Yamana Buenaventura Tahoe Kinross Pan American Source: Company data. Gold, silver, copper proved and probable reserves as of 01.01.2016 with further updates for Komar GE at 80:1 Ag oz/Au oz and 1:5 Cu mt/Au oz conversion ratios. 7

  9. We have low costs All-in sustaining cash costs for 1H 2016, US$/oz of GE US$ 1,221/oz – average LBMA gold price for the period 1,099 * 1,023 992 972 941 936 911 887 885 885 868 852 833 * 798 779 770 754 Iamgold Pan American Gold Fields Kinross Acacia Goldcorp Anglogold Agnico Eagle New Gold Centerra Yamana Newmont Eldorado Randgold Newcrest Barrick Polymetal Source: Companies data on a co-product basis. Excluded: Buenaventura, Frensnillo, Tahoe, Centamin, due to AISC reported on by-product basis * Pan American Silver: based on 77 Ag/Au ratio Randgold: BMO estimate of 2016E AISC 8

  10. We generate free cash flow Free с ash flow, US$m Gold price, US$/oz 1,669 1,410 1,266 1,250 1,160 306 263 250 148 129 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E *Source: Free cash flow (pre-M&A) 9

  11. And we pay dividends Dividends, US$ per share Special at the discretion of the Board Regular at 30% of underlying net earnings 0.70 (1) > LTM yield of 3.3% 0.51 > Average 5-year (2) yield of 4% 0.50 0.37 0.36 0.32 0.30 0.15 0.20 0.32 0.22 0.21 0.20 0.16 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1) Based on dividends paid and average stock price for the LTM ending 26 January 2017 (US$ 11.40/share) 2) Based on dividends paid and average 5-year stock price ending 26 January 2017 10

  12. Kyzyl is one of the best development-stage gold projects in the world > Large : 7.3 Moz of gold reserves, of which 2.8 Moz is open pit > High-grade: 7.7 g/t with 6.7 g/t in the open pit > Excellent exploration upside: 3.1 Moz of additional resources at 6.8 g/t > Long LOM : 22 years (first 10 years open pit) > Low capital intensity: US$320M CapEx (open pit + flotation) 11

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