Global Poverty Africa ellipse of despair? Infant Mortality Child - PDF document

Global Poverty

Africa “ellipse of despair”?

Infant Mortality

Child Manutrition

Hunger Density

Malnutrition & Famine

But does the ellipse have no growth & development potential? Apparently not.....??

Agricultural potential

Geology & Mineral Resources

Africa’s Undiscovered Resources Source: USGS; USGS Mineral Resources Program. The USGS Mineral Resources Program. The Source: USGS; Global Mineral Resource Assessment Project Global Mineral Resource Assessment Project

Elevation

Non ‐ Fuel Mineral Deposits

“There are in Africa none of those great inlets, such as the Baltic and Adriatic seas in Europe, the Mediterranean and Euxine seas in both Europe and Asia, and the gulphs of Arabia, Persia, India, Bengal, and Siam in Asia, to carry maritime commerce into the interior parts of that great continent: and the great rivers of Africa are at too great a distance from one another to give occasion to any considerable inland navigation.” Smith, Adam. 1976 [1776]. An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations . Chicago: University of Chicago Press (Cannan’s edition of the Wealth of Nations was originally published in 1904 by Methuen & Co. Ltd. First Edition in 1776). page 21

Maghreb Coastal Overcoming the logistics constraint? NEPAD indicative Spatial Niger: Dakar – Red Sea - Nile Development Program First Pass! Port Harcourt Djibouti Conakry Buchanan Sekondi Ougadougou Douala Mombasa Gulf of Guinea Coastal Libreville Lomie Madagascar Bas Congo Current SDIs RSDIP NEPAD SDP: 1 st Pass

SDI/DC methodology: SDI/DC methodology: Synchronous Synchronous INVESTMENT CONFIGURATION INVESTMENT CONFIGURATION infrastructure needs ID ID Dimension Dimension Addresses 4 Viable Viable requisite requisite market failures: resource resource infrastruct- - infrastruct 1)Infra econ-of-scale investment investment 2)Sync users (time) ure ure projects projects 3)Political borders 4)Information/data revenue streams

Mature SDP Example: Mature SDP Example: The Maputo Development Corridor The Maputo Development Corridor Port of Matola/Maputo Coal-based Power Station Joburg-Maputo Highway Upgrades, PPP 2 transmission lines to PPP- BOT completed Matola completed GAUTENG GAUTENG Anchor resources: Coal (elec) & gas MAPUTO MAPUTO (fuels/petrochems) Joburg to Maputo Railway line : Upgrade Al smelter 500ktpa Liquid Fuels & Petro- Pande-Secunda Gas line. BHPB completed chemicals: Sasol PPP Sasol completed

Idealised DC Configuration Idealised DC Configuration Resource Agri ‐ node & Anchor & “cluster” “cluster” Stranded investment r e d e e “TRUNK” Infrastructure: PPP f DC logistics “catchment” Problem feeder Problem feeder “DENSIFICATION DENSIFICATION” ” Feeders often Feeders often need to be funded need to be funded thru’ ’ fiscus/grant fiscus/grant thru Stranded Anchor & investment “cluster”

• NEPAD SDP • Mocambique SDI Unit • Nepad Business Initiative (NBI) • Nacala DC • BAGC: Beira Agricultural • Zambeze DC Growth Corridor • Beira DC • RSDIP: Regional SDI Programme • N ‐ S (east coast) DC • Central DC • Limpopo DC • Mtwara DC • Lubombo DC • Bas Congo DC • Maputo DC • ANSA potential DCs • NCTTCA: Northern Corridor • Luanda DC conversion to DC? • Lobito DC • Also, Logistics Corridor: N ‐ S • N ‐ S (west coast) DC (central) Corridor • Namibe DC • Walvis DC

ANSA: Potential SDIs Underway: Bas Congo SDI Potential North – South SDI Potential Luanda – Kananga SDI Potential Lobito– Copperbelt SDI Potential Namibe– Cuito Cunavale SDI

Mozambique SDIs Great East African Barrier Reef Lichinga ‐ Pemba DC? Nacala DC Critical Links Eastern N ‐ S DC (densification) (agri ‐ tourism) Zambeze DC Beira DC Limpopo DC Maputo DC Lubombo DC (agri ‐ tourism)

BAGC (Beira (Zambeze) Agricultural Growth Corridor) “Anchor” Projects Zambeze SDI Beira SDI Requires greater integration into Moz SDI programme www.beiracorridor.com

Current RSDIP Development Corridor (SDI) Current RSDIP Development Corridor (SDI) NCTTCA: Northern DC Extend to Kisangani? New Rail: Seminal Multilateral Ministerial Decision Isaka-Kigali to concession the Kigali – Dar rail as a single seamless project! CDC: CDC: Central DC Central DC Central SDI: Dar to Kigali (Kisangani?) RSDIP Central SDI: Dar to Kigali (Kisangani?) RSDIP Countries: Countries: Tanzania, DRC,Rwanda, Burundi Tanzania, DRC,Rwanda, Burundi Anchors: Nickel (Kabanga), Anchors: Nickel (Kabanga), Gold (Mwanza Au Belt), Ta/Nb (DRC), agriculture & agri Gold (Mwanza Au Belt), Ta/Nb (DRC), agriculture & agri- -industries, industries, fishing/aquaculture, tourism fishing/aquaculture, tourism Infra: rail upgrade & ext., port upgrade, road net., elec gen & grid Infra: rail upgrade & ext., port upgrade, road net., elec gen & grid

Northern Corridor: Conversion to SDI

Critical constraint – configuration of anchor project/s to underpin the Kodo Fe & Sudan gas? upgrade and/or establishment of infrastructure Multi- -donor support donor support Multi Countries: DRC, Sudan, Uganda, Kenya, Countries: Anchors: Fe & iron/steel (Kodo), agric (coffee et al), Anchors: soda ash, phos & fertiliser (NPK), gen. industry (agri-proc), tourism, aquaculture (L.Vic) Infra: rail upgrade & ext., gas pipeline, elec grid, Infra: port upgrade, road net.

• DC Concept Studies (DC viability) • DC Project Preparation • Infra PPPs (transport, power, water) and • Resource Projects (agri ‐ biz, tourism, forestry minerals) • Project Development (PFS, FFS, BFS) • Project Concessioning (transaction advisors) and Contract/lease • Legal & regulatory framework (cross ‐ border) • DENSIFICATION (small ‐ holder) • Logistics (feeder infra) • Tenure • Capital (micro loans) • Extension Services • Marketing • DEEPENING: Up ‐ , side ‐ & down ‐ stream investment opportunities (project prep, dev & investment facilitation)

Thank You paulj1952@gmail.com