FEDERAL EDUCATION POLICY What Happened in 2011 and the Outlook for - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

FEDERAL EDUCATION POLICY What Happened in 2011 and the Outlook for 2012 Joel Packer, Principal, The Raben Group Jpacker@rabengroup.com Inside the Beltway Outside the Box

WHY INVEST IN EDUCATION? Inside the Beltway 2 Outside the Box

Rising K-12 Enrollments Inside the Beltway 3 Outside the Box Source: NCES Projections of Education Statistics to 2020

Rising Higher Education Enrollments Inside the Beltway 4 Outside the Box Source: NCES Projections of Education Statistics to 2020

More Children in Poverty Inside the Beltway 5 Outside the Box

Unemployment Linked to Educational Attainment Inside the Beltway Outside the Box Source: BLS seasonally adjusted data

Earnings Based on Learning Inside the Beltway 7 Source: Georgetown University Center on Outside the Box Education and the Workforce

The Public Opposes Education Cuts Please tell me if you would favor or oppose substantial changes to the program. 77% 80% 70% 60% 50% favor 40% oppose 21% 30% 20% 10% 0% Significantly cut education programs, including No Child Left Behind, Head Start, and subsidies for college loans Inside the Beltway 8 Outside the Box Source: March 2011 Bloomberg News National Poll

School Funding Remains Below 2008 Levels In Most States Sources: CBPP budget analysis and National Center for Education Statistics enrollment estimates. Inside the Beltway 9 Outside the Box

268,000 Fewer Local Government Education Employees 8,200 8,078 8,100 8,008 8,000 7,896 7,867 7,824 7,900 7,810 7,800 7,700 7,600 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 June 2011 July 2011 August 2011 Inside the Beltway 10 Source: based on BLS seasonally adjusted employment d ata Outside the Box

Education Department Funding In billions Inside the Beltway Outside the Box

The Need to Invest National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform: “ …we must invest in education, infrastructure, and high-value research and development to help our economy grow, keep us globally competitive, and make it easier for businesses to create jobs. ” Inside the Beltway 12 Outside the Box

Fiscal Year 2011 Total Outlays Discretionary Security 2% Discretionary non‐security 5% (minus ED) 25% Social Security 19% Medicare 10% 7% Medicaid 13% 19% Other Mandatory (minus ED) Interest Department of Education CEF based on OMB data Inside the Beltway 13 Outside the Box

FISCAL YEAR 2011 Over six months late Inside the Beltway 14 Outside the Box

Public Law 112-10: Final CR • Provides funding for the 2011-12 school year. • Cut education (other than Pell grants) by $1.3 billion. Inside the Beltway Outside the Box

Public Law 112-10: Final CR • Program increases – President ’ s priorities: – Race to The Top = $700 million with $500 million for Early Learning Challenge Fund • CA one of 35 state applicants – Investing in Innovation = $150 million • No LA area grants – Promise Neighborhoods = +$20 million (total of $30 million) – Head Start (in HHS) = $+340 million Inside the Beltway Outside the Box

Public Law 112-10: Final CR • All programs cut by 0.2%. • Selected program cuts and eliminations: – Striving Readers = -$200 million (eliminated) – Even Start = -$66.5 million (eliminated) – Literacy Through School Libraries = -$19.1 million (eliminated) Inside the Beltway Outside the Box

Public Law 112-10: Final CR – Teacher Quality State Grants = -$480 million (-16.3%) – Education technology state grants = -$100 million (eliminated) – Career and Technical education = -$140 million (-11%) – GEAR UP = -$20.4 million (-6.3%) Inside the Beltway Outside the Box

How small will the box be? The Budget Control Act Inside the Beltway 19 Outside the Box

Caps and Cuts • BCA set in law discretionary caps for ten years (FY 12-FY 21). – Reduces spending by $890 billion over ten years. • Supercommittee failure triggered sequestration. • Automatic cuts for each of nine years, FY 13-21 – Total of $1.2 trillion • FY 13 cuts start on Jan. 2, 2013. – Middle of 2012-13 school year Inside the Beltway 20 Outside the Box

Sequestration • FY 13 = fixed percentage across-the-board cuts. – CBO Projection = 7.8% cut to all non-exempt domestic programs. – Would be a cut of $3.5 billion to education programs (based on FY 11 level). – Pell grants exempt in first year. • FY 14-21 – will not be ACB cut; further lowers discretionary caps – Squeezes education $; Pell no longer exempt. Inside the Beltway 21 Outside the Box

Fiscal Year 2012 Appropriations Inside the Beltway 22 Outside the Box

Senate FY12 Bill • Senate Appropriations Committee provides overall ED increase of $80 million (+0.1%). • Head Start (in HHS) increased by $340 million – Needed to maintain current number of children served. Inside the Beltway 23 Outside the Box

Senate FY12 Bill • Most ED programs frozen. • Striving Readers restored at $183 million. • Promise Neighborhoods doubled to $60 million. • Teacher Incentive Fund cut from $399 million to $300 million. Inside the Beltway 24 Outside the Box

House FY12 Bill • House bill just draft - no committee markup. • Overall cuts ED by $2.4 billion (-3.5%). Inside the Beltway 25 Outside the Box

House FY12 Bill • Eliminates funding for 31 programs including: – School Improvement Grants = -$534.6 million – Mathematics and Science Partnerships = -$175.1 million – Race to the Top = -$698.6 million – Investing in Innovation = -$149.7 million – Elementary and Secondary School Counseling = -$52.4 million Inside the Beltway 26 Outside the Box

ESEA/NCLB Reauthorization Inside the Beltway 27 Outside the Box

Current Status - Senate • Senate HELP Committee reported its bill on October 20 by a 15-7 vote. • Not yet scheduled for floor action. – Not this year • Maintains current requirements for testing (math, reading, science). • Maintains disaggregated subgroups. • Scraps AYP, 100% proficiency, AMOs, SES requirement and set-aside. Inside the Beltway 28 Outside the Box

Senate ESEA Bill - Accountability • States must adopt: – College and Career Ready standards – English proficiency standards – Accountability systems that measure ‘ continuous growth ’ for all students • 95% of schools exempt from federal sanctions. Inside the Beltway 29 Outside the Box

Senate ESEA Bill - Accountability • States must identify: – persistently low - performing schools • bottom 5% of high schools and bottom 5% of elementary/middle schools – achievement gap schools • the 5% of high schools and 5% of elementary/middle schools that have the largest achievement gaps between the subgroups used for disaggregation Inside the Beltway 30 Outside the Box

Senate ESEA Bill - Accountability • Only bottom 5% group subject to federal sanctions and also eligible for school improvement grant funds. – 6 turnaround models: • Restart, Closure, Transformation, Turnaround, Strategic Staffing, Whole School – States can apply for approval for an additional state-developed model. Inside the Beltway 31 Outside the Box

Senate ESEA Bill - Teachers • No mandated teacher evaluations. • Teacher evaluations are a required element of RTTT and Teacher Incentive Fund. • Maintains Highly Qualified Teacher requirement. Inside the Beltway 32 Outside the Box

Senate ESEA bill - Comparability • Changes Title I comparability. • Starting in 2015-16 school year, LEAs must ensure that per-pupil expenditures in Title I schools are no less than those in non-Title I schools. • Eliminates the ability to use average teacher salaries. – Forced transfers of teachers not required. Inside the Beltway 33 Outside the Box

Senate ESEA bill – Other • Creates broad programs for literacy, STEM and well-rounded education. • Codifies into ESEA: RTTT, I3, Promise Neighborhoods, Teacher Incentive Fund. • Creates new Improving Secondary Schools program. • Increases funding transferability from 50% to 100% and includes more programs. Inside the Beltway 34 Outside the Box

Current Status House • Education and Workforce committee doing ESEA in pieces. • Charter School bill has passed House. – Bipartisan • Transferability and repeals bills reported from committee. – Both partisan • Still waiting for teacher quality and accountability bills. Inside the Beltway 35 Outside the Box

ESEA Waivers • Department of Education promoting state waivers/flexibility • Eleven states applied in first round – CO, FL, GA, IN, KY, MA, MN, NJ, NM, OK and TN • Next deadline is mid-February. • No new school district waivers. Inside the Beltway 36 Outside the Box

Next Steps Inside the Beltway 37 Outside the Box

FY 12 Appropriations • FY 12 started 10/1/11. – Only 3 of 12 Appropriations bills enacted. • Operating under a Continuing Resolution (CR) that freezes all programs at FY 11 levels minus 1.5%. – Expires 12/16. – One large omnibus bill expected. Inside the Beltway Outside the Box

ESEA • Reauthorization will not be completed this year. • Senate committee report to be filed. • House to unveil bills on teachers and accountability. • Initial round of waivers approved by end of the year. Inside the Beltway Outside the Box