eur 816m daily goods real estate company
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EUR 816m daily-goods real estate company Investor presentation Page 1 AGENDA Introduction Company and portfolio overview Financial overview Page 2 INTRODUCTION Page 3 Introduction PICTURES OF THE PORTFOLIO Page 4 Introduction


  1. EUR 816m daily-goods real estate company Investor presentation Page 1

  2. AGENDA Introduction Company and portfolio overview Financial overview Page 2

  3. INTRODUCTION Page 3

  4. Introduction PICTURES OF THE PORTFOLIO Page 4

  5. Introduction DAILY-GOODS PROPERTIES WITH STRONG TENANTS 816 meur Property Value 132 471,000 11.1 Properties SQM eur EPRA NAV per share 8% 47.8 ~8% 25% 58% meur NOI dividend yield on share price Page 5

  6. Introduction WHAT IS CIBUS? – PORTFOLIO DIVERSIFICATION  High risk concentration Single asset /  Weak negotiation position with tenants Portfolio of  Low bankability 2-5 assets  High risk / high return  Diversified risk, with low concentration Large  Active co-operation with tenants portfolio  High bankability  Better risk / return profile Page 6

  7. Introduction WHAT IS CIBUS? – PORTFOLIO DIVERSIFICATION Previously Now Possible only for very large investors, eg: AP3, AP1, Alecta, Anyone can invest AMF, AP4, Kåpan, Also smaller investors, eg: pension plans, Ilmarinen, foundations, family offices, private SECORE Varma… investors… Page 7

  8. Introduction WHAT SETS CIBUS APART? – NON CYCLICAL BUSINESS Page 8

  9. Introduction WHAT SETS CIBUS APART? – RESILIENCE TOWARDS E-COMMERCE  Total volume of daily- goods market in Finland: ~€ 17 billion Negligible  Total volume of daily-goods sold on- line: ~€ 50 million negative  Share of on-line trade: <0.5% effect  Very few operators worldwide make profit on online food sales  Existing stores work as a natural distribution network Notable  Non-daily goods purchased on-line can be delivered to supermarkets positive  Strong trend effect  Eg. Post office, pharmacies, courier pick-up sites, banking services Page 9

  10. Introduction WHAT SETS CIBUS APART? – COMPARISON Large shopping center x132 properties Exposed to e-commerce Resilient towards e-commerce Cyclical Non-cyclical Yield: ~4% Yield: ~6% Dividend yield: ~5% Dividend yield: ~8% CF sustainability: ? CF sustainability: High Page 10

  11. Introduction PEER GROUP ANALYSIS – SEB UPPDATERA Cibus Average ~30% lower ~20% higher >Double! Page 11

  12. Introduction RISK MITIGANTS  High quality tenants Tenant risk  Large number of same-sized properties Single asset risk  High concentration to growth centres Geographical risk  Evenly spread expiry schedule Lease termination risk  >90% of leases are net leases Property cost risk  Modern facilities or capex borne by tenant Capex risk Page 12

  13. COMPANY AND PORTFOLIO OVERVIEW Page 13

  14. Company and Portfolio Overview RENTAL INCOME BY ANCHOR TENANT 6% 3% 8% 25% 58% Kesko Tokmanni S-Group Other daily-goods Other retail Page 14

  15. Company and Portfolio Overview THREE MARKET DOMINATING TENANTS Kesko, S-Group and Tokmanni anchoring >90% of the Portfolio Food retail market shares Discount retail market shares Other 50% 9% Lidl 40% 9% 30% S-Group S-Group 46% Kesko 20% Kesko Lidl 10% 36% Other 0% Tokmanni Halpa-Halli Kärkkäinen Hong Kong Veljekset Mini-Mani Other Keskinen Page 15

  16. Company and Portfolio Overview GOOD GEOGRAPHICAL DISTRIBUTION Historic growth Region types 1990-2015 19% City centre +21.0% of total NOI Rest of inner city +22.9% (Other) 15% of total NOI Adjacent suburbs +27.5% (Kuopio) Suburbs +6.9% Countryside -14.7% 6% of total NOI Rural areas -29.6% (Tampere) 7% 53% of total NOI (Turku) of total NOI (Helsinki & southern Finland) Sources: Statistics Finland, Company Page 16

  17. Company and Portfolio Overview WAULT LIKELY TO BE SUSTAINED AT CURRENT LEVEL Wault: 5.0  An even number of leases up for renewal each year  Typically leases renew at same terms for 5 years  Wault likely to remain at around 5 years over time  Q2 ’ 18: 5.1yrs, Q3 ’ 18: 5.1yrs, Q4 ’ 18: 5.0yrs Page 17

  18. Company and Portfolio Overview WELL-EXPERIENCED BOARD Patrick Gylling – Chairman of the board Elisabeth Norman – Member of the Board Currently CEO of Sirius Capital Partners Engaged in a number of boards, for example the listed real estate company NP3 Fastigheter AB, Previously: Bygga Bo i Pajala AB (owned by Balder and PEAB) • Partner at Sveafastigheter and listed real estate company Amasten AB. Ms. • Co-founder and CEO of HGR Property Partners Previously: • • Real estate advisory at Advium Property Manager of TV4 • • Analyst at Morgan Stanley Partner and CEO of RSD & Shopping Centre Development • Holds a Master of Science in Economics & Director at NP3 Fastigheter AB • Business from Hanken School of Economics in Director at Amasten AB Helsinki Holds a Bachelor of Arts from Uppsala University Johanna Skogestig – Member of the board Jonas Ahlblad – Member of the Board Currently CIO at Vasakronan, the leading property Currently CIO of Sirius Capital Partners company in Sweden Previously: Previously: • CIO, Finland at Sveafastigheter • CIO at Areim • Head of Finland at Leimdörfer (today Nordanö) • CIO, Sweden at Sveafastigheter • Real estate advisory at Advium • Multiple positions at AP Fastigheter, the predecessor of Vasakronan Holds a Master of Science in Economics & Business from Hanken School of Economics in Holds a Master of Civil Engineering from KTH in Helsinki Stockholm Page 18

  19. Company and Portfolio Overview SCALABLE ORGANISATION Board of Directors CEO Corporate administration Property Manager Finland Asset Management Finland Sverker Källgården – Chief Executive Officer Mr. Källgården has extensive experience from real estate industry and from leading a company during its listing on Nasdaq First North and continuing working on expanding the company's investor base and increasing the knowledge of the company Previously: • CEO of ByggPartner • Several senior positions at Hufvudstaden • CEO of AB Nordiska Kompaniet • Several senior positions at NCC Holds a Master of Civil Engineering from KTH in Stockholm Page 19

  20. FINANCIAL OVERVIEW Page 20

  21. Financial Overview DELIVERING ON PROMISES  Acquisitions carried out so far  Nine assets in total: Kesko, Lidl, Tokmanni and Halpa-Halli  Total value ~€47m  Strong pipeline with continued growth through acquisitions  Two debt facilities refinanced with new banks included  Lower margin  Longer maturity  New debt raised for acquisitions  Remaining debt facility to be renegotiated next Page 21

  22. Financial Overview CURRENT EARNINGS CAPACITY Change 27 Feb 2019 31 Dec 2018 30 Sep 2018 30 Jun 2018 7 Mar 2018 (Feb'19 / Mar'18) Rental income 51,100 51,100 49,150 49,050 47,900 Property expenses -3,300 -3,300 -3,250 -3,250 -3,200 Net rental income 47,800 47,800 45,900 45,800 44,700 7% Central administration -3,620 -3,620 -3,545 -3,541 -3,500 Net financial costs -13,194 -13,550 -13,500 -13,500 -13,113 Operating income 30,986 30,630 28,855 28,759 28,087 10% Operating income, EUR/share 1.00 0.98 0.93 0.92 0.90 10% Page 22

  23. Financial Overview BALANCE SHEET (NAV & LTV) €’m Balance sheet (31 Dec 2018) LTV, % (unless otherwise stated) Property value 816 Net Senior secured debt (-) -354 43% LTV Unsecured junior bond (-) -135 58% 17 Other net assets(+)/liabilities(-) (1) EPRA NAV 344 EPRA NAV / Share (€) 11.1 1) Excluding deferred tax Page 23

  24. Financial Overview DIVIDEND POLICY OF GROWING QUARTERLY DIVIDENDS (+5%p.a.)  Quarterly dividends Timing  End of each quarter  Dividends growing each quarter  € 0.84 p.a. for quarters starting in Q2 (+5% since last year) Amount  5% p.a. growth target also for the future Page 24

  25. Financial Overview SHARE PRICE DEVELOPMENT EUR SEK 12.0 Avg 11.5 11.0 daily 10.5 volume 10.0 €300 - 9.5 350k 9.0 8.5 8.0 Closing February 28 th :  SEK 117.4 (+15.5% vs IPO)  EUR 11.20 (+12.0% vs IPO) Page 25

  26. cibusnordic.com Page 26

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