EIA Data Collection &Analysis During Energy Emergencies State Energy Risk Assessment Workshop Susan Grissom April 28, 2015 | Denver, Colorado U.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis www.eia.gov
EIA’s Mission Statement The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) collects, analyzes, and disseminates independent and impartial energy information to promote sound policymaking, efficient markets, and public understanding of energy and its interaction with the economy and the environment. State Energy Risk Assessment 2 Workshop, April 28, 2015
EIA Organizational Structure Administrator Adam Sieminski Deputy Administrator Howard Gruenspecht Assistant Administrator Assistant Administrator Assistant Administrator Assistant Administrator for Resources and for Energy Statistics for Energy Analysis for Communications Technology Steve Harvey John Conti Gina Pearson Tom Williams Office of Energy Markets Office of Petroleum and and Financial Analysis Biofuels Statistics Doug MacIntyre Lynn Westfall Petroleum Markets Team Susan Grissom State Energy Risk Assessment 3 Workshop, April 28, 2015
Ongoing Activities: Office of Petroleum and Biofuels Statistics • Collect data on the U.S. petroleum market on a weekly, monthly, and annual basis (with the exception of crude oil production and exports) • Provide weekly, monthly, and annual supply and demand balances for the United States • Collect data on origins and quality of U.S petroleum imports • Collect monthly and annual data on capacities for refineries, biofuel production (ethanol and biodiesel), and storage • Collect weekly and monthly data on prices, both retail and further upstream • Collect monthly data on sales of petroleum products • Collect annual data on end use demand for distillate fuel oil, residual fuel oil, and kerosene State Energy Risk Assessment 4 Workshop, April 28, 2015
Petroleum Data Characteristics • Weekly Data – Emphasis is on timely release within days of report period end – Best used as an early indicator of trends – Typically based on sample surveys and estimates • Monthly Data – Typically released within 60 days after the end of the report period – Accuracy is generally improved relative to weekly data – Includes more data based on a complete census of in-scope operators – Monthly data include more detail than weekly reports • Annual Data – Includes monthly revisions, and considered the most accurate data – Some data are only available annually (e.g., refinery capacity, and end use demand of fuel oil and kerosene) State Energy Risk Assessment 5 Workshop, April 28, 2015
Popular products produced by the Office of Petroleum and Biofuels Statistics • Weekly – Weekly Petroleum Status Report – Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Retail Prices – Residential heating oil and propane prices (October through mid-March) – This Week In Petroleum (excluding the feature article) • Monthly – Petroleum Supply Monthly – Company Level Imports – Biodiesel Production Report – Petroleum Marketing Monthly – Prime Supplier Report • Annual – Petroleum Supply Annual – Annual Refinery Capacity Report – Fuel Oil and Kerosene Sales Report State Energy Risk Assessment 6 Workshop, April 28, 2015
Ongoing Activities: Petroleum Markets Team • The Petroleum Markets Team (PMT) is part of the Office of Energy Markets and Financial Analysis • PMT researches and analyzes U.S. and global crude oil and petroleum product markets on an ongoing basis • PMT focuses on current and near term markets, answering questions from the public, the industry, Congress, the White House, and other EIA stakeholders/clients • PMT analysis includes – Crude and product supply, refining, logistics and distribution, including regional crude oil and petroleum product supply/demand balances – Supply disruptions, e.g. propane during the winter of 2013/2014, gasoline and diesel during and after hurricanes/storms, e.g. Superstorm Sandy, and gasoline because of unplanned refinery outages, e.g. in the Midwest in Spring 2013 and on the West Coast in 2012 – Crude oil prices and wholesale and retail gasoline and diesel prices State Energy Risk Assessment 7 Workshop, April 28, 2015
Ongoing Activities: Petroleum Markets Team, cont’d • PMT works closely with the Office of Petroleum and Biofuels Statistics • PMT publishes This Week in Petroleum (TWIP), an article presenting analysis of a current petroleum market trend or issue – TWIP is often used during hurricanes and other events to communicate information about impacts on petroleum markets • PMT also pursues special projects and in depth studies, e.g. PMT authored a paper on What Drives U.S. Gasoline Prices , which explores the relationship between U.S. gasoline prices, crude oil prices, and gasoline prices in Europe and Asia. State Energy Risk Assessment 8 Workshop, April 28, 2015
EIA’s Products That Are Helpful for Hurricane Analysis • Gulf of Mexico Fact Sheet (usually updated by late June) • Refinery Outage Reports • Historical Disruptions Analyses • Weekly Petroleum Status Report • Annual Refinery Report (available late June) • EIA Retail Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Price Update State Energy Risk Assessment 9 Workshop, April 28, 2015
EIA’s Products That Are Helpful for Hurricane Analysis ,con’t • Short Term Energy Outlook Supplement: Outlook for Gulf of Mexico Hurricane-Related Production Outages (June) • Other Ad Hoc Analysis and Special Studies – Regional crude oil and petroleum product supply/demand/logistics analyses • New York/New Jersey Intra Harbor Petroleum Supplies Following Hurricane Sandy – Today In Energy – This Week in Petroleum – New York City Metropolitan Area Retail Motor Gasoline Report, following Sandy State Energy Risk Assessment 10 Workshop, April 28, 2015
EIA’s Role During Energy Emergencies • EIA plays a part in DOE’s emergency response during energy emergencies • EIA data on inventory levels, based on latest weekly data is often key to developing situational awareness following a hurricane or other event • In addition, EIA has historically reached out to industry participants to gather additional information and sometimes data to produce analysis of the impact of energy emergencies on petroleum markets • NPC Emergency Preparedness Study recommended that EIA’s participation in the DOE emergency response process be formalized to take advantage of EIA’s knowledge and understanding of the petroleum supply chain State Energy Risk Assessment 11 Workshop, April 28, 2015
EIA’s Role During Energy Emergencies • EIA can provide analysis of oil and natural gas markets to a wider, audience, including the public, as was the case during the aftermath of Sandy • EIA can provide some information on the impact of emergencies on gasoline, distillate fuel, and jet fuel production • Some of EIA’s information is proprietary and not releasable in disaggregated form • The EIA website has an Energy Disruptions page that includes information and links to DOE Emergency Situation Reports, NOAA National Hurricane Center, etc. State Energy Risk Assessment 12 Workshop, April 28, 2015
Winter 2013/2014 propane supply disruptions State Energy Risk Assessment Workshop, April 28, 2015 13
Winter 2014/2015 propane supply State Energy Risk Assessment Workshop, April 28, 2015 14
West Coast Petroleum Product Supply Map: Torrance Refinery State Energy Risk Assessment Workshop, April 28, 2015 15
West Coast Petroleum Product Supply Map: Torrance Refinery State Energy Risk Assessment Workshop, April 28, 2015 16
Questions? State Energy Risk Assessment 17 Workshop, April 28, 2015
Upstream Oil and Gas and Downstream Natural Gas Data Collection EIA-910 Monthly Natural Gas Marketer Survey EIA-857 Monthly Report of Natural Gas Purchases and Deliveries to Consumers Power Plant EIA-923 Operations Report EIA-176 Annual Report of Natural and Supplemental Gas Supply and Disposition FE-746R EIA-176 EIA-191 Monthly Underground Gas Storage Report EIA-912 Weekly Underground Natural Gas Storage EIA-64A Report EIA-816 EIA-757 Annual Report of the Origin of Natural Gas Liquids Production EIA-176 Monthly Natural Gas Liquids Report Natural Gas Processing Survey EIA-914 EIA-23S EIA-23L Monthly Natural Gas Production Report Annual Survey of Domestic Oil and Gas Reserves (Field Version and Summary Version) State Energy Risk Assessment 18 Workshop, April 28, 2015
Recommend
More recommend
