E CONOMI C DE VE L OPME NT YE AR 1, UNI VE RSI T Y OF WAT E RL OO ST AT E O F T HE NO RT H 22 JUNE 2018, T HUNDER BAY
Ove rvie w I ntro duc tio n to No rthe rn Po lic y I nstitute • T he E c o no my of O nta rio’s Northe rn Re g ions • E XE RCI SE 1 • BRE AK • De mo g ra phic s o f Onta rio ’ s No rthe rn Re g io ns • E duc a tio n in Onta rio ’ s No rthe rn Re g io ns • E mplo yme nt in Onta rio ’ s No rthe rn Re g io ns • I nc o me in Onta rio ’ s No rthe rn Re g io ns • Mig ra tio n in Onta rio ’ s No rthe rn Re g io ns • E XE RCI SE 2 • CONCL UDE •
c o no mic Re g io ns Onta rio ’ s No rthe rn E
Wha t is NPI ? “T hink ta nk” • I nde pe nde nt – a utho rs a re fre e fro m inte rfe re nc e fro m • e ve ryo ne , inc luding us No n-pa rtisa n – we do no t ta ke “side s” • E vide nc e b a se d – we c o lle c t, me a sure a nd inte rpre t da ta • I N the No rth – we de a l with lo c a l, re g io na l, pro vinc ia l, na tio na l • a nd inte rna tio na l issue s fro m a no rthe rn pe rspe c tive No t a n a dvo c a c y g ro up •
T hre e wa ys YO UR issue g e ts o n O UR to -do list 1. T o p T e n No rthe rn I ssue s: No rthe rn Po lic y I nstitute is the ONL Y T hink T a nk in Ca na da tha t se ts its re se a rc h a g e nda b a se d o n fe e db a c k we re c e ive fro m o ur sta ke ho lde rs, a ll 780,000 o f the m. I f yo ur issue is sha re d b y yo ur frie nds a nd ne ig hb o urs, it will like ly g e t o nto o ur to -do list. 2. Sing le Windo w o n No rthe rn I ssue s: YOU do the wo rk, c o mmissio n the study, a nd yo u se nd it to us fo r re -pub lic a tio n o r disse mina tio n. Big pa rts o f o ur jo b invo lve a vo iding wa ste ful duplic a tio n o f e ffo rt a nd g e tting the wo rd o ut a b o ut wha t ha s a lre a dy b e e n do ne . 3. Willing to Pa rtne r – b ut no g ua ra nte e s : NOT a c o nsulting se rvic e , b ut will pa rtne r – in c a sh, o r in kind – to e xpe dite ne e de d wo rk. We just c a n’ t pro mise yo u will like the a nswe r.
Sa mple Pub lic a tio ns
Sa mple T o o ls Mapping the North: http://www.northernpolicy.ca/boundarymap • http://www.northernpolicy.ca/infrastructuremap • Other Maps of Interest •
A QUI CK VI SI T – (ASSUMI NG T E CHNOL OGY WORK S) NPI .COMMUNI T YACCOUNT S.CA
CONOMY E HE T
T he E c o no mic Ba se So me GDP Gro wth Amid the F luc tua tio ns So urc e : Autho r's c a lc ula tio ns b a se d o n Sta tistic s Ca na da L a b o ur F o rc e Surve y (c a nsim ta b le 282-0125), a nd GDP e stima tio ns (c a nsim T a b le 382-0004)
T he E c o no mic Ba se …Hiding Sig nific a nt Cha ng e s in I ndustrie s GDP BY I NDUST RY (2007 CHAI NE D DOL L ARS, I N MI L L I ONS) NORT HWE ST NORT HE AST Pub lic a dministra tio n Othe r se rvic e s Ac c o mmo da tio n a nd fo o d se rvic e s I nfo rma tio n, c ulture a nd re c re a tio n He a lth c a re a nd so c ia l a ssista nc e E duc a tio na l se rvic e s Busine ss, b uilding a nd o the r suppo rt se rvic e s Pro fe ssio na l, sc ie ntific a nd te c hnic a l se rvic e s F ina nc e , insura nc e , re a l e sta te a nd le a sing T ra nspo rta tio n a nd wa re ho using T ra de Ma nufa c turing Co nstruc tio n Utilitie s F o re stry, fishing , mining , q ua rrying , o il a nd g a s Ag ric ulture $4,000 $3,000 $2,000 $1,000 $0 $0 $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 2001 2016 So urc e : Autho r's c a lc ula tio ns b a se d o n Sta tistic s Ca na da L a b o ur F o rc e Surve y (c a nsim ta b le 282-0125), a nd GDP e stima tio ns (c a nsim T a b le 382-0004)
GDP b y Go o ds-Pro duc ing F ORE ST RY, F I SHI NG, MI NI NG, QUARRYI NG, OI L AND GAS I ndustry(Cha ine d 2007 Do lla rs 6000 5000 x1,000,000) 4000 3000 2000 AGRI CUL T URE 1000 160 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 140 120 100 80 MANUF ACT URI NG 60 40 2500 20 2000 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1500 1000 500 UT I L I T I E S 0 1000 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 800 600 CONST RUCT I ON 400 2000 200 0 1500 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1000 500 No rthe a st No rthwe st 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 So urc e : Autho r's c a lc ula tio ns b a se d o n Sta tistic s Ca na da L a b o ur F o rc e Surve y (Ca nsim T a b le 282-0125), a nd GDP e stima tio ns (382-0004)
GDP b y Se rvic e -Pro duc ing I ndustry No rthe a st No rthwe st (Cha ine d 2007 Do lla rs x1,000,000) (1) T RADE (WHOL E SAL E & RE T AI L ) T RANSPORT AT I ON & WARE HOUSI NG 3500 1200 3000 1000 2500 800 2000 600 1500 400 1000 200 500 0 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 F I NANCE , I NSURANCE , RE AL E ST AT E & PROF E SSI ONAL , SCI E NT I F I C & T E CHNI CAL L E ASI NG SE RVI CE S 3500 1000 900 3000 800 2500 700 600 2000 500 1500 400 300 1000 200 500 100 0 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 So urc e : Autho r's c a lc ula tio ns b a se d o n Sta tistic s Ca na da L a b o ur F o rc e Surve y (Ca nsim T a b le 282-0125), a nd GDP e stima tio ns (382-0004)
GDP b y Se rvic e -Pro duc ing I ndustry No rthe a st No rthwe st (Cha ine d 2007 Do lla rs x1,000,000) (2) BUSI NE SS, BUI L DI NG & OT HE R SUPPORT HE AL T H CARE & SOCI AL ASSI ST ANCE SE RVI CE S 2500 1000 900 2000 800 700 1500 600 500 1000 400 300 500 200 100 0 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 E DUCAT I ONAL SE RVI CE S I NF ORMAT I ON, CUL T URE & RE CRE AT I ON 1800 1000 900 1600 800 1400 700 1200 600 1000 500 800 400 600 300 400 200 200 100 0 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 So urc e : Autho r's c a lc ula tio ns b a se d o n Sta tistic s Ca na da L a b o ur F o rc e Surve y (Ca nsim T a b le 282-0125), a nd GDP e stima tio ns (382-0004)
GDP b y Se rvic e -Pro duc ing I ndustry No rthe a st No rthwe st (Cha ine d 2007 Do lla rs x1,000,000) (3) ACCOMMODAT I ON & F OOD SE RVI CE S OT HE R SE RVI CE S 800 600 700 500 600 400 500 400 300 300 200 200 100 100 0 0 PUBL I C ADMI NI ST RAT I ON 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 So urc e : Autho r's c a lc ula tio ns b a se d o n Sta tistic s Ca na da L a b o ur F o rc e Surve y (Ca nsim T a b le 282-0125), a nd GDP e stima tio ns (382-0004)
I nve stme nt a nd Busine ss Attra c tio n Gro wth in the T o ta l Numb e r o f Busine sse s YE AR-OVE R-YE AR CHANGE I N NUMBE R OF BUSI NE SSE S (JUNE OF E ACH YE AR*) 9% 8.4% 8% 7% 6.2% 6% 5% 4.1% 3.8% 4% 3.4% 2.9% 3% 1.9% 2% 1.3% 1.2% 1.1% 0.8% 0.7% 1% 0% 2012-2013 2013-2014 2015-2016 2016-2017 No rthe a st No rthwe st Onta rio *As the me tho do lo g y to c o lle c t da ta fo r Busine ss Co unts c ha ng e d g re a tly in De c e mb e r 2014, it is no t po ssib le to c a lc ula te the ye a r-o ve r-ye a r c ha ng e fo r June 2014- June 2015, a nd re a de rs sho uld a na lyze this da ta with c a utio n. So urc e : Autho r’ s c a lc ula tio ns b a se d o n Sta tistic s Ca na da , Busine ss Co unts.
I nve stme nt a nd Busine ss Attra c tio n Gro wth in E ve ry Distric t in the T o ta l Numb e r o f Busine sse s NUMBE R OF BUSI NE SSE S BY DI ST RI CT (JUNE OF E ACH YE AR) 14,000 12,000 12,341 12,094 10,789 10,000 10,587 8,000 7,450 7,351 6,000 6,710 6,610 5,858 5,814 4,000 4,395 1,745 1,777 4,292 1,628 4,203 4,195 1,633 1,090 1,148 2,000 2,709 2,717 0 2015 2017 So urc e : Autho r’ s c a lc ula tio ns b a se d o n Sta tistic s Ca na da , Busine ss Co unts.
I nve stme nt a nd Busine ss Attra c tio n A De c re a sing Numb e r o f Ba nkruptc ie s NUMBE R OF BUSI NE SS BANK RUPT CI E S 180 156 155 151 160 140 120 101 100 80 59 50 60 42 39 39 59 40 29 51 43 41 10 20 22 20 15 14 12 0 11 9 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 No rthe a st No rthwe st So urc e : Autho r’ s c a lc ula tio ns b a se d o n I ndustry Ca na da , Offic e o f the Supe rinte nde nt o f Ba nkruptc y.
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