Divided America: Politics and Polarization
Direction of Country Right Direction Wrong Track 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Washington Post/ABC News polls, 2004-2015
Trust in Our Institutions GREAT DEAL/QUITE A LOT 100 90 74 80 62 70 53 60 45 50 34 40 30 29 26 26 22 21 30 18 20 7 10 0 Gallup, June 5-8, 2014
Most Honest, Ethical Professions VERY HIGH/HIGH ETHICS 100 90 80 80 65 70 60 48 46 50 40 23 21 21 30 20 8 7 6 10 0 Gallup, December 8-11, 2014
10 20 30 40 50 60 0 54 Jan-02 Jul-02 Jan-03 42 Jul-03 46 Jan-04 Congress’s Job Approval Jul-04 Jan-05 41 Jul-05 Jan-06 Jul-06 20 Jan-07 Jul-07 23 Approve Jan-08 Approve 13 Jul-08 Jan-09 31 Jul-09 Jan-10 17 20 22 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 13 Jan-12 Jul-12 12 Jan-13 14 12 13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 16 Jan-15
President Obama’s Job Approval
Drinks and Politics 140 Chardonnay More likely Cabernet to vote Sauvignon Blanc Sauvignon Brut Scotch Shiraz/Syrah 130 Merlot Canadian whiskey Labatt Gin Pinot Grigio 120 Samuel Adams Guinness Red Zinfandel Bourbon whiskey 110 Stella Artois Amstel Light Blue Moon Vodka Brandy Dos Equis Miller Lite 100 Heineken Coors Original Coors Light Rum Milwaukee's Best Corona Light Tequila 90 Cognac Bud Light Budweiser Corona Miller High Life Less likely 80 Busch Light Tecate to vote Natural Light 70 Busch Any malt liquor SOURCE: NMRPP analysis of Scarborough Research data USA+ 2012 Release 2; Aug ‘11 -Sept ’12; N=206,895 U.S. adults 18+. 60 -80 -70 -60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 Democratic Republican
Cars and Politics Porsche Any Hybrid vehicle 140 Jaguar Volvo 130 Subaru Saab Lincoln Buick 120 Lexus Cadillac Suzuki Mini Mercedes Acura Toyota Chrysler Audi 110 Mazda BMW Volkswagen GMC Hyundai Honda Ford Jeep 100 Kia Chevrolet Pontiac Dodge Nissan 90 Geo Automobile Ownership Plymouth Mitsubishi 80 SOURCE: NMRPP analysis of Scarborough Research data USA+ 2012 Release 2; Aug ‘11 - Sept ’12; 70 N=206,895 U.S. adults 18+. -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Democratic Republican
Sports and Politics 140 Sports Audiences PGA Tour LPGA Tour College basketball College baseball SOURCE: NMRPP analysis of Scarborough Research High school sports 130 data USA+ 2012 Release 2; Aug ‘11 - Sept ’12; N=206,895 Horse racing U.S. adults 18+. College football IndyCar Series Figure skating Women's tennis Olympics 120 MLB (WTA) Men's tennis (ATP) NHL NFL 110 WNBA NASCAR Gymnastics F1 Racing Pro rodeo 100 NBA NHRA Drag Racing 90 Major League Soccer (MLS) Pro boxing UFC (Ultimate 80 European soccer Fighting) AMA Pro Racing (motorcycle/ATV) MotoGP (Grand 70 Monster Trucks Prix motorcycle) WWE (pro Supercross/Motocro wrestling) ss 60 -100 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60
A Television Event for Red America Deeper red indicates higher viewership. Deeper blue indicates lower viewership.
Duck Dynasty Season 4 Premier
2014 Best Picture Nominees
State of the States 24 under total Republican control 7 under total Democratic control 19 under divided control
Battle for the Senate 54 Republicans, 44 Democrats, 2 independents
Battle for the Senate
Battle for the Senate The Vulnerable Republicans
Battle for the Senate The Vulnerable Democrats
Battle for the House 246 Republicans, 188 Democrats, 1 vacancy
Battle for the House
Gerrymandering
North Carolina’s 12 th District
Illinois’ 17 th District
Pennsylvania’s 7 th District
Arizona’s (Old) 2 nd District
Arizona’s New Districts
Battle for the House
Who’s Running in 2016?
Who’s Running in 2016?
Demographics… Obama Romney 100 93 90 80 71 70 60 59 55 60 44 50 39 37 40 27 30 20 7 10 0 Whites (72%) African Americans (13%) Latino (10%) Women (53%) 18-29 (19%)
…Are Destiny 100 86 87 85 83 90 81 77 74 80 72 70 60 50 40 28 26 23 19 30 17 13 15 14 20 10 0 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 White Non-White
The Blue Wall Total: 242 electoral votes
President Obama’s Job Approval
Go West … And South
Direction of Country Right Direction Wrong Track 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Washington Post/ABC News polls, 2004-2015
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