Comerica Incorporated First Quarter 2016 Financial Review April - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Comerica Incorporated First Quarter 2016 Financial Review April 19, 2016

Safe Harbor Statement Any statements in this presentation that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Words such as “anticipates,” “believes,” “contemplates,” “feels,” “expects,” “estimates,” “seeks,” “strives,” “plans,” “intends,” “outlook,” “forecast,” “position,” “target,” “mission,” “assume,” “achievable,” “potential,” “strategy,” “goal,” “aspiration,” “opportunity,” “initiative,” “outcome,” “continue,” “remain,” “maintain,” “on course,” “trend,” “objective,” “looks forward,” “projects,” “models” and variations of such words and similar expressions, or future or conditional verbs such as “will,” “would,” “should,” “could,” “might,” “can,” “may” or similar expressions, as they relate to Comerica or its management, are intended to identify forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are predicated on the beliefs and assumptions of Comerica's management based on information known to Comerica's management as of the date of this presentation and do not purport to speak as of any other date. Forward-looking statements may include descriptions of plans and objectives of Comerica's management for future or past operations, products or services, and forecasts of Comerica's revenue, earnings or other measures of economic performance, including statements of profitability, business segments and subsidiaries, estimates of credit trends and global stability. Such statements reflect the view of Comerica's management as of this date with respect to future events and are subject to risks and uncertainties. Should one or more of these risks materialize or should underlying beliefs or assumptions prove incorrect, Comerica's actual results could differ materially from those discussed. Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences are changes in general economic, political or industry conditions; changes in monetary and fiscal policies, including changes in interest rates; changes in regulation or oversight; Comerica's ability to maintain adequate sources of funding and liquidity; the effects of more stringent capital or liquidity requirements; declines or other changes in the businesses or industries of Comerica's customers, in particular the energy industry; unfavorable developments concerning credit quality; operational difficulties, failure of technology infrastructure or information security incidents; reliance on other companies to provide certain key components of business infrastructure; factors impacting noninterest expenses which are beyond Comerica's control; changes in the financial markets, including fluctuations in interest rates and their impact on deposit pricing; reductions in Comerica's credit rating; the interdependence of financial service companies; the implementation of Comerica's strategies and business initiatives; damage to Comerica's reputation; Comerica's ability to utilize technology to efficiently and effectively develop, market and deliver new products and services; competitive product and pricing pressures among financial institutions within Comerica's markets; changes in customer behavior; any future strategic acquisitions or divestitures; management's ability to maintain and expand customer relationships; management's ability to retain key officers and employees; the impact of legal and regulatory proceedings or determinations; the effectiveness of methods of reducing risk exposures; the effects of terrorist activities and other hostilities; the effects of catastrophic events including, but not limited to, hurricanes, tornadoes, earthquakes, fires, droughts and floods; changes in accounting standards and the critical nature of Comerica's accounting policies. Comerica cautions that the foregoing list of factors is not exclusive. For discussion of factors that may cause actual results to differ from expectations, please refer to our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. In particular, please refer to “Item 1A. Risk Factors” beginning on page 12 of Comerica's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2015. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made. Comerica does not undertake to update forward-looking statements to reflect facts, circumstances, assumptions or events that occur after the date the forward-looking statements are made. For any forward-looking statements made in this presentation or in any documents, Comerica claims the protection of the safe harbor for forward-looking statements contained in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. 2

Financial Summary 1Q16 4Q15 1Q15 Diluted income per common share $0.34 $0.64 $0.73 Net interest income $447 $433 $413 Net interest margin 2.81% 2.58% 2.64% Provision for credit losses 148 60 14 Net credit-related charge-offs to average loans 0.49% 0.42% 0.07% Noninterest income 246 268 252 Noninterest expenses 460 484 456 Net income 60 116 134 Total average loans $48,392 $48,548 $48,151 Total average deposits 56,708 59,736 56,990 Basel III common equity Tier 1 capital ratio 10.56% 1 10.54% 10.40% Average diluted shares (millions) 176 179 182 $ in millions, except per share data ● n/a – not applicable ● 1 Estimated 3

First Quarter 2016 Results Key QoQ Performance Drivers Change From 1Q16 4Q15 1Q15 Total average loans $48,392 (156) 241 • Loans relatively stable Total average deposits 56,708 (3,028) (282) • Deposits declined with purposeful pricing & LCR strategy Net interest income 447 14 34 Provision for credit losses 148 88 134 • Net interest income up 3% with rise in rates Net credit-related charge-offs 58 7 50 • Provision reflected reserve build for Noninterest income 246 (22) (6) energy & net charge-offs 4 of 49 bps Noninterest expenses 460 (24) 4 • Noninterest income lower due to Net income 60 (56) (74) decline in commercial loan fees following strong 4Q15 Earnings per share (EPS) 1 0.34 (0.30) (0.39) Tangible Book Value • Expenses decreased 5% with lower Per Share 2 39.96 0.63 1.49 salaries/benefits & reductions in several other categories Equity repurchases 3 1.2MM shares or $42MM • TBV increased 2%, to $39.96 2 $ in millions, except per share data ● 1Q16 compared to 4Q15 ● 1 EPS based on diluted income per share. ● 2 See slide 28 for a reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures. ● 3 1Q16 repurchases under the equity repurchase program. ● 4 Net credit-related charge-offs 4

Loans Relatively Stable Yields increase; maintaining pricing and structure discipline Total Loans Average loans decreased $156MM ($ in billions) - General Middle Market Loan Yields - Energy 49.4 49.0 49.1 48.8 - Mortgage Banker Finance 48.5 48.4 48.2 + Commercial Real Estate + National Dealer Services Period-end loans increased $293MM + Commercial Real Estate - Corporate Banking Loan yields +14 bps  Average 30-day LIBOR rose ~23 bps 3.38 Commitments down ~3% to $54.4B 3.24 3.20 3.19 3.17  Line utilization 1 increased to 51% Loan pipeline increased 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 4Q15 1Q16 Average Balances Period-end 1Q16 compared to 4Q15 ● 1 Utilization of commercial commitments as a percentage of total commercial commitments at period-end. 5

Deposit Decline Reflects Purposeful Pricing & LCR Strategy Deposits costs stable Total Deposits Average deposits decreased ($ in billions) - Corporate Banking Deposit Rates 1 - Financial Services Division 59.7 59.9 59.1 57.4 57.0 56.7 56.4 - Municipalities  About 2/3 of total deposits are commercial  Loan to Deposit Ratio 2 of 87% Deposits: Large Proportion NIB ($ in billions, Period-end) Interest- bearing 0.15 50% 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 Total $56.4 Noninterest -bearing 50% 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 4Q15 1Q16 Average Balances Period-end 1Q16 compared to 4Q15 ● 1 Interest costs on interest-bearing deposits ● 2 At 3/31/16 6

Increased Securities Portfolio in 4Q15 Yield declined with mix shift of portfolio Securities Portfolio ($ in billions) Securities portfolio increased Treasury Securities & Other Mortgage-backed Securities (MBS) Securities Yields During 4Q15, invested $1.9B of excess 12.5 12.5 reserves into higher yielding, high quality 12.4 securities while maintaining asset sensitive 10.9 position 10.2 9.9 9.9  Duration of 3.3 years 1 9.5 9.5 9.4 9.2 9.1 9.1 • Extends to 4.1 years under a 200 bps 9.1 instantaneous rate increase 1  Net unrealized pre-tax gain of $177MM 2  Net unamortized premium of $34MM 3  GNMA ~40% of MBS portfolio 2.16 2.13 2.11 2.11 2.05 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 4Q15 1Q16 Average Balances Period-end 3/31/16 ● 1 Estimated as of 3/31/16. Excludes auction rate securities (ARS). ● 2 Net unrealized pre-tax gain on the available- for-sale (AFS) portfolio. ● 3 Net unamortized premium on the MBS portfolio. 7