Clim imate a and H Hea ealt lth: : Understanding the Impacts and Enhancing Resilience M ichigan Sustainability Conference November 21, 2019 Aaron Ferguson, M PA M issy Stults, PhD Program M anager Sustainability and Innovations M anager M ichigan Climate and Health Adaptation Program City of Ann Arbor FergusonA1@M ichigan.gov M Stults@a2gov.org
M ajor US Climate Trends https:/ / health2016.globalchange.gov/
Observed Temperature Change 2.9°F 1960-2012 Michigan Source: Third National Climate Assessment, GLISA Analysis of nClimDiv climate divisional data.
Observed Precipitation Change 4.5% (1.4 in) 1960-2012 Michigan Source: Third National Climate Assessment, Weighted averages of nClimDiv divisional data from 8 U.S. Great Lakes States.
Projected T emperature Changes: 1971-2000 to 2041-2070 1.5–4.5°F (annual)
Projected Precipitation Changes: 1971-2000 to 2041-2070 Winter Spring +10 to 20% +0 to +15% 3-6% state yearly average Summer Fall -5 to 0% +0 to +15% NOAA NCDC / CICS-NC
What do those changes really mean? Courtesy GLISA, 2015, modified from Hayhoe et. al.
How many Michigan Stadiums could you fill with the precipitation that falls on Ann Arbor in a single year? 117 Source: GLISA
That’s 23 more than 30 years ago. Based on 30-year averages of annual precipitation totals recorded at the University of M ichigan, COOPID# 200230. Data available from the National Climatic Data Center.
Health Impacts from Climate Change Source: M innesota Climate and Health Program www.health.state.mn.us/ communities/ environment/ climate/ climate101.html
Costs of Climate Change in M ichigan 10.9% of adults and EH currently causes Flood damages: Ecosystems are shifting. 13.2% of kids have an estimated 33 - 2013 Kent County, The geographic range and additional deaths at $12 M active season for vectors is asthma. One estimate a cost of $42 M -2014 Detroit area, expanding. In 2012, 157 of annual cost = annually. By end of $1.2 B cases of Lyme disease- $2,514 per patient century that could -2018 Houghton, related hospitalizations and $92.4 M be 240 additional $100 M and 11 ED visits were cumulative impact. deaths at cost of -2019 $15 M to estimated to have resulted $280 M farms in $8M in health costs.
Building Resilience Against Climate Effects 01 Forecasting Climate Impacts and Projecting the Assessing Disease Burden Vulnerabilities 02 05 BRACE Evaluating B uilding R esilience Impact and Assessing Improving Quality A gainst C limate E ffects Public Health of Activities Interventions 04 03 Developing and Implementing a Climate and Health Adaptation Plan Climate and Health Program, CDC 2017
Cross S Sect ector R Res esponse t to o Build ld R Resilie ilience Source: City of Calgary Climate Program (modified)
M arquette Climate and Health Adaptation Project
Process Summary VISUAL DESIGN HEAL TH IM PACTS COM M UNITY VULNERABLE M UL TIDISCIPLINARY IDENTITY POPULATIONS STEERING COM M ITTEE
Acknowledgements Project Team M SU School of Planning, Design, and Construction (SPDC) M SU Extension (M SUE) (Health & Public Policy and Government) Community Partners M arquette County Health Department M arquette County Climate Adaptation Task Force (CATF) Superior Watershed Partnership M arquette Area Community Organizations Local Units of Government
Iterative Dialogue Key Informant Discussions M eeting One – Community Visioning M eeting Two – Design & Policy Input M eeting Three – Prepare to Implement
Determining Points of Intervention Determining Points of Intervention Determining Points of Intervention
Determining Points of Intervention Determining Points of Intervention
Built Environment Adaptation Designs: Before
Built Environment Adaptation Designs: After
Connecting Design to Health and Adaptation Policies
Volume I Example
Volume II Example
Volume III Example
Resilience Hubs M arquette Climate and Health Adaptation Project
Resilience Hubs are community-serving facilities augmented to support residents, coordinate communication, distribute resources, and reduce carbon pollution while enhancing quality of life. Hubs provide an Ice cream socials in summer 2019 opportunity to effectively work at the nexus of community resilience, emergency management, climate mitigation, and social equity while providing opportunities for communities to become more self-determining, socially connected, and successful before, during, and after disruptions.
Due to a history of marginalization and disinvestment, people of color, immigrants, refugees, and lower-income populations experience increased exposure and sensitivity to climate hazards and a reduced capacity to adapt. Resilience Hubs are intended to shift power to neighborhoods and residents, provide opportunities to address root causes of disproportionate exposure and sensitivity to climate impacts, and enhance communities’ capacity to adapt.
Resilience Hubs are flexible both in their application and design. Sites are as diverse as the communities they serve. Hubs typically require enhancements and upgrades that improve their capacity to provide service in all three operating conditions (everyday, disruption, and recovery). Upgrades can range in complexity and cost.
M aintain and Celebrate Implement Co-Design Solutions Assess Opportunities Build Trust / Strengths
Resources and Contact Information Climate and Health Adaptation Planning References: Health Data Sources • M ichigan Climate and Health • CDC – National Adaptation Program Environmental Public Health Tracking Network • CDC Climate and Health Program Aaron Ferguson • EP A – Environmental M ICHAP • Fourth National Climate Justice (EJ) Screen Program M anager Assessment • CDC - 500 Cities: Local FergusonA1@M ichigan.gov • M arquette Climate and Health Data for Better Health Adaptation Guidebook • Robert Wood Johnson • M anaging Water For Health In a Foundation – County Changing Climate Health Rankings • Resilience Hub Website
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