National Hurricane Conference 2018 Chief John Baroni Nassau County Fire Commission Chair Battalion EOC Committee
Is plan designed to meet the needs of Emergency Officials? What role does the public play in the planning process? Does the agency Plan guides the agency’s actions?
3 Townships 71 Fire Depts 61 Villages 9 Battalions 2 Cites each with 19 Village Fire Depart Departs County Fire 3 Water Marshal Office District Departs NC Fire Communications 31 Fire District Dispatchs for 46 Departs Departs 16 287 E, 91 T, 61 R Independent 130 Amb, 6 Field Incorp Fire Co Coms, 2 Rehab
County Police Department 14 Village Police Departments 2 City Police Departments Sheriff Department New York State Troopers Nassau County Police Ambulance Bureau
Health Dept, Hospitals, Health Care, Special needs DPW, NYSDOT Public Utilities Public Transportation RR, Bus Federal Gov State Gov Local Gov Red Cross Public Outreach
Chief Executive decides to take charge – PR? Local govt decision kicks it up the line? Are Decision Makers trained?
Law Enforcement Fire EMS/Health Dept Dispatch/911 Emergency Management/Red Cross DPW/DOT Roles and Responsibilities Information for IAP
Single Agency Actions to be taken by agency Timing is forecast impacts Stand alone Integrated with Agencies That another agency actions are known Their actions affect your timing Their failure becomes your problem
Was plan designed to meet the needs of Emergency Officials, is it for decision making, guide, adopted by “person in charge?” Supported by technology in real time? Pre-Storm Post Storm Recovery
The forecast is the same, application and timing may be different
Multi Agency Coordination Center Problem Solving Filling holes created Common Operating Picture Situational Awareness Brief Gov. Official Point of Contact for local Agencies Stay a step ahead – just-in-time Planning Reflex time – Decision / Action Follow up – Track decisions Document Cost $$$$
Policy Emergency Response during storm- wind, flooding Evacuation traffic – response Relocate apparatus Loss of Facilities Back up field communication, portable radio batteries Family Services – in firehouse vs shelter (Host)
Tow truck – clear route/transport occupants Maintain Access – reverse lanes Clear Drainage Sand bags/sand/forklift/pallet Heavy Equipment Saws, pumps, fuel delivery/drums/hand pump Repair and maintenance/tires/board up/tarps Debris Management
Policy Emergency Response during storm- wind Evac Special Needs – shelter and services. electrical dependent, nurse, aide, service animal Timing – Notification /Reflex Transportation for Facilities – contractor / EMS Linen service, first aid supply, drugs, food Hospital divert – closure Secure ambulance in building
Traffic - evacuation routes – coordinate state, DOT, local, Bridge Tunnel Authority Evacuation of surge area/flooding/closing public access Barrier Island – restricted access/bridge/ferry Public Transportation – bus, train, airport Directing Public – signage, Rev 911, media Security, Re-entry, Shelter, sex offender/Order of Protection Prisoners/Jail operations/Arrest Process
Creating problems, public actions unknown Destination Shelter ? Granma ‘s House ? Out of State ? Limited Access route Fuel Available When are they going to leave? Travel time?
Need of Transportation Planning Travel Time Shelter location Evacuation Center
Public is different then Emergency Services Security, Damage Assessment, Public that didn’t leave
Everyday routine and emergencies When conditions are more then: Wind Rain Usually experienced Have actions to protect the agency/staff and the public
Local NWS Office – Event driven or ongoing Local Hurricane Statement NHC website – interrupt data, Model Ensemble Hurrevac – Trained personnel / Apply Info Internal Agency /Commercial/Contract Provider Watches Warnings - Action triggers NWS and NHC Use the trusted source
Policy Statement – OHSA personnel safety limits , wind speed, vehicle operation, flooding, Guildelines - adapative response SOP /SOG changes Personnel protection – contaminated environments, life jackets , building refuge Equipment staged to prevent damage Inspections – bridges, buildings, utilities, recon of area
Operations Overwhelm
It’s not what you don’t know, It’s what you do know – But It’s just isn’t so The information interrupted drives the Plan application
Condition changes require action changes
Surge Flooding Wind Tornado Waves At different intensity Tropical, Post -Tropical , Extra-Tropical, Storm Size Matters
Surge - Storm Tide Largest cause of Flooding - Rainfall Death Waves - Rip Currents Wind – Sustained / Gusts Flying Tornado Debris
HEIGHT of TIDE Surge is added to tide = Storm Tide different everyday cycle of tide / timing of surge Surge at time of low tide = less Storm Tide height The height of the land remains the same The tide and storm tide go up and down
Coastal Surge – is NWS Marine Product. Mean High High Water MHHW Mean Low Low Water MLLW For navigation - Water Depth / Bridge Clearance Mean Sea Level – MSL a height above MLLW Above ground height Tide Stations have different MSL – different scales
MLLW is 2.6 below MSL
Forecast concern was wind, not surge. 5 foot surge Not related to TS Phippe 10/29/17
High Tide 5:13 am Low Tide 11:44 am
Goal - Need to be ready for storm response Actions taken to serve public Actions taken for facilities Actions safeguard members Actions safeguard family members How many hours are needed to prepare??? 72, 48, 12 Hours Actions
Hours needed to complete preparations TSFW distance speed = hours remaining Distance from TSFW – forecast conditions Forecast Discussion – increase /decrease to forward speed, present track position Change to forecast track Confidence “low” “high”
NEED TO KNOW information up front 5 toes impact NICE TO KNOW attachments Plan information or IAP needs
Confidence in forecast model output - “high” “low” Time and Distance Tracking is good Models – “low” SWAG (scientific wild ass guest) Steering systems are always moving Time - “No time outs” Speed and Intenity of storm - problematic Constantly under going structure change DON’T GET BEHIND ! Can’t afford to be mislead
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB EYE DIAMETER 40 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 25NW. N 50 KT....... 80NE 70SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT.......160NE 140SE 80SW 70NW. S 12 FT SEAS..300NE 240SE 60SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
KNOW YOUR AUDIENCE Have a printed handout Date and Time 5AM, 11AM, 5PM, 11PM Details accurate numbers , times 5 Toes – 3 “W”s WHAT is expected conditions to be experienced WHERE WHEN Action Items – what needs to be done and by when Highlight Forecast Discussion information Key Messages NHC LHS IAP Snap shot of track and timing. ICS 201 Briefing, ICS 205 Communications, ICS 202 Organization
Fuel – vehicles, apparatus , Power Tools, generators Facilitates – secure or abandon, remove records Family – dedicated shelter with or for agency/public shelter/in-place/food/meds special needs Bulletin Board for members – secure info Employee/Member parking Work Schedule Rest & Meals – cot, blanket, shower, hot meals
Level of Skill ? Media – TV, Radio, “Spaghetti Models” Grab the 8 second sound bite Social media – Facebook, Tweet, Blog Miss Information travels 6 X Faster Local knowledge person – Source? Experience? When the public is wrong – Oh Well When we are wrong – Hell to pay $$$ JOB 1 PROTECT THE PUBLIC
Public First Responder No Plan Plan Denial Good Data Experience ? Learn by Experience Group Checking – 4 + Knowledgeable sources Aware of details Decisions under Stress Decisive Weather is predicable, Perform under stress survival is not Legalese breeds Credibility mistrust
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