Building a Resilient Tomorrow: Will Tech Get Us There? Alice C. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Building a Resilient Tomorrow: Will Tech Get Us There? Alice C. Hill @Alice_C_Hill Climate Adaptation Forum: Disruptive Climate, Disruptive Technologies June 7, 2019

Superstorm Sandy 2012

U.S. Stock Exchange

Goldman Sachs HQ

Electrical Substation Explosion

Manhattan Dark

Subway Station Flooding

Fuel Lines After Sandy

Stress on Health Care

Infrastructure Interdependencies

Increase in Billion-Dollar Events, 1980-Present U.S. Billion-Dollar Disaster Events by Year (CPI-Adjusted 2011) 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

1880 – 2016 Average Temperature

Coastal Risk 5% 10% Counties’ projected population at 25% risk of displacement in 2100 50%

Drought Risk

Wildfire Risk

More Extreme Heat 2005-2015 1951-1980 1994-2004 1983-1993 1951-1980 1951-1980 1951-1980 baseline baseline baseline Extreme Heat Extreme Heat Extreme Heat Extreme Heat Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Below Average Below Average Below Average Below Average Normal Normal Normal Normal Above Average Above Average Above Average Above Average Cold Cold Cold Cold

Stationarity is Dead Courtesy: Rear Admiral (Ret.) David Titley, Ph.D.

Mitigation Savings Beyond Code National Benefit-Cost Ratio per peril Federally Funded Requirements Overall 6:1 4:1 7:1 5:1 Riverine Flood 7:1 Hurricane Surge Too few grants 5:1 5:1 Wind 3:1 4:1 Earthquake 3:1 4:1 Wildland-Urban Interface Fire Adapted from Multihazard Mitigation Council (2018) Natural Hazard Mitigation Saves: 2018 Interim Report

Technological Innovation • Visualizing Risk • How and Where We Build • Forecasting • Flexibility in Design

Visualizing Risk

Drone Missions

Business Continuity

How We Build

Flood Resilient Design

Flood Resilient Design

Flood Resilient Design

Storm Resilient Design

Fire Resilient Design

Skirball Fire 2017

Fire Resilient Materials

“Cooling Wood”

Where We Build

Land Use

Relocation

Forecasting

Early Warning

Flexibility in Design Flexibility in Design

London

Kuala Lumpur

Boston

The Case of PERDIDO BEACH 2010 2012 2014 Deepwater Hurricane Isaac Massive flooding Horizon spill

I’m just a part - time mayor in a small town. I don’t have a big planning staff, grant writers or any resources. So how can I even know the size of the threats we are facing — and what can I do to protect the people of my town? Patsy W. Parker, Mayor of the Town of Perdido Beach

Questions? @Alice_C_Hill Climate Adaptation Forum: Disruptive Climate, Disruptive Technologies June 7, 2019