Autonomous Vehicles & Automated Production Systems Kristin Dziczek | Director, Industry, Labor & Economics Group Center for Automotive Research 31 October 2017
AGENDA ▪ CAV Technology and Innovative Mobility Services ▪ Manufacturing Automation ▪ Implications 2 CENTER FOR AUTOMOTIVE RESEARCH
CENTER FOR AUTOMOTIVE RESEARCH
CENTER FOR AUTOMOTIVE RESEARCH
Advanced Transportation Technologies Definitions Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) Intelligent • Electronics, communications, or information Transportation processing used singly or in combination to Systems improve the efficiency or safety of a surface transportation system (CFR 940.1) Connected Vehicle Systems • Any system enabling the exchange of digital Connected Automated information between a vehicle and the world Vehicle Vehicle (e.g., another vehicle, infrastructure) Systems Systems Automated Vehicle Systems • Any electronic system that influences the lateral or longitudinal operation (or both) of a vehicle 5 CENTER FOR AUTOMOTIVE RESEARCH Source: CAR Research Source: CAR Research
Innovative Mobility Services Business models Innovative mobility services are transportation solutions enabled by emerging technologies and wireless connectivity that allow for more convenient, efficient, and flexible travel. SHARED AUTOMATED VEHICLES RIDEHAILING MICROTRANSIT CARSHARING BIKESHARING MOBILITY-AS-A- RIDESHARING SERVICE 6 CENTER FOR AUTOMOTIVE RESEARCH Source: CAR Research
Advanced Transportation Technologies Examples 7 CENTER FOR AUTOMOTIVE RESEARCH Source: CAR Research
Automated Vehicle Systems 0: No Driving Automation SAE Available Today Levels 0-2 1: Driver Assistance International Taxonomy 2: Partial Driving Automation Systems (ADS) Future Automated Driving 3: Conditional Driving Automation Levels 3-5 4: High Driving Automation 5: Full Driving Automation 8 CENTER FOR AUTOMOTIVE RESEARCH
Potential Im Implications CENTER FOR AUTOMOTIVE RESEARCH
Transformation of Parking CAVs only One parking level for CAVs. Ground floor converted to access area. Top floors converted to other uses. Concept: Arrowstreet Architecture 10 CENTER FOR AUTOMOTIVE RESEARCH
Implications for mass transit Pilot projects for automated transit exist today, mostly in Europe. University of Michigan and Navya will introduce automated shuttle service this fall Navya Arma Easymile EZ10 Local Motors Olli 2getthere Auro May Mobility CENTER FOR AUTOMOTIVE RESEARCH 11
Modifications to Existing infrastructure Signals and Road Markings ▪ Traffic signal updates are necessary to enable V2I ▪ V2I communication may replace some functions of signs and signals ▪ Pedestrians, cyclists, or non-connected vehicles still need them ▪ Clear lane markings are beneficial, but not necessary Source: Point Grey 12 CENTER FOR AUTOMOTIVE RESEARCH
Modifications to Existing infrastructure Lane width and road capacity Today Narrower lanes, no medians Bike lanes, drop-off lanes, wider sidewalks Narrower and fewer lanes, no medians Bike lanes, drop-off lanes, wider sidewalks 13 CENTER FOR AUTOMOTIVE RESEARCH
Proje jections CENTER FOR AUTOMOTIVE RESEARCH
Intelligent Mobility Technologies Global General Evolution Timeline, 1990 to beyond 2040 15 CENTER FOR AUTOMOTIVE RESEARCH Source: CAR Research
Intelligent Mobility Technologies Global General Evolution Timeline, 1990 to beyond 2040 16 CENTER FOR AUTOMOTIVE RESEARCH Source: CAR Research
Intelligent Mobility Technologies Global General Evolution Timeline, 1990 to beyond 2040 17 CENTER FOR AUTOMOTIVE RESEARCH Source: CAR Research
Intelligent Mobility Technologies Global General Evolution Timeline, 1990 to beyond 2040 18 CENTER FOR AUTOMOTIVE RESEARCH Source: CAR Research
19 CENTER FOR AUTOMOTIVE RESEARCH
Automated Production Systems CENTER FOR AUTOMOTIVE RESEARCH
CENTER FOR AUTOMOTIVE RESEARCH
CENTER FOR AUTOMOTIVE RESEARCH
CENTER FOR AUTOMOTIVE RESEARCH
Industry 4.0 involves the use of automation and data exchange in manufacturing technologies. monitor physical processes, create a virtual copy of the physical world and make decentralized decisions cyber-physical systems communicate and cooperate with each other and with humans in real time CENTER FOR AUTOMOTIVE RESEARCH 24
Top 5 Contributing Technologies for Industry 4.0 AR + Cloud Computing Internet of Things 3D Printing Big Data Augmented Reality using a network of internetworking of synthesizing a three- analyzing large data sets enriching the real world remote Internet- physical devices, dimensional object by to uncover hidden with digital information connected servers that vehicles, buildings, and forming successive patterns, unknown and media, such as 3D store, manage, and other items that can layers of material under correlations, trends, and models and videos, process data collect and exchange computer control customer preferences overlaid in real-time on data the a smartphone, tablet, PC or connected glasses CENTER FOR AUTOMOTIVE RESEARCH 25 Sources: BCG; Delloite; PWC; McKinsey; Roland Berger, Wiki
Potential Im Implications CENTER FOR AUTOMOTIVE RESEARCH
Industry 4.0 technologies can improve: PROCUREMENT & RESEARCH & PURCHASING DEVELOPMENT BUSINESS PLANNING MARKETING PRODUCTION WAREHOUSE & LOGISTICS CENTER FOR AUTOMOTIVE RESEARCH 27
Challenges of 4.0 Technologies: Insufficient High Unclear Cyber- Management Talent Investment Benefits Security Support $ CENTER FOR AUTOMOTIVE RESEARCH 28 Source: BCG; Delloite; PWC; Mckinsey; Roland Berger; Wiki
Proje jections CENTER FOR AUTOMOTIVE RESEARCH
Outlook for Potential Outcomes of Industry 4.0 30 CENTER FOR AUTOMOTIVE RESEARCH Sources: BCG; Delloite; PWC; McKinsey; Roland Berger
Summary of Current Trends in Production Management, 2014 to 2025 31 Source: Peters, Steven Automotive Manufacturing Technologies – An International Viewpoint CENTER FOR AUTOMOTIVE RESEARCH
Benefits of 4.0 technologies: $29B +37% +10% revenue generated in annual automotive the Americas cost reduction quality improvements +6-9% 2-3yrs productivity gains return on investment CENTER FOR AUTOMOTIVE RESEARCH 32 Source: BCG; Delloite; PWC; McKinsey; Roland Berger; Wiki
Common issues with CAV & In Industry ry 4.0 CENTER FOR AUTOMOTIVE RESEARCH
$ TALENT CYBERSECURITY ARTIFICIAL NEW COMPANIES/ COST INTELLIGENCE SUPPLY CHAINS
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