How are we planning for growth in Kittitas County? How much is coming and where should it be located? Angela San Filippo Long Range Planner Kittitas County Community Development Services
Agenda Overview of Comprehensive Planning process BERK Study Next steps
Planning Basics Development Regulations Kittitas County Comprehensive Plan Kittitas County and Cities Countywide Planning Policies Washington State Growth Management Act RCW 36.70A
Growth Management Act 14 statewide required planning goals The GMA’s fourteen required planning goals include the following: • Reduce sprawl • Property rights • Urban growth • Natural resource industries Housing Historic preservation • • Economic development Permits • • • Open space and recreation • Public facilities and services • Transportation • Shoreline management • Environment • Citizen participation and coordination
Role of the Conference of Governments 1. Select population projection within OFM range 2. Determine how population growth will be split between urban and rural areas 3. Allocate urban growth among Urban Growth Areas
OFM Population Projections
OFM Population Projections 2.13% 1.08% 0%
BERK Study
Population Projections 2.13% Average Annual 1.08% Period Growth Rate 1960 - 2015 1.34% 1970 - 2015 1.15% 1980 - 2015 1.55% 0% 1990 - 2015 1.89% 2000 - 2015 1.65% 2010 - 2015 0.84%
Additional Factors Emergence of Kittitas County as a retirement destination Share of population age 16 and older not in the workforce Kittitas County Washington State 2000 37.7% 33.5% 2009 - 2013 40.5% 34.9% Percentage change in share of 7.4% 4.2% total adult population
Additional Factors Emergence of Kittitas County as a retirement destination Share of population age 16 and older not in the workforce Kittitas County Washington State 2000 37.7% 33.5% 2009 - 2013 40.5% 34.9% Percentage change in share of 7.4% 4.2% total adult population Breakdown of Kittitas County population not in the labor force 2000 2013 Count Percent of total Count Percent of total Total population age 16 and older 27,431 34,666 Not in labor force 10,348 37.7% 14,030 40.5% 7,529 27.4% 9,458 27.3% Full-time CWU students* Other not in labor force 2,819 10.3% 4,572 13.2%
Additional Factors Central Washington University Enrollment Fall 2015 enrollment: 9, 656 • • On campus student enrollment: 1% annually since 2008 CWU projection: short and medium term growth, 11,000 student plateau •
Additional Factors Access to water New residential units permitted within upper county moratorium area
Additional Factors Employment growth Kittitas County non-farm employment; 2013 – September 2015
Additional Factors Long distance commuting Kittitas County residents who work outside Kittitas County
Additional Factors Interstate 90 improvements I-90 average annual daily traffic
Additional Factors Teleworking and working from home Transportation technologies Climate change
Land Capacity Analysis Supply of vacant, partially developed, and underutilized land • • Parcel boundaries • County assessor data Critical area mapping • City and County zoning • • Planned use developments • Master planned resort agreements
Allocation Scenarios Scenario 1: Historic Trends Scenario 2: Current Shares Population Scenario Scenario Scenario Scenario Share of Share of Capacity 1a (OFM 1b (OFM 2a (OFM 2b (OFM growth growth Medium) High) Medium) High) Kittitas County 100% 11,331 25,116 100% 11,331 25,116 UGA Study Areas 5,434 Cle Elum 1.1% 129 286 4.4% 498 1,104 11,757 Ellensburg 42.8% 4,855 10,761 48.7% 5,519 12,233 807 Kittitas 3.5% 395 876 3.5% 393 872 307 Roslyn 0.0% 0 0 2.1% 238 527 467 South Cle Elum 0.5% 57 127 1.4% 157 348 18,772 All UGAs (combined) 48.0% 5,436 12,049 60.1% 6,805 15,084
Contact Angela San Filippo, AICP Long Range Planner Kittitas County Community Development Services 411 North Ruby Street, Suite 2 509-933-8244 angela.sanfilippo@co.kittitas.wa.us
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