Alaska Alaska (Chukchi, Beaufort, Cook Inlet & North (Chukchi, Beaufort, Cook Inlet & North Aleutian) Aleutian) OCS Workshop OCS Workshop January 16, 2008 January 16, 2008 Rance Wall Rance Wall Regional Supervisor, Regional Supervisor, Resource Evaluation Alaska Resource Evaluation Alaska U.S. Minerals Management Service U.S. Minerals Management Service
MMS: An Ocean, Energy, MMS: An Ocean, Energy, & Mineral Agency & Mineral Agency Oil and Gas Leasing, Oil and Gas Leasing, Regulation, Monitoring, Regulation, Monitoring, Inspections Inspections • Sand, gravel, gold, and Sand, gravel, gold, and • other minerals, other minerals, • New New >> Energy from wind, >> Energy from wind, • currents, waves currents, waves •Environmental Environmental • & Technical & Technical Research Research
• Upcoming lease sales • Exploration and development • Issues • Research
Trans-Alaska Pipeline Daily Throughput 1977-2006 Million Barrels per day 2.500 2.000 1.500 1.000 0.500 0.000 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2004 2006 2006: 759,081 BOPD
Alaska 2007-12 OCS Program
Alaska Sales 2007-2012 Program Arctic Bering Sea /Gulf of Alaska Chukchi Sea North Aleutian Basin • Sale 193 (2008) • Sale 214 (2011) • Sale 212 (2010) • Sale 221 (2012) Beaufort Sea Cook Inlet (if interest) • Sale 209 (2009) • Sale 211 (2009) • Sale 217 (2011) • Sale 219 (2011)
Alaska Oil and Gas Estimates Undiscovered Technically Recoverable OCS Planning Area Oil and Gas Estimates 95% Mean 5% Beaufort Sea Oil (bbo) 0.4 8.2 23.2 Gas (tcf) 0.7 27.7 72.2 Chukchi Sea Oil (bbo) 2.3 15.4 40.1 Gas (tcf) 10.3 76.8 209.5 North Aleutian Basin Oil (bbo) 0.02 0.75 2.5 Gas (tcf) 0.4 8.6 22.3 Cook Inlet Oil (bbo) 0.06 1.0 2.9 Gas (tcf) 0.03 1.2 3.5 MMS 2006 National Assessment
North Aleutian Basin Sale 214 In 2011
NORTH ALEUTIAN BASIN OCS PLANNING AREA ALASKA Iliamna Lake Kuka L. 58° 164° N a k n e k L a k e 162° Lake Brooks BRUIN BAY FAULT Bristol Bay 160° 158° Great Basins 2 156° Becharof Lake Gas-Prone (73% Gas) Plays Great Bear Basins 1 Creek 1 Becharof Lake 1 Ugashik Lakes Alaska 1 (Tertiary Source) Lee 1 Oil-Prone (77% Oil) Plays Finnegan 1 (Mesozoic Source) Grammar 1 NORTH ALEUTIAN BASIN Ugashik 1 Wide Bay 1 North Aleutian Painter Shelf COST 1 Port Creek 1 Heiden 1 A L U n t e m S e N s B a I c N i o Koniag 1 z n t E o s m e e P M e 56° s c a A t i B a m c K g o i a z S M o s e A M y L r ST a A St. George n t e m . GEORGE d i COST 2 e S BASIN Sandy River 1 Bear H ILL Lake ACK Monkshood 1 S EXPLANATION UP Hoodoo Bertha 1 L B LI Lake 1 F T Big River 1 Well, Plugged and Abandoned Cathedral River 1 Hoodoo A M A K BASI Lake 2 Uplift or Structural Arch N Leased Blocks (1988, Sale 92, Canoe Bay 1 $95.4 MM, 23 Leases) Leased Blocks (2005, AK State, $1.3 MM, 37 Leases) Gas-Prone Plays with Tertiary-Age David Sources. Plays 1, 2, & 6, 8.293 Tcf Gas, River 1, 1A 559 Mmb Oil, Gas/Oil = 73/27 Energy- Equivalent Oil-Prone Plays with Possible Mesozoic-Age Sources. Plays 3 & 5, 0 50 0.329 Tcf Gas, 193 Mmb Oil, Gas/Oil = Pacific Ocean 23/77 Energy-Equivalent MILES Sherwood \....\NAB-Oil Prone vs Gas Prone.cdr
2-D Seismic Data: 64,700 Line-Miles CDP SEISMIC DATA GRID (TWO-DIMENSIONAL) NORTH ALEUTIAN SHELF COST 1 WELL 0 50 100 miles 25 75 Bristol Bay Sale 92 (1988) Alaska Peninsula Sherwood \....\Fig03-NorthAleutianSeismicGrid.cdr
Cook Inlet
Seismic Data in Cook Inlet
Current Alaska OCS Activities
Cook Inlet Cook Inlet Cosmopolitan Unit Cosmopolitan Unit extended reach delineation well (State/federal) Source: State of Alaska
Arctic Exploration Arctic Exploration • Seismic surveys • Seismic surveys – 2006 & 2007 summer 2006 & 2007 summer – Chukchi/Beaufort Chukchi/Beaufort – Ice hinders surveys Ice hinders surveys – – 2006 2006 – – Late start in 2007 (IHA) Late start in 2007 (IHA) – • Exploration drilling • Exploration drilling Beaufort Sea Beaufort Sea – Shell Shell – – Sivulliq, Sivulliq, “ “open water open water” ” – – Lawsuit Lawsuit – – Floating vessels Floating vessels – – Past: ice or gravel islands Past: ice or gravel islands – • winter winter • – Floaters Floaters – – Ice management Ice management –
Arctic Offshore Development/Production Arctic Offshore Development/Production Past Past Northstar (BF) Northstar (BF) producing (State/federal) buried pipeline buried pipeline Northstar • Near Future Near Future • Liberty (BF) Liberty (BF) – Development Plan in Development Plan in – review review – ultra extended reach ultra extended reach –
Technology Technology Changes Changes • Platforms • Platforms • Pollution • Pollution Prevention Prevention • Safety Systems • Safety Systems • Human Factors • Human Factors • Pipelines • Pipelines
Norway’s Barents Sea
Sharing the Shelf • The people onshore – Subsistence – Overload of projects – Cultural Stress – Economy – New tax base?
Sharing the Shelf • Marine fauna – Protected species • Whales • Seals • Polar bears • Birds – Fish and fisheries – Noise in the ocean – Climate change effects
Sharing the Shelf • Coordination - permitting – State of Alaska – Boroughs – Tribes – Villages • Federal Agencies
Sharing the Shelf • Opening of the Arctic Ocean – Shipping • Arctic Marine Shipping Assessment – Other users • Law of the Sea – Who owns the Arctic Ocean? – Setting the boundaries
MMS Research Environmental Studies Technology Assessment and Research
Environmental Research Planning • Physical Oceanography • Subsistence • Sociology • Economics • Marine Mammals • Fish • Birds • Fate and Effects of Discharges
Partnerships (present and future information sources) ARLIS – – Alaska Resources Alaska Resources • ARLIS • Library and Information Services Library and Information Services – www.arlis.org www.arlis.org – • Coastal Marine Institute • Coastal Marine Institute – University of Alaska University of Alaska – – http://www.sfos.uaf.edu/cmi/ http://www.sfos.uaf.edu/cmi/ – AOOS – – Alaska Ocean Observing Alaska Ocean Observing • AOOS • System System – www.aoos.org www.aoos.org – NSSI • NSSI – – North Slope Science North Slope Science • NSSI Initiative Initiative – www.northslope.org www.northslope.org – And many more – DOI, State of Alaska, North Slope DOI, State of Alaska, North Slope – Borough, et al Borough, et al
MMS ALASKA ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES ONGOING PROGRAM FY 2007 Multidisciplinary • Continuation of Arctic Nearshore Impact Monitoring in Development Area (cANIMIDA) (Beaufort Sea – Northstar/Liberty areas) • Chukchi Sea Offshore Monitoring in Drilling Area (COMIDA): Phase I – Workshop – Held November 1 – 3 • North Aleutian Basin Information Status and Research Planning Meeting – Held November 28 – 30 • MMS-University of Alaska Fairbanks-State of Alaska Coastal Marine Institute Management • Beaufort Sea and North Slope Pipeline GIS Database
Protected Species • Bowhead Feeding Variability in the Western AK Beaufort Sea: – A. Satellite Tracking of Bowhead Whales – B. Feeding Observations – C. Oceanographic Measurements & Analysis • Aerial Photography of Bowhead Whales to Estimate the Size of the Bering- Chukchi-Beaufort Population • Monitoring the Distribution of Arctic Whales • Protocol to Deflect Migrating Bowhead Whales Away from an Oil Spill • Analysis of Covariance of Human Activities and Sea Ice in Relation to Fall Migration of Bowhead Whales • Assessing Reproduction and Body Condition of the Ringed Seal Near Sachs Harbour, Northwest Territory, Canada, through a Harvest-based Sampling Program • King and Common Eider Migrations Past Point Barrow • Population Structure of Common Eiders Nesting on Coastal Barrier Islands Adjacent to Oil Facilities in the Beaufort Sea • Premigratory Movements and Physiology of Shorebirds Staging on Beaufort Littoral Zone • Radio Frequency Identification Tags for Grizzly and Polar Bear Research • Population and Sources of Recruitment in Polar Bears • Movements and Habitat Use of Harbor Seals in Cook Inlet • Distribution and Abundance of Harbor Seals in Cook Inlet
Biology • Beaufort Sea Marine Fish Monitoring: Pilot Survey and Test of Hypotheses • Review and Monitoring Ambient Artificial Light Intensity in the OCS and the Potential for Effects on Resident Fauna • Analysis of Variation in Abundance of Arctic Cisco in the Colville River • Evaluating a Potential Relict Arctic Invertebrate and Algal Community on the West Side of Cook Inlet • Foraging Ecology of Common Ravens on Alaska's Coastal Plain and Relationship to O&G Development
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