A Washington Perspective on Regulatory and Legislative Developments E ric M. Ma rio n Silve r, F re e dma n, T a ff & T ie rna n L L P PACB 137th Annua l Co nve ntio n | Ame lia I sla nd, F lo rida Se pte mb e r 5-8, 2014
Topics of Discussion Renewed focus on community banks Regulations in Perspective Basel III Effects of QM Rules BSA/AML FDIC Guidance on S Corp Dividends Developments on Capitol Hill Bills likely to Pass this Term Prospects for GSE reform and the Future Senate Mutual Capital Certificates Future of Community Banks Resilience of Community Banks Economies of Scale Prospects For De Novos 2
Renewed Focus on Community Banks T he supe rviso ry a nd re g ula to ry e nviro nme nt re ma ins c ha lle ng ing , b ut the re a re ho pe ful sig ns tha t b o th re g ula to rs a nd le g isla to rs a re a tte mpting to a ddre ss issue s impo rta nt to c o mmunity b a nks. Initia tive s ha ve b e e n unde rta ke n b y the F DIC, F RB, F F IE C, CF PB a nd OCC to pro vide g uida nc e a nd a tte mpt to ta ilo r re g ula tio ns. T he F e de ral De posit Insuranc e Corp . e xpa nde d its q ua rte rly b a nking pro file fo r the first q ua rte r o f 2014 to inc lude a ne w se c tio n o n the pe rfo rma nc e o f c o mmunity b a nks - https:/ / www2.fdic .g o v/ q b p/ 2014ma r/ q b p.pd f. In the first q ua rte r o f 2014, the F DIC pro duc e d a re po rt o n c o mmunity b a nk c o nso lida tio n - https:/ / www.fdic .g o v/ b a nk/ a na lytic a l/ q ua rte rly/ 2014_vo l8_2/ a rtic le .pdf fo llo wing o n its Co mmunity Ba nking Study re le a se d in De c e mb e r 2012 - https:/ / www.fdic .g o v/ re g ula tio ns/ re so urc e s/ c b i/ re po rt/ c b i- full.pdf. In 2009, the F DIC c re a te d the F DIC Adviso ry Co mmitte e o n Co mmunity Ba nking . T he Co mmitte e ha s he ld re g ula r me e ting s thre e time s pe r ye a r. T he F e de ral Re se rve Bank (“F RB”) of Kansas City re le a se d a b ulle tin in Ma y with de ta ils o n the ne w c a pita l rule fo r c o mmunity b a nks, whic h ta ke s e ffe c t o n Ja nua ry 1, 2015, inc luding ke y c ha ng e s a nd a re a s o f supe rviso ry fo c us. http:/ / www.c o mmunityb a nking c o nne c tio ns.o rg / fe dlinks/ 2014/ Ma y2014.pd f T he F RB of Minne apolis ha s unde rta ke n to study the e ffe c ts o f inc re a se d b a nking supe rvisio n a nd re g ula tio n o n c o nso lida tio n a mo ng c o mmunity b a nks a nd q ua ntifying the c o sts o f the a dditio na l re g ula tio n. https:/ / www.minne a po lisfe d.o rg / pub lic a tio ns_pa pe rs/ pub _displa y.c fm? id=5102&& T he Consume r F inanc ial Prote c tion Bure au c re a te d the Co mmunity Ba nk Adviso ry Co unc il (“CBAC”). T he CBAC’ s Cha rte r e stima te s fo ur me e ting s pe r ye a r. T he la st me e ting wa s he ld in Oc to b e r 2013. http:/ / www.c o nsume rfina nc e .g o v/ a d viso ry-g ro ups/ a dviso ry-g ro ups-me e ting -de ta ils/ T he F xamination Counc il (“F F IE C”) he ld a we b ina r in Ma y, whic h is e de ral F inanc ial Institutions E a va ila b le o n the F F IE C’ s we b site , o n c yb e r se c urity pre pa re dne ss fo r c o mmunity fina nc ia l institutio ns. http:/ / www.ffie c .g o v/ pre ss/ PDF / CCIWG_Cyb e rse c urity_Dra ft18fo rIndustry_Ma y7we b ina r.pdf 3
Regulatory Relief I n the c urre nt e nviro nme nt, it is like ly tha t le g isla tive re lie f ma y still pro ve to b e q uite mo de st. Pro spe c ts fo r re g ula to ry re lie f re ma in c o nstra ine d b y the re q uire me nts o f the Do dd-F ra nk Ac t a nd the c o nc e rns o f b a nking a g e nc y po lic yma ke rs tha t the y ne e d to b e re a so na b ly vig ila nt in pre ve nting a no the r fina nc ia l c risis. 4
Status of Dodd-Frank Rulemaking Almost one-third of Dodd-Frank rules are incomplete after four years. Complete In Progress Not Started *Includes Dodd-Frank Rulemaking as of May 31, 2014. 14% 19% 67% Sources : Federal Register, BGOV analysis Bloomberg Brief, Financial Regulation Community Banking & Credit Unions, Special Edition June 2014. 5
Basel III Co mme nts fro m c o mmunity b a nks re sulte d in thre e ma jo r c ha ng e s fro m the pro po se d c a pita l rule . T he se c ha ng e s inc lud e : e : T he pro po se d rule c a lle d fo r hig he r risk we ig hts Re side ntia l Mor tg a g e E xposur a pplie d to c e rta in re sid e ntia l mo rtg a g e e xpo sure s. No ne o f the pro po se d inc re a se s in we ig hts a re fo und in the fina l rule . T hus, re ma ining unc ha ng e d is the 50 pe rc e nt risk we ig ht fo r “prud e ntly und e rwritte n” first-lie n mo rtg a g e lo a ns tha t a re no t pa st d ue , re po rte d a s no na c c rua l o r re struc ture d , a nd a 100 pe rc e nt risk we ig ht fo r a ll o the r re sid e ntia l mo rtg a g e s. 1 Ca pita l : T he initia l pro po sa l wo uld Gr a ndfa the r e d Ca pita l Instr ume nts a nd T ie r ha ve re q uire d trust pre fe rre d se c uritie s a nd c umula tive pe rpe tua l pre fe rre d sto c k to b e pha se d o ut o f tie r 1 c a pita l. T he fina l rule e xe mpts d e po sito ry institutio n ho ld ing c o mpa nie s with le ss tha n $15 b illio n in to ta l c o nso lid a te d a sse ts a s o f De c e mb e r 31, 2009, o r o rg a nize d in mutua l fo rm a s o f Ma y 19, 2010, fro m this re q uire me nt. Gra nd fa the re d c a pita l instrume nts, c o nsiste nt with c urre nt tre a tme nt, a re limite d to 25 pe rc e nt o f a d juste d tie r 1 c a pita l e le me nts. ilte r : T he initia l pro po sa l Ac c umula te d Othe r Compr e he nsive Inc ome (AOCI) F wo uld ha ve inc lud e d mo st AOCI c o mpo ne nts in re g ula to ry c a pita l. In the fina l rule , c o mmunity b a nking o rg a niza tio ns a re g ive n a o ne -time e le c tio n to filte r c e rta in AOCI c o mpo ne nts, simila r to c urre nt tre a tme nt. T he AOCI o pt-o ut e le c tio n must b e ma d e o n the first re g ula to ry re po rt file d a fte r Ja nua ry 1, 2015. 6
Held to Maturity Portfolios Increase Unde r the Ba se l I I I rule s, c ha ng e s in the va lue o f AF S po rtfo lio s wo uld flo w thro ug h re g ula to ry c a pita l a t institutio ns with mo re tha n $250 b illio n in a sse ts. HT M po rtfo lio s g re w to ne a rly 18% o f se c uritie s po rtfo lio s a t the e nd o f the first q ua rte r o f 2014 fro m just unde r 10% two ye a rs a g o . Prima rily la rg e r b a nks ha ve inc re a se d the ir HT M po rtfo lio s. L a rg e r b a nks a re no t o nly trying to pro te c t tho se liq uid se c uritie s fro m ma rk-to -ma rke t a djustme nts tha t c o uld ne g a tive ly impa c t ta ng ib le c o mmo n e q uity b ut a lso c la ssifying a s HT M ma ny o f the liq uid se c uritie s the y ha ve a c q uire d to pre pa re fo r ne w pro visio ns suc h a s the "liq uidity c o ve ra g e ra tio ," o r L CR. Still, sma lle r institutio ns ha ve b uilt the ir HT M po rtfo lio s a s we ll, with b a nks unde r $1.0 b illio n in a sse ts b uilding tho se po rtfo lio s to $38.96 b illio n a t the e nd o f the first q ua rte r, up 13.3% fro m o ne ye a r e a rlie r. 7
Held to Maturity Portfolios Increase 8
FDIC Guidance on S Corp. Dividends On July 21, 2014, the F DI C issue d g uida nc e o n ho w it will e va lua te re q ue sts b y S Co rpo ra tio ns to ma ke divide nd pa yme nts tha t wo uld o the rwise b e pro hib ite d unde r the Ba se l I I I c a pita l c o nse rva tio n b uffe r. T he c a pita l c o nse rva tio n b uffe r will b e pha se d in during 2016-2018 a nd fully e ffe c tive in 2019. T he F DI C g uida nc e pe rmits b a nks tha t ha ve ma de a n S Co rp. e le c tio n to a pply to the F DI C fo r a divide nd wa ive r if the y a re no t o the rwise pe rmitte d to pa y divide nds. T he re is c o nc e rn a b o ut the unc e rta inty o f whe the r a divide nd wa ive r will b e g ra nte d. 9
QM Rules Expected to Cause Higher Operational Costs Ac c o rd ing to F a nnie Ma e ’ s June Mo rtg a g e L e nd e r Se ntime nt Surve y, the QM rule s a re e xpe c te d to re sult in hig he r c o sts. In the q ua rte rly surve y c o nd uc te d b y F a nnie Ma e ’ s E c o no mic a nd Stra te g ic Re se a rc h Gro up a nd with se nio r mo rtg a g e e xe c utive s a s pa rtic ipa nts: 85% o f the le nd e rs re po rte d tha t c o sts fo r q ua lity-c o ntro l-re la te d a c tivitie s ha ve inc re a se d o ve r the pa st 12 mo nths. 74% e xpe c t o pe ra tio na l c o sts to inc re a se a s a re sult o f the QM rule s. 80% o f the le nd e rs ha ve no pla n to pursue no n-QM lo a ns, with la rg e r le nd e rs mo re like ly to re po rt tha t the y pla n to a c tive ly pursue suc h lo a ns. 84% re po rte d tha t the y e xpe c t a t le a st 90% o f the ir sing le -fa mily mo rtg a g e o rig ina tio n d o lla r vo lume to b e c o nsid e re d q ua lifie d mo rtg a g e s und e r the ne w QM rule s. 74% o f a ll le nd e rs surve ye d a g re e tha t “the q ua lity c o ntro l inve stme nts will re d uc e the ir re purc ha se risk,” with sma lle r le nd e rs le ss like ly to a g re e . An e stima te d 95% o f the mo rtg a g e lo a ns b e ing ma d e in the c urre nt ma rke t fit the QM c rite ria , a c c o rd ing to Ric ha rd Co rd ra y, d ire c to r o f the CF PB. 10
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