2016 and 2020 Draft LCR Study Results - Kern Chris Mensah-Bonsu Senior Regional Transmission Engineer Stakeholder Meeting March 9, 2015
Fresno and Kern LCR Areas Kern Area Slide 2
Kern Load and Resources (MW) 2016 2020 Load = 853 282 AAEE = -9 -4 Transmission Losses = 7 1 851 279 Total Load = Market Generation = 274 91 New Market Generation = 148 20 Muni Generation = 0 0 QF Generation = 100 55 Total Qualifying Capacity = 522 166 Slide 3
Kern Area LCR 2016 West Park Sub-Area Midway Smyrna Famoso Ultra Power Kern Ridge Limiting Contingencies: West Park - No longer exists San Luis Lerdo Vedder Obispo Due to Normally Open Semitropic Mt Poso Magunden CB 122 Temblor 7TH STND Dexel Kern PP Kern Oil 4 5 3 Live Oak LCR Results (MW): Midsun Navy Discovery Contingency Cat. B Cat. C West Park LCR 0 0 Including: Taft Oildale Kern Magunden QF 0 0 Chalk Front Cliff Muni 0 0 PSE Bear Mtn Bolthouse Farms University Deficiency 0 0 Lamont Double C, High Sierra, Bader Creek Wheeler Ridge Slide 4
Kern Area LCR 2016 Kern Oil Sub-Area Limiting Contingencies: Midway Category B: Smyrna Famoso Ultra Power Kern Ridge G-1/L-1: Kern PP-Magunden-Witco 115 kV with PSE Live Oak generation out of service San Luis Lerdo Vedder Obispo Constraint: Kern PP-Live Oak 115 kV Semitropic Mt Poso Temblor Category C: 7TH STND Dexel Kern PP L-1/L-1: Kern PP-Magunden-Witco and Kern Oil Kern PP-7th Standard 115 kV lines 4 5 3 Live Oak Midsun Constraint: Kern PP-Live Oak 115 kV Navy LCR Results (MW): Discovery West Park Contingency Cat. B Cat. C Taft Oildale LCR 133 135 Kern Magunden Chalk Front Including: Cliff QF 55 55 PSE Bear Mtn Bolthouse Farms University Muni 0 0 Lamont Deficiency 0 0 Double C, High Sierra, Bader Creek Wheeler Ridge Slide 5
Kern Area LCR 2016 South Kern PP Sub-Area Limiting Contingencies: Midway Category B: Smyrna Famoso Ultra Power Kern Ridge T-1: Kern #5 230/115 kV Constraint: Kern #4 230/115 kV San Luis Lerdo Vedder Obispo Category C: Semitropic Mt Poso Temblor L-1/T-1 Kern-Kern Front 115 kV & Dexel Kern PP Kern #5 230/115 kV Kern Oil Constraint: Kern #4 230/115 kV 4 5 3 Live Oak Midsun Navy LCR Results (MW): Discovery West Park Contingency Cat. B Cat. C Taft Oildale LCR 299 485 Kern Magunden Chalk Front Including: Cliff QF 100 100 PSE Bear Mtn Bolthouse Farms University Muni 0 0 Lamont Deficiency 0 0 Double C, High Sierra, Bader Creek Wheeler Ridge Slide 6
Kern Area LCR 2020 West Park Sub-Area Midway Smyrna Famoso Ultra Power Limiting Contingencies: Kern Ridge None. Eliminated due to Kern PP 115 kV San Luis Lerdo Vedder area reinforcement. Obispo Semitropic Mt Poso Temblor Dexel Kern PP Kern Oil 4 5 3 Live Oak Midsun Navy LCR Results (MW): Discovery West Park Contingency Cat. B Cat. C Taft Oildale LCR 0 0 Kern Magunden Chalk Front Including: Cliff QF 0 0 PSE Bear Mtn Bolthouse Farms University Muni 0 0 Lamont Deficiency 0 0 Double C, High Sierra, Bader Creek Wheeler Ridge Slide 7
Kern Area LCR 2020 Kern Oil Sub-Area Limiting Contingencies: Midway Category B: Smyrna Famoso Ultra Power Kern Ridge G-1/L-1: Kern PP-Magunden-Witco 115 kV with PSE Live Oak generation out of service San Luis Lerdo Vedder Obispo Constraint: Kern PP-Live Oak 115 kV Semitropic Mt Poso Temblor Category C: 7TH STND Dexel Kern PP L-1/L-1: Kern PP-Magunden-Witco and Kern PP-7 th Standard 115 kV lines Kern Oil 4 5 3 Live Oak Constraint: Kern PP-Live Oak 115 kV Midsun Navy LCR Results (MW): Discovery West Park Contingency Cat. B Cat. C Taft Oildale LCR 132 135 Kern Magunden Chalk Front Including: Cliff QF 55 55 PSE Bear Mtn Bolthouse Farms University Muni 0 0 Lamont Deficiency 0 0 Double C, High Sierra, Bader Creek Wheeler Ridge Slide 8
Kern Area LCR 2020 South Kern PP Sub-Area NO ADDIONAL LCR NEED. • KERN OIL SUB-AREA need is Midway dominantly binding Smyrna Famoso Ultra Power Kern Ridge Limiting Contingencies: Category B: San Luis Lerdo T-1: Kern #5 230/115 kV Vedder Obispo Semitropic Mt Poso Temblor Constraint: Kern #3 230/115 kV Dexel Kern PP Category C: Kern Oil G-1/T-1 Kern #5 230/115 kV with PSE 4 5 3 Live Oak Live Oak generation out of service Midsun Navy Constraint: Kern #3 230/115 kV Discovery West Park LCR Results (MW): Contingency Cat. B Cat. C Taft Oildale LCR 36 80 Kern Magunden Chalk Front Including: Cliff QF 100 100 PSE Bear Mtn Bolthouse Farms University Muni 0 0 Lamont Deficiency 0 0 Double C, High Sierra, Bader Creek Wheeler Ridge Slide 9
Changes Since last year: 1) West Park-Magunden 115 kV normally opened at Magunden (CB 122) 2) Identified a new Kern Oil sub-area 3) 2016 area load has increased by 120 MW from 2015 4) 2016 LCR has increased by about 48 MW from 2015 5) Kern PP #4 230/115 kV no longer limiting in 2020 vs. 2016 Kern PP #3 230/115 kV is now limiting (2020) 6) 2020 area load has increased by 126 MW from 2019 7) Due to pocket redefinition the new load total is lower by 466 MW (from 745 MW to 279 MW) 8) 2020 LCR has decreased by about 58 MW from 2019 mostly due to the Kern PP 115 kV area reinforcement and the new Wheeler Ridge Junction Substation projects Your comments and questions are welcome. For written comments, please send to: RegionalTransmission@caiso.com Slide 10
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