1
play

1 Good morning everyone and welcome to our capital markets day. Its - PDF document

Nov 04, 2022 •545 likes •1.34k views

1 Good morning everyone and welcome to our capital markets day. Its been 18 months since the last time we met and since then we have made a lot of progress to achieve our performance ambition. Our ambition is clear: to be one of the

  1. 1

  2. • Good morning everyone and welcome to our capital markets day. It’s been 18 months since the last time we met and since then we have made a lot of progress to achieve our performance ambition. • Our ambition is clear: to be one of the best performing, most trusted and respected consumer products companies in the world. • We operate in a very attractive industry, and within the industry we have the best assets. • Let me tell you why. 2

  3. • The TBA industry is an attractive one in which to participate, with a natural runway for growth, when compared to other consumer goods. • This industry growth is well supported by robust macro and consumer trends, which haven’t changed since the last time we presented them. • We expect 500 million new legal drinking age consumers to come to the market over the next decade. India and Africa will account for half of it. • About 730 million more consumers will be able to afford international style spirits, 85% of that growth coming from emerging markets. • And finally spirits penetration in many emerging markets is still low when compared to developed markets. 3

  4. • Our portfolio is the broadest in the industry and it is well balanced across all the categories, with particular strength in scotch. • We are #1 across 6 of the top 9 categories. • Although we don’t own a cognac brand, we participate indirectly to the category growth through our 34% share of Moët Hennessy. • In this slide we exclude Chinese white spirits, but in this large and profitable category let me remind you we have a jewel of a brand in Shui Jing Fang. • The baijiu category is expected to grow 6% CAGR over the next 4 years and, Shui Jing Fang is well positioned to grow even faster. 4

  5. • Our footprint is well positioned against the geographies that will generate most of the industry growth over the medium term. • The spirits industry is expected to grow in every market. • And in each of these markets we have great brands, marketing, innovation and route to consumer to capture the opportunity and we have leading positions in terms of market share. • Most importantly we have scale where it matters, in the US, where we have an enviable leadership position, and Europe where we have gained 70bps of share over the last 2 and half years. • We are number 1 in the markets accounting for about 80% of the overall growth. 5

  6. • Our portfolio is well balanced not only across categories and geographies but also across the different price tiers, supporting consistent, reliable growth regardless of the economic environment and consumer behaviour. • Our reserve portfolio enables us to capture consumers as they seek to trade up the price ladder into luxury categories, especially in developed markets. • We are also expanding our portfolio down into more accessible price tiers to capture consumers as they trade down during economic downturns or seek accessible international style brands especially in emerging markets. • Overall the greatest strength of Diageo is how diversified our business is across categories, markets and price tiers, allowing us to better navigate through specific volatility while still be able to deliver on our mid term guidance. 6

  7. DRAFT 4 APR • To track the progress made against our performance ambition, we measure 4 areas. • Kathy will talk about the progress made on efficient growth and value creation later • Let me tell you instead about the progress we have made to become one of most trusted and respected. 7

  8. • Ensuring we make a positive contribution to society has always been a priority for Diageo and is at the core of our performance ambition. • Our 2020 sustainability and responsibility targets underpin our commitment to become one the most trusted and respected CPGs in the world. • We continue to make good progress against the 20 targets that we use, and we report the 5 key KPIs in our annual report. • These include alcohol in society, health and safety, water efficiency and carbon efficiency, and employee engagement. • We have made progress on all of them. • We delivered 335 programmes on alcohol in society with a focus on reducing of misuse, targeting drink driving, binge drinking and underage drinking. • Our performance on environmental KPIs continues to improve, specifically on water efficiency and carbon emissions where we have improved by 38% and 37% respectively. • The safety of our teams is a constant area of attention, and improved last year by 13%. • Finally, ‘hot off the press’, are the results from our Annual Employee Values Survey which had an astonishing response rate o f 93%, best in class versus the industry norms and it showed a very high employee engagement level of 75%. Employees feel very connected to Diageo. • I’m pleased with these results as they demonstrates that as the pace of the business steps up we continue to bring our people with us. 8

  9. • Our strategy, the focus on the 6 priorities and our consumer led mindset have all contributed to improved performance. • We delivered 4.4% net sales growth for the first half of this fiscal year, despite volatility in some emerging markets such as Nigeria, Brazil, India and Thailand. • We will not talk about Europe today so let me spend a minute on it. • Europe is the market where our strategy has been fully deployed the longest and the results are for everyone to see • All of our premium core brands gained share in the last 12 months. • Our reserve brands are growing fast and now account for 20% of our Europe business, up from 13% three years ago • Innovation has become a consistent and reliable growth driver • We have invested in the route to consumer adding 200 sales people and more than doubling the accounts we cover • And last but not least Europe is leading the work on productivity • The improvement in Europe has given me even more confidence in our strategy • Back to overall Diageo performance, I continue to expect organic net sales growth for F17 broadly in line with H1. • Margins have expanded by 120bps over the last 3 years, and we are on track to deliver an additional 100 bps over F17 to F19. • As previously indicated we expect to deliver some margin expansion in the current fiscal year. 9

  10. • We have also improved our performance in cash, but most importantly we have become more consistent. • Kathy will talk about cash later during the day but cash for me is an important barometer of how we execute across the business. A consistent cash performance means we are delivering our net sales and profit targets, but we are also doing it in an efficient way through disciplined capex spend and working capital improvements. 10

  11. • We have made a lot of progress, but we are not complacent. • There is still room for more improvement and to become one of the best. 11

  12. • Let me now tell you how we are executing against our six priorities to continue to sustain improvement in performance • After this I will also cover the progress we have made against the 3 focus areas I had identified for F17: Scotch, US Spirits and India, as well as giving some insight on the progress we have made in putting consumers at the heart of the organization. • . 12

  13. • Let’s start with premium core 13

  14. • The definition of premium core varies from market to market, but global giants are a good proxy for what is premium core at a Diageo level. • Net sales of Johnnie Walker, Smirnoff, Captain Morgan, Baileys, Tanqueray and Guinness account for 42% of Diageo net sales and performance has consistently improved over the last 3 years. 14

  15. • And the most important indicator that we are improving performance and execution of our global giants is that we are winning most of our key battle grounds and gaining share. • Johnnie Walker is gaining or holding share in in its 3 top markets and depletions are strong in the US. • Captain Morgan is very successful in Europe, but even in the US, its biggest market it is now gaining share in rum and overtook Bacardi as number 1. • And Tanqueray is gaining share in all of our key markets. • There are two brands here that I want to see further improvement in performance: Guinness, where I would like to see a more consistent performance following the tough start to the year in Africa, and Smirnoff, whose performance in the US has been improving over the last 18 months but it is still losing share in vodka. • Later today Deirdre will present what we are doing to win in the US, so for now I would like to touch on Guinness and more broadly our beer business. 15

  16. • Beer is an important part of our business, at 16% of net sales it’s our second largest category after scotch. • The category has been growing 1% volume CAGR over the last 5 years and expected to grow 2% CAGR over the next 4 years. • Our beer business is in a unique position – half of our sales are in Sub-Saharan Africa which is forecast to be the fastest growing geography for beer in the world over the next five years. • The other half of our sales is in the developed beer markets around the world, especially Ireland, GB & US where we have a very profitable business . 16

Recommend

More recommend